New Mexico, 2022Wildfire and High Wind in New Mexico, April 19 to 30, 2022
April 19 to 30, 2022 · NWS ABQ · 5 events in 3 counties and zones
As a surface high pressure developed to the east of New Mexico, it established easterly to southeasterly return flow across eastern New Mexico. However, on April 19th and April 20, 2022, a storm system tracking eastward across the central Rockies strengthened westerly flow aloft which quickly overtook the low-level return flow.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $25 million
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
As a surface high pressure developed to the east of New Mexico, it established easterly to southeasterly return flow across eastern New Mexico. However, on April 19th and April 20, 2022, a storm system tracking eastward across the central Rockies strengthened westerly flow aloft which quickly overtook the low-level return flow. This was aided by a lee-side surface low across northeastern New Mexico. With deep atmospheric mixing still in place across all of northern and central New Mexico, these stronger westerly winds mixed down to the surface. Most wind gusts across the area were generally between 40 and 50 mph, but wind gusts of 55 to 65 mph were measured at Clines Corners, Gallup, and Angel Fire. Unfortunately, a persistent critical fire weather pattern helped to spark the Calf Canyon Fire in Gallinas Canyon on the Santa Fe National Forest along U.S. Highway 65 on April 19, 2022.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 19, 11:01 AM MST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 11:01 AM MST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1201 PM MDT Tue Apr 19 2022
.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
Westerly wind gusts of 30 to 40 knots will be common this afternoon
with areas near and downwind of mountain ranges observing the highest
gust speeds to near 50 kts. Lcl BLDU is possible this afternoon into
the early evening. Surface gusts will decrease somewhat after
sunset, but the speeds aloft will continue to increase, bringing the
likelihood for low level wind shear late tonight. Strongest winds
Wednesday are forecast along/near and south of I-40.
33
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...324 AM MDT Tue Apr 19 2022...
.SYNOPSIS...
Areas of critical fire weather conditions are expected daily for the
rest of the week as winds remain gusty and humidities remain very
low. High temperatures will also remain well above normal through
Friday before cooling this weekend. The strongest west and southwest
winds are forecast today and especially Friday, when many locations
can expect gusts from 40 to 50 mph, except potentially around 60 mph
along the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains Friday
afternoon. Precipitation chances look to increase in many locations
Saturday night through Sunday night as a cold storm system moves
overhead with rain showers, snow showers, and thunderstorms. Some
fairly widespread freezing temperatures will be possible Saturday
night and Sunday night.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
With surface high pressure established east of NM, return flow from
the Gulf of Mexico is keeping low level moisture pushing
northwestward into the eastern NM zones. Surface dewpoints in the
30’s had already made their way into the eastern plains with higher
readings in the southeast quarter of the state, but readings could
rise several degrees more through the late morning in this south
southeasterly flow. Low clouds are already expanding across eastern
zones, a trend that will continue through the post dawn hours with
some drizzle or sprinkles not out of the question. As a shortwave
trough moves into the Canadian Rockies, the flow aloft over the
western ConUS will increase late today and more-so tonight. Warmer
than average temperatures over most of the forecast area are
expected today with deep vertical mixing and stronger winds will be
transported down to the surface. A lee-side surface low will also
deepen and broaden with low level moisture mixing eastward, much of
it into west TX, but some east central to southeastern zones could
retain 40’s dewpoints into the late afternoon. There will be some
instability present, but likely insufficient to pop a stray
thunderstorm before all the moisture mixes east of NM into the
evening. The boost in wind speeds this afternoon has warranted a
wind advisory for today and many northern zones were included from
yesterday’s issuance.
Winds aloft will increase more tonight, keeping ridge tops and peaks
windy overnight. Into the daytime Wednesday, the aforementioned
Canadian perturbation will be trekking east of the Rockies while a
weaker shortwave moves in tandem over the central Rockies with a
slight reduction in zonal flow over NM. Still, widespread breezy to
windy conditions are anticipated, as temperatures warm a few degrees
more in eastern zones and another surface low regenerates in
northeastern NM. The central mountains and highlands would likely
observe the highest gusts of 45 to 50 mph on Wednesday. Dewpoints
will drop right back into the teens and single digits Wednesday
afternoon as a prolific dry slot aloft continues feeding into the
area.
