Montana, 2022

High Wind in Montana, April 19, 2022

April 19, 2022 · NWS TFX · 10 events in 10 counties and zones

A trough and attendant cold front passing through the area helped to mix down H850-700 jet max of 50-60 kts across the Hi-Line.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
10

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A trough and attendant cold front passing through the area helped to mix down H850-700 jet max of 50-60 kts across the Hi-Line.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 18, 10:50 PM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 18, 10:50 PM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1150 PM MDT Mon Apr 18 2022

Aviation Section Updated

.UPDATE...
The only change for the evening update was to lower minimum humidity
values for Tuesday afternoon over the region.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
A Pacific front will bring accumulating snow to the mountains on
Tuesday, in addition to strong westerly winds to the plains of
Central and North Central Montana. High temperatures will remain
below normal through the rest of the work week, with the potential
for another spring storm to end the work week and into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
1150 PM MDT Mon Apr 18 2022 (19/06Z TAF period)

VFR conditions are expected over the northern Plains through the
period, but do expect strong surface winds during the
afternoon/evening hours. Rain/snow develops along the divide by 12z
and spreads over Southwest MT during the morning hours, exiting
Southwest MT during the late afternoon hours. Some IFR conditions
are likely in/near areas of snow. Mountains will be obscured along
the divide and across much of Southwest MT through about 00z Wed.
Lighter surface winds move into the entire region after 01z Wed.
Brusda

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 525 PM MDT Mon Apr 18 2022/

Rest of Today through Thursday night...primary concerns throughout
the period is accumulating snow (tonight through Tuesday evening)
and High Winds (Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening/night).

Ridging over the Northern Rockies will build east to over the
Northern High Plains through the overnight hours as a fast moving
shortwave trough (currently moving over the coast of the Pacific
Northwest) slides east overnight. At the surface, cyclogenesis was
underway this afternoon in lee of the Canadian Rockies, with the
surface low expected to strengthen to ~990mb as it moves east and
away from the mountains and out over the plains of Southeast
Alberta/Southwest Saskatchewan through Tuesday afternoon. As the
surface low begins to move eastward Tuesday morning, it will drag a
Pacific cold front from west to east across the Northern Rockies,
with the front expected to clear eastern portions of the CWA by 18z
Tuesday. This Pacific cold front will bring increasing chances for
snow (possibly a rain/snow mix at lower elevations) to areas along
and southwest of a Browning to Kings Hill Pass line on Tuesday.
Orographic precipitation (snow) is likely along the Continental
Divide tonight prior to the front Tuesday morning, with snow then
expanding in areal coverage along and in wake of the front across
Southwest and portions of Central Montana during the day on Tuesday.
Snowfall accumulations across lower elevations from tonight through
Tuesday evening of less than 0.5" are possible, with 1-3" over
mountain passes and 3-6" above pass levels. Given that most if not
all of the snow will be falling during the daylight hours of
Tuesday, expect most of the accumulating snow to be confined to
shaded and grassy surfaces, with most road surfaces remaining wet.
For this reason we will continue to hold off on any Winter Weather
highlights, and address any minor impacts with a SPS.

In addition to the chance for precipitation, the Pacific front on
Tuesday will also bring increasing westerly winds, especially to the
plains of Central and North Central Montana. The High Wind Warning
that was initially in place for the Rocky Mountain Front, Glacier,
and Toole Counties has been expanded further east to include Eastern
Pondera, Liberty, and Hill Counties. Confidence is high (>80%) that
High Winds will be realized across these areas, especially given
favorable timing of the surface front/upper level trough axis
passage and a H850-700 jet max of 50-60kts moving over these areas.
The High Wind Warning start time for the Rocky Mountain Front was
moved up to 15z Tuesday given an earlier expected arrival time of
the winds, with the remaining High Wind Warning areas starting at
18z Tuesday. Further to the east over eastern portions of the CWA,
the High Wind Watch for Fergus County was cancelled as confidence is
high that winds will remain below warning criteria here. The watch
for Blaine and Chouteau Counties was left as is given continued
uncertainty. Probabilistic support for high winds across Chouteau
and Blaine counties remains low (10-40%) across most areas; however,
given the favorable pattern I was not confident enough to cancel the
watch. Will let future shifts address these two remaining counties
for either a cancellation or upgrade. - Moldan

