Montana, 2022

Blizzard in Montana, December 7, 2022

December 7, 2022 · NWS TFX · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Blizzard conditions were reported along the southern Rocky Mountain Front as a strong weather disturbance moved across the region.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.0 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Blizzard conditions were reported along the southern Rocky Mountain Front as a strong weather disturbance moved across the region.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 6, 11:30 PM MST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 6, 11:30 PM MST, 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1130 PM MST Tue Dec 6 2022

UPDATED AVIATION SECTION

.SYNOPSIS...

Periods of snow will continue over the eastern portions of Central
and North-central Montana through the evening hours. Very cold
temperatures will continue over the plains through Wednesday
morning, especially for Hill and Blaine counties. Gusty downslope
winds will develop along the Rocky Mountain Front and on the north
and east facing mountain slopes on the plains, increasing the threat
for blowing snow at least through Wednesday. Although periods of
winds will continue through the end of the week, drier conditions
with near normal temperatures are expected..

&&

.UPDATE...

1130 PM UPDATE... Allowed the remaining Winter Weather Advisories
for the Rocky Mountain Front and eastern TFX plains to expire.
Snowfall has further diminished in the east and any additional
lingering accumulation will be minor. The Rocky Mountain Front
Advisory has essentially been replaced with the Blizzard Warning,
which was started immediately, as wind gusts are already exceeding
35 mph there. -Coulston

711 PM UPDATE... Sending out another update to lower overnight
minimum temperatures over the plains. We also have extended the Wind
Chill Advisory south to include all of the plains given wind chills
in many places already falling below the -20 degree threshold.
Finally, I cancelled Public Zones 302, 304, and 308 from the Winter
Weather Advisory for snow that had previously been extended to 9 PM
MST this evening.

458 PM UPDATE... Based on satellite and radar trends, I have
extended the expiration time for the Winter Weather Advisory for
snow that was in effect until 5 PM this afternoon to 9 PM MST this
evening for Public Zones 302, 304, and 308.

Another change made was to lower minimum temperatures tonight
over the plains by up to several degrees, closer to the NBM 10th
percentile. Several locations had already seen temperatures fall
below forecasted lows.

Finally, I added freezing drizzle wording to the grids along the
Continental Divide both north and south where some models depict
the dendritic growth zone drying out overnight tonight into
Wednesday while also maintaining light QPF. This is usually a good
indicator that the primary precipitation type is liquid instead of
frozen (i.e., snow). However, with any measurable precipitation
likely confined to the higher mountains, impacts are expected to
be negligible or significantly limited.

&&

.AVIATION...
1130 PM MST Tue Dec 6 2022 (07/06Z TAF period)

North Central Montana Plains (KCTB, KGTF, KLWT, AND KHVR)...

Mid-level cloudiness and lingering light snowfall will continue to
move out of the eastern TFX plains (KHVR KLWT) through 09Z. VFR
conditions will otherwise mostly persist across the area through the
next 24 hours. Moderate mid-level winds will continue mountain wave
turbulence and low-level wind shear across the area through 18Z.
Gusty westerly winds will also spread east from the Rocky Mountain
Front through 15Z, causing much of the area to have blowing snow.
Visibilities will mostly be reduced to MVFR conditions at times, but
IFR or lower conditions are more likely on the Rocky Mountain Front,
causing the mountains to be obscured there.

Southwest Montana (KHLN, KBZN, KEKS)...

VFR conditions will continue with only scattered to broken mid- and
high-level cloudiness passing overhead through the next 24 hours.
Decreasing mid-level winds will decrease mountain wave turbulence,
but low-level wind shear will continue at KHLN until 18Z. Breezy
southerly winds in the Madison River Valley will gust in excess of
25 kt through around 00Z, possibly reducing visibility at times due
to lofted snow, but confidence is too low to include in the KEKS TAF
at this time.
-Coulston