52
LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...
Wind speeds are forecast to trend weaker overall Thursday, while
remaining gusty and very dry. The strongest southwest winds are
forecast from the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains
eastward Thursday afternoon, where/when gusts to 40 mph will again be
possible with more fire weather concerns. High temperatures will
remain around 6 to 16 degrees above normal on Thursday, then some
cooling will begin over western areas Friday.
Friday looks to be the windiest day of the week with gusts
to 50 mph common, except potentially around 60 mph along the east
slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. A speed maximum in the
polar jet stream will cross the forecast area from the west Friday
and Friday night, then the tail end of the speed max will linger
over the eastern half of the forecast area on Saturday. There will
also be a 985 mb surface low over eastern CO on Friday, but it is
forecast to weaken and shift eastward by Saturday. With the jet core
crossing aloft, and mechanical mixing provided by a sharp Pacific
cold front, models keep surface winds quite strong through Friday
evening with gusts to 50 mph potentially lingering in many locations
past sunset. Weaker winds are then expected Saturday, but gusts from
40 to 50 mph still look likely along and east of the central valley.
With widespread very low humidity, critical fire weather conditions
are expected areawide Friday, then mainly along and east of the
central valley Saturday. High temperatures will fall a few to
several degrees below normal Saturday from the east slopes of the
central mountain chain westward, while highs remain a few degrees
above normal farther east. With a disturbance passing to our north,
there will be a chance for light rain and snow showers near the CO
border Friday night into Saturday.
A deep upper level trough is now forecast to dig over the forecast
area late Saturday night into Sunday with the potential for
widespread rain showers, snow showers, and thunderstorms. Right now
the NBM is keeping precipitation chances over northern areas, but
recent deterministic model runs (which have yet to be incorporated
into the NBM) indicate precipitation chances will increase over
central areas and potentially southern areas as well. This system
will draw a gusty backdoor cold front into the state providing some
potentially significant low level convergence over central areas
during the period of heaviest precipitation Sunday afternoon and
night. After some fairly widespread freezing temperatures Saturday
night and Sunday night, Monday should bring improving conditions as
the day progresses and the storm system gradually exits eastward.
With a ridge of high pressure crossing, Tuesday should bring warming
temperatures and dry weather. However, a lee-side surface trough
will probably cause south and southwest winds to be gusty along and
east of the central mountain chain.
44
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK WITH A
SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER EVENT LOOMING ON FRIDAY...
Higher dewpoints will struggle to hold over east central NM this
afternoon, and might keep humidity elevated enough to locally
suppress the critical fire weather threat in Curry and Roosevelt
counties. However, the remainder of the forecast area will largely
be inundated by windy, dry and unstable conditions again today, and
the Red Flag Warning will remain in effect. The northern half of the
state will observe the strongest gusts of 40 to 45 mph (20 ft level)
today.
Many central areas of NM will observe poor humidity recoveries of 15
to 25 percent tonight into early Wednesday morning as winds aloft
strengthen more. This will keep breezy to windy conditions going
overnight, although speeds should be reduced from this afternoon’s
speeds in many locations. Tonight’s conditions will help set the
stage for more widespread critical conditions going into the daytime
Wednesday as more unstable conditions redevelop by the afternoon.
The northern tier of NM zones appear to see less wind on Wednesday,
but much of the central corridor of the state will once again
observe gusts of 35 to 45 mph.
A reduction in winds is expected on Thursday before the next
upstream weather disturbance moves close enough to influence NM
weather, but breezy conditions will still be common with localized
critical conditions unfolding, mostly over the northeast highlands
to the far northeastern plains Thursday afternoon.
