Showers and thunderstorms developed over the Big Country along a dryline, and over Northwest Texas near a stationary front, the afternoon of Friday May 13. Some of these storms became severe as they moved into western and northwestern portions of the forecast area Friday evening.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Showers and thunderstorms developed over the Big Country along a dryline, and over Northwest Texas near a stationary front, the afternoon of Friday May 13. Some of these storms became severe as they moved into western and northwestern portions of the forecast area Friday evening. Strong to damaging wind gusts developed farther east later in the evening due to heat burst winds associated with dissipating thunderstorms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 13, 1:50 PM CST, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 250 PM CDT Fri May 13 2022 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 132 PM CDT Fri May 13 2022/ /Today through Saturday/ A line of unexpected showers continues to move east across our eastern counties this afternoon. An omen for Friday the 13th and what is come later today? I hope not! A hot and breezy afternoon is in store while we monitor for convective development to our west and northwest along a dryline and stalled front, respectively. CAM guidance with each model run shows slight differences in where and how much convection develops this afternoon along these boundaries, but there continues to be some run-to-run consistency that isolated to scattered storms will form in these two areas. Forecast soundings indicate moderate CAPE, a weak or no cap, and decent shear values around 30-40 kts across our western counties late this afternoon into the early evening hours where these storms may enter after 5 pm. Therefore a small threat for strong or severe storms is possible within a window of 5-8 pm generally along and west of a line from Goldthwaite to Palo Pinto to Bowie. As convection moves east towards our western counties and/or southeast towards our northwestern counties, it should weaken, but rain/showers may continue to move across the region through the overnight hours. Have adjusted PoPs up for a good portion of the region this evening and overnight but still kept them at values less than 35 percent for now. Strong and gusty winds will be the main threat, but hail will be possible with the initial storms. Gusty winds could continue into the overnight hours with decaying storms/rain. Saturday is expected to be another hot day with highs in the 90s across the region. The potential for more storms somewhere in the region is slowly increasing but will likely be dependent on where the stalled front has moved to and where any other residual boundaries will be from overnight convection. For now, have included a 20 PoP across our southwest counties where some CAMs are indicating convection occurring. Strong or severe storms could again be possible. JLDunn && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Saturday Night Onward/ Summer-like weather will continue through the second half of the weekend and beyond as a potent mid-level ridge keeps a tight grip over North and Central Texas. However, a series of shortwaves will cause the ridge to become less pronounced late this weekend and into early next week. This will allow a weak front to slide southward out of Oklahoma and stall somewhere across North Texas. Any showers and thunderstorms associated with the front are expected to remain to our east/northeast. Quiet weather will continue for the remainder of the work week, but unseasonable warmth will persist. Record-breaking temperatures are looking fairly likely on Monday and Tuesday for our DFW climate site. For Waco, we could be contending with record-setting temperatures each day of the forecast period (Sunday through Friday). This will likely occur if we remain rain- free through the end of the week, which most guidance is in agreement with this solution. One caveat is there's some uncertainty in our synoptic weather pattern beginning mid to late this week, which could play a role in whether we're hot and dry or less-hot with showers and storms. If our weather pattern becomes more amplified, we could see rain chances return mid to late this week with slightly lower temperatures. Right now, this solution appears unlikely, so a hot and dry forecast was maintained through the end of the period. However, we'll be monitoring for any substantial shifts in guidance over the next several days. Stay tuned (and keep your fingers crossed)! Barnes && .AVIATION... /Issued 132 PM CDT Fri May 13 2022/ /18Z TAFs/ Concerns: Showers possible in the DFW Metroplex tonight. VFR will prevail through the remainder of the afternoon with south to southeasterly winds at speeds between 10-15 kts. Later this afternoon and early evening, convection is likely to develop to our west and/or northwest along a combination of a stalled front and dryline. This convection should weaken as it moves east, but may maintain itself long enough into the I-35 corridor around the DFW Metroplex. Have kept the mention of VCSH in the Metroplex TAFs from 03-06Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to continue on Saturday across the region. Some strands of stratus may move across the region to the east of the TAF sites, but coverage is expected to be minimal and did not mention in the KACT TAF. JLDunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 70 96 70 98 71 / 30 5 0 0 5 Waco 70 96 68 98 70 / 10 20 5 0 5 Paris 67 90 66 92 67 / 30 5 5 0 10 Denton 65 95 66 98 67 / 30 0 0 0 10 McKinney 67 93 67 95 68 / 30 5 0 0 10 Dallas 71 95 71 98 72 / 30 0 0 0 5 Terrell 68 92 67 95 69 / 30 5 0 0 5 Corsicana 70 93 69 96 71 / 20 5 0 0 5 Temple 68 95 67 98 68 / 10 20 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 65 97 66 102 68 / 30 10 0 0 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 634 PM CDT Fri May 13 2022 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-141215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 634 PM CDT Fri May 13 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. There is a slight chance of storms tonight across much of the region. A strong to severe storm or two may be possible to the west of Interstate 35/35W through the early evening. Damaging winds and hail will be the main threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. There is a slight chance for storms mainly west of Interstate 35 and south of Interstate 20 Saturday afternoon. A strong to marginally severe storm may be possible, and damaging winds and hail will be the main threats. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter reports may be needed to the west of Interstate 35/35W through the evening.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
640 PM CDT Fri May 13 2022
TXZ115-140015-
Stephens TX-
640 PM CDT Fri May 13 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Stephens
County through 715 PM CDT...
At 640 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Breckenridge. This storm was nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Breckenridge and Necessity.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3270 9902 3286 9904 3287 9858 3257 9858
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 180DEG 0KT 3278 9895
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
66The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 39 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:49 UTC.
5 high wind, 3 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter reported golf ball sized hail about a mile west of Breckenridge, TX.
Amateur radio reported baseball sized hail about 3 miles east of Breckenridge along Highway 180.
The local fire department reported golfball sized hail about a mile west of Eliasville, TX along FM 1974.
The Automated Weather Observation System at Eastland Municipal Airport measured a 64 MPH wind gust.
The Fort Worth Meacham Airport Automated Surface Observation System measured a 60 MPH wind gust.
A public report indicated power lines down 5 miles southwest of Cresson, TX.
A social media report estimated 60 MPH gusts in Edgecliff, TX.
The Cleburne, TX Automated Weather Observation System measured a wind gust of 59 MPH.
A social media report indicated a measured wind gust of 62 MPH and a large tree toppled about 3 miles south of Keene, TX.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1030187, 1030189, 1030191, 1030193, 1030201, 1030202, 1030213, 1030216, 1030220.