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 326 PM MST Tue Dec 6 2022/

Remainder of this afternoon through Wednesday...A nearly
stationary Arctic boundary remains nearly stationary over Central
Montana, but is now slowly moving back northward. Bitterly cold
temperatures are well established north of this boundary, with
more seasonable temperatures being observed over the southwest.
Light snow lingers over the northern and central portions of
North- central Montana as shortwave energy passes within the
northwesterly flow aloft. Snow will generally begin to diminish
and end from west to east this afternoon, but will continue
through the evening hours over the Rocky Mountain Front and the
eastern portions of the plains. Today's advisories mostly remain
unchanged, but were lifted early for Cascade, Judith Basin, and
the Little Belts as snow has ended for these places. Also, Hill
and Chouteau Counties were extended to 11 pm. Wind Chill
Advisories were also posted for most of the Hi-line due to 15 to
30 below wind chills likely through Wednesday morning. The colder
air should retreat from southwest to northeast tonight into
Wednesday as warming winds slowly erode the colder air.

Tonight into Wednesday, a tightening surface pressure gradient
and 35 to 55 kt H700 winds will initially increase winds along the
rocky Mountain Front tonight before expanding onto the plains
during the day on Wednesday. The latest NBM 4.1 probabilities
suggest a 60 to a percent chance of wind gusts exceeding 55 mph,
while portions of North- central Montana see higher probabilities
of 39 mph wind gusts or higher, especially for locations of the
northern/eastern aspects of higher terrain. A fresh snow pack
combined with gusty to at times strong winds will create
significant blowing snow concerns tonight and Wednesday,
particularly along the Rocky Mountain Front, where ground blizzard
conditions are expected. In light of this, a Blizzard Warning has
been issued for the Rocky Mountain Front tonight through
Wednesday afternoon, and Winter Weather Advisories have been
issued for most plains locations. The strongest winds are most
likely to occur lat tonight and early Wednesday, but will remain
gusty for the remainder of the day. The blowing snow concerns
should diminish in the afternoon as winds lighten and snow begins
to scour out, regardless the blowing snow winter weather products
will run through 5 pm Wednesday afternoon. -RCG

Thursday through Saturday... Forecast models indicate that a more
progressive pattern will persist through this period. Weak
disturbances in a generally westerly flow aloft will bring periods
of light snow to the mountains, periods of gusty but not strong
westerly winds to the plains, and overall near normal
temperatures. However, no single disturbance appears to be strong
enough to warrant wind or winter highlights at this time.

Sunday through next Tuesday... A deep low pressure trough is
forecast to move out of the Gulf of Alaska into the western United
States for this period. This should slow down the progression of
systems through the area and likely bring at least a few days of
cooler than normal temperatures and a broader chance for snow.
This set-up will need to be monitored for potential winter weather
highlights. -Coulston

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  -7  34  16  32 /  20   0   0   0
CTB -14  32  12  31 /  20   0   0   0
HLN  20  32   7  27 /  10   0   0   0
BZN  10  26  -1  25 /  10   0   0   0
WYS  12  24  -2  20 /  30  20   0  10
DLN   3  23   3  21 /   0   0   0   0
HVR -15  26  10  28 /  60  10   0   0
LWT  -3  32  10  33 /  60   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 AM MST WEDNESDAY FOR All of
North Central and Central Montana.

BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM MST WEDNESDAY FOR the Rocky
Mountain Front and immediate adjacent plains.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM UNTIL 5 PM MST WEDNESDAY
FOR PORTIONS of North Central and Central Montana.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 blizzard. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, East Glacier Park Region

When
December 7, 12:00 AM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
East Glacier Park Region forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
48.467, -112.610 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Glacier County DES posted a video on social media of blizzard conditions in Kiowa.

Blizzard, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 7, 1:00 AM MST to 8:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
47.480, -112.315 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotter approximately 17 miles west-southwest of Bynum (close to the border of MT zones 307 and 308) reported blizzard conditions for 7 hours. A local volunteer fire department submitted photos from Stonewall Mountain of a communications tower being downed due to the weight of significant riming from snow/ice/wind. The downed tower had been there for 30 years and was the communications tower for multiple emergency response agencies.

Blizzard, Northern High Plains

When
December 7, 1:00 AM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Northern High Plains forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
48.467, -112.610 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Montana Highway Department reported that a large swath of Highway 2 and Highway 89 had severe driving conditions (due to blizzard conditions) west of Browning.

What these are

Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, December 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1073229, 1071702, 1073236.