Attention and concern is growing for a more significant fire weather
event on Friday as a deep trough of low pressure is expected to
cross the intermountain west and overtake the front range of the
Rockies. Confidence is increasing for strong to possibly damaging
winds along with very critically low humidity, warmer than normal
temperatures and high Haines indices of 5 to 6 for Friday afternoon.
52
&&
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for the following
zones... NMZ101>109.
Wind Advisory until 7 PM MDT this evening for the following zones...
NMZ201>207-210>212-216-218-222-227>230-233.
Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening
for the following zones... NMZ103>109.
Wind Advisory until 6 AM MDT Wednesday for the following zones...
NMZ213>215-221-223.
&&
High Wind, Central Highlands
- When
- April 19, 1:25 PM MST to April 20, 9:53 AM MST
- Where
- Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An ASOS station near Clines Corners measured several hours of high wind speeds with a peak wind gust of 60 mph.
High Wind, West Central Plateau
- When
- April 19, 2:00 PM MST to 4:07 PM MST
- Where
- West Central Plateau forecast zone
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 34.803, -108.222 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An ASOS station near Gallup measured a peak wind gust of 64 mph.
Wildfire, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains
- When
- April 19, 2:00 PM MST to April 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
- Property damage
- $25 million
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 36.032, -104.803 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
While daily rounds of widespread high fire danger persisted across northern and central New Mexico throughout the month of April, conditions were primed for rapid wildfire growth. The Calf Canyon Fire was sparked on April 19, 2022, near Gallinas Canyon. The wildfire experienced its most rapid growth on April 22nd as a historic and catastrophic fire weather pattern developed across New Mexico. With several hours of widespread 60 to 80 mph wind gusts, the Calf Canyon Fire exploded. This prompted the National Weather Service Albuquerque Office to issue a rare Fire Weather Warning for mandatory evacuations across western San Miguel and Mora counties. By the morning of April 23rd, it was reported that the Calf Canyon Fire had merged with the nearby Hermits Peak Fire, and together, these two fires had burned more than 42,000 acres. A week later, on April 29th, yet another widespread dangerous wind event caused the Calf Canyon and Hermits Peak fires to continue to rapidly spread. This prompted another set of mandatory evacuations across western San Miguel County and the issuance of another rare Fire Weather Warning. By the end of the month of April 30th, the Calf Canyon and Hermits Peak wildfires had burned a combined 103,908 acres with 30 percent containment. The Calf Canyon Fire may not be fully contained until July 2022. Up until this point of the fire season, the Calf Canyon Fire has been the most devastating for New Mexico. It is estimated that many homes and structures have been destroyed as citizens come forward with stories about losing everything they have. However, at this time, there is no estimate on how much has been lost as officials have been unable to do official surveys. Damages are estimated.
High Wind, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains
- When
- April 19, 10:55 PM MST to 11:15 PM MST
- Where
- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
- Coordinates
- 36.032, -104.803 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An AWOS station near Angel Fire measured a peak wind gust of 61 mph.
High Wind, Central Highlands
- When
- April 20, 7:53 AM MST to 9:53 AM MST
- Where
- Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 38 kt (44 mph) measured sustained
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An ASOS station near Clines Corners measured a peak sustained wind speed of 44 mph.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Vermont, April 19, 2022$520,000 · 10 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in New York, April 19, 2022$275,000 · 6 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in Massachusetts, April 19, 2022$26,000 · 60 kt wind · 9 events
- High Wind in Montana, April 19, 202257 kt wind · 10 events
- Drought in South Dakota, April 19 to 30, 20226 events
- High Wind in California, April 19, 202270 kt wind · 6 events
- Marine High Wind in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, April 19, 202266 kt wind · 5 events
- Frost and Freeze in Missouri, April 19, 20225 events
- Drought in Nebraska, April 19 to 30, 20224 events
- Frost and Freeze in Illinois, April 19, 20224 events
- Coastal Flood and High Wind in Maine, April 19, 202252 kt wind · 4 events
- Drought in Kansas, April 19 to 30, 20223 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1008877, 1008878, 1012058, 1009644, 1009643.