Friday through Monday...Another spring storm will move into the
central Rocky mountain states by Friday and lift out to the northern
US plains this weekend. Our area will be on the northern/western
edge of this system but there is a considerable amount of
uncertainty regarding the western extent of heavier precipitation
as the circulation lifts north into the Dakotas Friday/Saturday.
Recent trends among some model/ensemble systems have shown a western
shift with a more extended period of moist northerly flow around the
low centered east of the area, which would bring considerably more
precipitation to the area than is indicated by the current blended
model solution, especially over and adjacent to the central MT
mountains. While this is not the most likely forecast scenario, it's
worth noting the trend and potential for cooler temperatures and
impactful precipitation/snow. This system would not be as cold as
the previous spring storm system, resulting a greater impact of
timing on the ability to accumulate on road surfaces. Some drying
and gradual warming is likely after the system exits the area late
this weekend into early next week. Hoenisch

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  33  49  26  48 /  10  20   0   0
CTB  29  44  25  44 /  10  10   0   0
HLN  35  50  27  53 /  30  40  10   0
BZN  31  49  23  51 /  30  70  20  10
WYS  26  42  16  44 /  40 100  40  20
DLN  33  47  23  49 /  40  70  10  10
HVR  31  52  28  46 /  10  10   0   0
LWT  32  50  25  44 /  10  20   0  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 9 AM Tuesday to midnight MDT Tuesday
night Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain
Front.

High Wind Watch from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday
night Blaine...Chouteau.

High Wind Warning from noon Tuesday to midnight MDT Tuesday
night Eastern Glacier...Eastern Pondera...Hill...Liberty...Toole.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 19, 2:26 AM MST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
326 AM MDT TUE APR 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 21 SW LIMA              44.47N 112.95W
04/19/2022  M57 MPH          BEAVERHEAD         MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION HRKM8 HARKNESS RAWS.

&&

BRUSDA

Event by event

10 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Beaverhead

When
April 19, 3:05 AM MST to 9:19 AM MST
Where
Beaverhead forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Two sensors measured gusts of 58 mph or greater, including mesonet station bdlm8 Beaverhead Deerlodge No 2 which measured a 61 mph gust.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
April 19, 7:15 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station delmt Dellwo (mcscn) measured a wind gust of 65 mph outside the warning valid time.

High Wind, Toole

When
April 19, 11:07 AM MST to 3:03 PM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Multiple sensors measured gusts of 58 mph or greater, including mesonet station mtswt Sweetgrass (MT DOT) which measured a wind gust of 63 mph. The initial wind gust that met criteria was before the warning was valid.

High Wind, Hill

When
April 19, 1:15 PM MST to 5:15 PM MST
Where
Hill forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Two sensors measured gusts of 58 mph or greater, including Mesonet station ew1937 Goldstone which measured a wind gust of 61 mph.

High Wind, Chouteau

When
April 19, 1:30 PM MST to 3:45 PM MST
Where
Chouteau forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Multiple sensors measured winds gusts of 58 mph or greater, including mesonet station mtm02 10.2 S Loma (MT-MESO) which measured a gust of 59 mph.

High Wind, Fergus

When
April 19, 2:15 PM MST
Where
Fergus forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station ts705 Lewistown Portable No 2 measured a single wind gust of 59 mph.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
April 19, 2:16 PM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

ASOS station KCTB Cut Bank Airport measured a single gust of 60 mph.

High Wind, Cascade

When
April 19, 3:16 PM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station fw2944 Belt measured a single gust of 66 mph.

High Wind, Eastern Pondera

When
April 19, 3:45 PM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station ARC-wtri Conrad measured a single gust of 58 mph.

High Wind, Liberty

When
April 19, 3:46 PM MST to 4:30 PM MST
Where
Liberty forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Two sensors measured wind gusts of 58 mph or greater, including mesonet station gw0416 Joplin which measured a 59 mph gust.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, April 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1016171, 1016182, 1016184, 1016177, 1016173, 1016175, 1016176, 1016172, 1016180, 1016178.