Montana, 2022

High Wind in Montana, May 13, 2022

May 13, 2022 · NWS TFX · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

A fast moving weather disturbance and cold front sprinted eastward along the US/Canada border and brought another round of strong winds to the Rocky Mountain Front and the Plains. The strongest winds occurred during the afternoon hours of May 13, 2022.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A fast moving weather disturbance and cold front sprinted eastward along the US/Canada border and brought another round of strong winds to the Rocky Mountain Front and the Plains. The strongest winds occurred during the afternoon hours of May 13, 2022.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 13, 4:20 AM MST, 3 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 4:20 AM MST, 3 hours 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
520 AM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...Aviation Section Updated...

.SYNOPSIS...

Strong and gusty winds develop over Central and North-central
Montana today, with the strongest winds occurring along the Rocky
Mountain Front and adjacent plains. Temperatures will warm back into
the 60s and 70s through the weekend, trending above normal by Sunday
and Monday ahead of a shortwave trough that makes its way over the
Northern Rockies, reintroducing below normal temperatures and
precipitation back into the forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

With the strong closed low responsible for the recent precipitation
well east, focus now changes to the negatively-tilted upper-level
shortwave trough extending out of British Columbia early Friday.
With the junction of the frontal passage from the Pacific, and the
closed upper-level low associated with the negatively-tilted
shortwave over the Northern Rockies today brings increasing westerly
winds for much of the CWA. A High Wind Warning remains in affect for
the Rocky Mountain Front, Eastern Glacier, and Toole from 18z Friday
lasting through 3z Saturday.

Furthermore light precipitation may develop along the Continental
Divide, and along the eastern portions of Southwest Montana near
West Yellowstone, though accumulations remain minimal.

Upper-level ridging builds back over the Continental Divide early
Saturday, amplifying through the latter half of the weekend,
signifying the initiation of warmer conditions to the CWA.
Isolated to scattered showers and possibly even thunderstorms will
exist during this time frame despite the persistent upper-level
ridge overhead, with the best opportunities to remain across
Southwest Montana. Temperatures increase back into the 60s and 70s
for most locations through the extended forecast period until the
upper-level ridging propagates eastward. This opens the door for
a new shortwave trough from the Pacific to make way over the
Northern Rockies, reintroducing below seasonal temperatures and
precipitation back into the forecast for the entire CWA.

In the longer range outlook, CPC has indicated a strong trend of
ensemble data from the GEFS and Euro suggesting unseasonably cold
temperatures through mid to late May for much of the Northwest
CONUS. These trends show a persistent coverages of at least 20%
chance of minimum temperatures falling below the 15th percentile,
which would mean sub-freezing temperatures would be possible. This
coupled with the onset of likely above normal precipitation would be
indicative of a late May snow storm, which coincides with long range
model guidance. Note, however, that there are no details regarding
track or intensity for the late May storm this far out, but
definitely something to look into closer to date. - Pierce

&&

.AVIATION...
520 AM MDT Thu May 12 2022 (13/12Z TAF period)

VFR conditions continue to prevail across the region under mid- to
high-level clouds. Light showers are possible during the morning
hours, which may briefly reduce visibility and cloud ceilings to
MVFR conditions. Brief periods of fog persist over KHVR this morning
as well, reducing visibility to LIFR conditions. Otherwise, gusty
winds remain in the forecast, especially for North-central Montana
along the Rocky Mountain Front and adjacent plains, which could
impact light aircraft through the period. - Pierce

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation weather
and hazard information.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  54  32  62  37 /  10   0   0   0
CTB  49  31  58  36 /  10   0   0   0
HLN  55  35  63  40 /  20   0  20  10
BZN  55  32  59  34 /  30  10  50  20
WYS  49  27  53  27 /  60  10  70  30
DLN  54  32  59  34 /  10  10  40  10
HVR  60  36  65  39 /  20  10   0   0
LWT  54  30  59  36 /  30   0  10  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from noon today to 9 PM MDT this evening
Eastern Glacier...Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky
Mountain Front...Toole.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 13, 4:50 AM MST, 3 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
550 AM MDT FRI MAY 13 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW GREAT FALLS       47.52N 111.34W
05/13/2022  M0.63 INCH       CASCADE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PIERCE
Local storm report, May 13, 4:52 AM MST, 3 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
552 AM MDT FRI MAY 13 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW GREAT FALLS       47.52N 111.34W
05/12/2022  M0.63 INCH       CASCADE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN REPORT FROM 2
            WNW GREAT FALLS.

&&

PIERCE

Event by event

5 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
May 13, 8:18 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

MDT Sieben station measured a 50 kt (58 mph) non-thunderstorm wind gust.

High Wind, Toole

When
May 13, 12:09 PM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Shelby Airport (GW0664) measured a 50 kt (58 mph) non-thunderstorm wind gust.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
May 13, 1:45 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Dellwo station measured a 52 kt (60 mph) non-thunderstorm wind gust.

High Wind, Chouteau

When
May 13, 2:00 PM MST
Where
Chouteau forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

MTM02 station (10 S Loma) measured a 51 kt (59 mph) non-thunderstorm wind gust.

High Wind, Fergus

When
May 13, 5:00 PM MST
Where
Fergus forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

KLWT measured a 51 kt (59 mph) non-thunderstorm wind gust.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, May 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1030265, 1030266, 1030262, 1030263, 1030264.