Showers and thunderstorms initially developed over the higher terrain and as they moved into the I-25 corridor, some increase in intensity was observed. This was evident across El Paso county, where an isolated severe wind gust to 70 mph occurred.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.
Showers and thunderstorms initially developed over the higher terrain and as they moved into the I-25 corridor, some increase in intensity was observed. This was evident across El Paso county, where an isolated severe wind gust to 70 mph occurred.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 11:22 AM MST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1222 PM MDT Tue Jul 19 2022 .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 422 AM MDT Tue Jul 19 2022 Key Messages: 1) Above normal, hot, temperatures continue today across southern Colorado. 2) Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop over the higher terrain by midday, and then push into the I-25 corridor this afternoon into the evening. Strong, a few severe, storms are possible along the I-25 corridor. Relatively active early morning, as mid level impulse pushing across the region supported some isolated showers and storms across the Pikes Peak region and parts of the I-25 corridor. This development was actually responsible for some isolated high wind gusts early this morning, but with dry weather now in place. Elsewhere, lee trough in place across the eastern plains has help keep winds/gusts elevated along with temperatures. Locations closer to the CO/KS border have remained well into the 80s for much of the night. While winds and temps should lower over the next several hours, will keep an eye on how much they lower. The temps still in the 80s with little recovery overnight in these locations is a little a concerning, especially with high temps over 100 degrees yesterday and similar highs expected once again today. Some very recent outflow has helped with some additional cooling this morning, but if temps don't really fall too much for the remainder of the morning, may issue an SPS to highlight the early morning temp trends and expected heat later this morning/today. Once again, another hot day is expected today with high temps expected well into the 90s and 100s across the plains. Additionally, another day of shower and thunderstorm activity is expected from late morning/midday through the afternoon and evening. The westerly flow in place will usher in some fairly active mid levels, with this mid level energy quickly pushing through this afternoon. Initial storms, with gusty winds and brief heavy downpours, expected to push east off of the mountains as soon as midday into the early afternoon. Additional low/mid level convergence once again expected lee of the mountains and along the Palmer divide will support additional development this afternoon. The stronger ascent spreading overhead along with this convergence and some upslope component and with weak instability, could support stronger storm development along the I-25 corridor this afternoon into early evening. Despite the weak instability, actually do think this strongly forced convection developing in a high DCAPE environment could support strong to severe storms today. High wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph, potentially higher, would be the main hazards with any stronger storm. Drier air over the eastern plains should limit the eastward movement of any storms, however, can't rule out an isolated storm or two pushing into parts of the eastern plains this evening. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 422 AM MDT Tue Jul 19 2022 Key Messages: 1) Increased coverage of storms Wednesday, with strong to severe thunderstorms possible southeast mts and plains. 2) Warmer and drier across the plains into the early weekend, with continued chances for afternoon thunderstorms over the higher terrain. 3) Cooler with another uptick in storms early next week. Wednesday-Wednesday night...Latest models remain consistent with upper level ridging building south and west across the southern Rockies, with monsoonal moisture increasing across the region within the more west to northwest flow aloft across the central Rockies. Models are also consistent with shortwave energy riding the periphery of the ridge across the northern Rockies, which sends a front across eastern Colorado through the day Wednesday, leading to increasing low level moisture within developing east to southeast upslope flow across the plains Wednesday afternoon. This all sets the stage for better expected coverage of afternoon showers and thunderstorms over and near the higher terrain through the day Wednesday, with storms moving east southeast across the I-25 Corridor and out across the far southeast plains Wednesday afternoon and evening. Models do indicate CAPE values of up 1000 j/kg across the higher terrain, with 1000 to 1500 j/kg across the I-25 Corridor and plains, and combined with shear of 20-35kts, there certainly could be strong to severe storms across the southeast mts, the I-25 Corridor and into the southeast plains Wednesday afternoon and evening, with main threats being damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall, with hail to near an inch in diameter also possible. With the expected ample moisture in place, flash flooding will also be a threat, despite storms moving east southeast at a decent clip. Temperatures are also expected to cool slightly on Wednesday, with highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s across the lower elevations, and mainly in 60s and 70s across the higher terrain. Thursday-Saturday...Upper level ridge builds back across the Four Corners region through Friday, with flow aloft becoming more northerly across the plains and more west to northwest across western Colorado. This will tend to keep the plains hot and dry through Friday, with enough moisture in place to support scattered diurnal showers and storms over and near the higher terrain. By Saturday...models indicate the upper ridge to flatten across the central Rockies, as more short wave energy translates across the Intermountain West and Northern Tier, leading better coverage of storms across the higher terrain and slightly better chances of storms moving east across the I-25 Corridor and Plains. Temperatures look to warm through this period, with highs in the mid 90s to the lower 100s across the plains once again, and generally in the 70s and 80s across the higher terrain. Sunday-Monday...Another uptick in storm coverage remains on tap for next weekend and into early next week, as monsoonal moisture increases again within the west to southwest flow aloft, as well as another frontal boundary moves across the plains. Temperatures also progged to cool into early next week. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 1219 PM MDT Tue Jul 19 2022 VFR conditions are anticipated for a large majority of the forecast period for all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. The only concern today will be passing showers/isold TSRA affecting the taf sites mainly later this afternoon and early evening. It is possible brief periods of MVFR may occur in any heavy rain shower, and gusty winds with outflow from the storms will be possible. All 3 taf sites could see some convection today, with KCOS having the highest probability. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...RODRIGUEZ LONG TERM...MW AVIATION...HODANISH
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1135 AM MDT Tue Jul 19 2022 COZ058>089-093>099-201745- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 1135 AM MDT Tue Jul 19 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Showers and thunderstorms will develop over the mountains by early afternoon, and spread east into the Interstate 25 corridor during the mid afternoon time period, and onto the plains this evening. Although showers and storms will be possible over all of the higher terrain and I-25 corridor region this afternoon, the overall best chance of stronger storms will be over the greater Pikes Peak region, especially Fremont, Teller and western El Paso counties. Storms today will be capable of gusty winds of 40 to 50 mph, with localized gusts to 60 mph. Hail up to the size of quarters will be possible, especially in Fremont, Teller and western El Paso counties. Storms will move out onto the plains by late afternoon and early evening, and these storms will be capable of strong gusty winds to 50 to 60 mph, especially over far southeast Colorado. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected across the region on Wednesday. The main storm threats will include lightning, gusty outflow winds, small hail and locally heavy rainfall leading to possible flash flooding. A few severe storms, producing strong winds to around 60 mph and larger hail to the size of quarters, may also possible across the southeast mountains and plains on Wednesday. Warmer and drier conditions are expected across the southeast plains Thursday through Saturday, while isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible over and near the higher terrain. Cooler temperatures with another uptick in thunderstorm coverage remains in the offing for Sunday and Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be possible over the region, with the main concern over Fremont county, Teller county and the western sections of El Paso county. Hodanish
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Wind gust from a collapsing shower moving across the Colorado Springs airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Colorado in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1045842.