A storm developed and became severe in the evening, producing large hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MHX wrote it up.
A storm developed and became severe in the evening, producing large hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 2, 6:25 PM EST, 2 hours 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 725 PM EDT Mon May 2 2022 .SYNOPSIS... Hot and mostly dry conditions through Tuesday, then better thundershower chances midweek with a cold front crossing the area and another system moving through the Mid- Atlantic states by late in the week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... As of 715 PM Monday...No major adjustments with the evening update as forecast remains on track. Focus of precip remains over Mainland Dare where the combination of sound and river breezes are providing a decent trigger to spawn showers/isolated tstorms which spread ESE over Nern Sounds and NOBX. Low level speed shear over the HWY17 corridor has proven to be too strong to allow any substantial updrafts to persist, cutting the tops off of what showers are birthed by passage of the seabreeze. Previous Discussion...A remaining sea breeze shower or storm will fade this evening, though a bit more mid level moisture in the northeast may keep activity going for several hours longer, esp nrn OBX and ern mainland zones. Warm and muggy tonight with lows in the 60s. No fg/br as a swrly breeze will cont. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/... As of 330 PM Mon...Ridging will be dominant tomorrow, bringing with it suppressed convective activity, and also hot conditions. Weak backdoor front will edge southward into the nern sound counties, and may spark an iso storm during the afternoon hours. Otw, a dry fcst until the evening commute, where a mid level feature brings some iso to widely sct storms to the Coastal Plain counties. Highs will be 85-90 inland with 70s on the beaches. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 335 AM Monday...From Tuesday through Friday, a progressive, and unsettled, W/SW flow regime aloft will dominate the central and eastern CONUS. Within this flow, a couple of shortwaves will lift out of the Great Plains and move quickly ENE across the OH Valley and Mid-Atlantic States, each with at least some glancing influence across ENC. Eventually, a more substantial upper low is forecast to move out of the Central US and into the eastern US late in the week, potentially closing off over/near the Mid-Atlantic Coast over the weekend. On Wednesday, a s/w will glance the area, accompanied by a weak SFC boundary moving through. This should lead to a better coverage of showers/storms compared to Tuesday, especially with the moist and unstable airmass still in place. Given this potential, pops were increased some, with high chance/low-end likely pops. The stronger mid-level flow will be removed to the north of the area, but deep layer shear of 20-30kt and modest instability may support some stronger/loosely organized convection capable of strong wind gusts. Wednesday's front should clear through most of the area by Thursday morning, but will probably get hung up near, or just south, of the area Thursday. Much of ENC may be in a more stable, post-frontal regime Thursday with a lower risk of convection, and slightly "cooler" temps. Thursday night into Friday, that front will lift back north thanks to a strengthening southerly flow ahead of the above-mentioned upper low forecast to move out of the Plains. Once again, a moistening and destabilizing airmass will quickly redevelop across the area as the frontal boundary lifts north. Medium range guidance differ on the evolution of the SFC boundary and the upper low, but the general trend has been for a more southward track with the upper low and mid-upper level jet. This would lead to better forcing and potentially slightly better shear Friday or Saturday across the area. At minimum, this should lead to another increase in the risk of showers/storms, but could also open the door to a few stronger storms. Eventually, a more stable, and not as warm, regime may once again move in as northerly flow develops on the backside of the upper, and SFC, lows. && .AVIATION /23Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/... As of 700 PM Monday...VFR flight cats prevail across the TAF sites with high pressure dominating forecast. Shower activity predominantly NE of TAF sites continues to fade this evening with EWN being the lone terminal that could see a very brief shower in the area, but chances are low. Light SWerly breeze overnight precludes any fog threat. Light SWerly flow persists through Tues morning before a seabreeze works inland from the coast turning ~10kt winds more Serly behind it. Perhaps a widely sct shower/storm late in the day/early evening Tue for interior TAF sites ISO and PGV, sub-VFR VIS may be possible but CIGs are expected to remain VFR. LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Thursday/... As of 335 AM Monday...An unsettled pattern will lead to an increased risk of isolated to scattered SHRA and TSRA WED and again Friday into Saturday. && .MARINE... SHORT TERM /through Tue/... As of 330 PM Mon...Fairly benign conditions for the marine areas with swrly breezes continuing. Seas currently 3-5 ft will drop to 2-4 ft tonight through Tue. A few 25 kt gusts may build by later Tue nearshore as thermal gradient inc through the afternoon but too marginal for any SCA headlines. LONG TERM /Tuesday through Thursday/... As of 350 AM Monday...Increasing southwesterly flow will develop across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday ahead of a weak surface front approaching from the west. Wind gusts of 20-25kt will develop Wednesday with seas building 3-5 ft. Winds flip around to northerly for a short time on Thursday, and decrease some, with waves dropping down to 2-4 ft. This will be short- lived, though, as a strengthening southerly flow develops again Friday into Saturday, with seas building back to 3-5 ft across the northern waters and potentially 5-7 feet across the southern waters. && .MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...MHX NEAR TERM...TL/CEB SHORT TERM...TL LONG TERM...EH/RM AVIATION...RM/TL/CEB MARINE...RM/TL
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 459 PM EDT Mon May 2 2022 NCZ195-196-199-204-205-032100- West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island- Hatteras Island- 459 PM EDT Mon May 2 2022 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Rip Current Risk south of Cape Hatteras. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Rip Current Risk south of Cape Hatteras. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-203-032100- Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort- Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven- Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-Northern Outer Banks- 459 PM EDT Mon May 2 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
931 PM EDT Mon May 2 2022
NCZ080-094-193-030200-
Beaufort NC-Northern Craven NC-Pamlico NC-
931 PM EDT Mon May 2 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Craven, south central Beaufort and west central Pamlico Counties
through 1000 PM EDT...
At 931 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Askins, or 11 miles northwest of New Bern, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
New Bern, Askins, Cayton, Olympia, Edward, Grantsboro, Ernul and
Alliance.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3513 7698 3516 7699 3515 7706 3518 7720
3530 7718 3534 7680 3510 7681
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 273DEG 19KT 3523 7713
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
CBThe Morehead City radar (KMHX), 53 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:37 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
County emergency management forwarded a photo of the large hail, which was slightly larger than the size of a quarter. The time was estimated based on radar data.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, May 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1030021.