Arkansas, 2022Flooding in Arkansas, December 13 to 25, 2022
December 13 to 25, 2022 · NWS LZK · 2 events in 1 county or zone
Heavy rain brought flooding to the White River and Cache River in mid to late December.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Heavy rain brought flooding to the White River and Cache River in mid to late December.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 12, 11:11 PM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 12, 11:11 PM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1111 PM CST Mon Dec 12 2022
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 206 PM CST Mon Dec 12 2022
Low stratus and patchy fog continue with fog expected to increase
overnight. This is suppressing temps again with only 40s and 50s
being seen this afternoon. By Tuesday, however, a powerful upper
cyclone and its surface reflection will emerge over the central
Plains and the associated temp/moisture advection regime will bring
in slightly warmer air with unseasonable moisture in place locally.
Southeasterly surface winds will also increase with breezy
conditions likely as well.
Increasing forcing for ascent coupled with a strong warm conveyor
feeding into the Plains cyclone will promote shower/thunderstorm
development over western sections Monday morning. As the cold front
pushes in from the west and with modest elevated instability
expected, convection should intensify into the afternoon hours,
primarily along the frontal boundary. CAMs still hint at some
potential for pre-frontal convection, although the instability
source for most of AR will remain elevated.
Despite impressive flow magnitude and curvature, the diminished
likelihood of surface-based convection over much of the area tempers
what would otherwise be a concerning all hazards scenario. That
said, given the very strong flow aloft and within the lower
troposphere, damaging winds will be a concern with any convective
development. Surface-based instability will be maximized over far
southern AR with this area seeing some potential for isolated
tornadoes and large hail as well.
Supported by PWAT values in excess of 1.25 to 1.50 inches,
convection will pose some risk for flash flooding, particularly over
the eastern half of the area where antecedent conditions are most
supportive of excess runoff. Still thinking this will be a more
localized threat given the progressive nature of the system, but
worth watching. The heaviest precip will move east during the
morning hours Wed, but overrunning precip behind the main frontal
boundary is likely before another front moves through and scours out
moisture by late Wednesday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 206 PM CST Mon Dec 12 2022
Calmer conditions are expected to return during the long term
portion of the forecast. Synoptically, an expansive strong closed
low is anticipated to be positioned across the Nrn Plains with
stacked surface low beneath it. For AR, near surface flow will be
NWrly promoting below average temperatures through the long range.
Aloft, NW flow will develop and remain anchored over the region
through the weekend.
Through the week, the aforementioned upper and surface low will
slowly slide NEwrd into the UP of MI. Little changes in the position
or orientation of these features are expected through the weekend.
Upper level energy should pivot around the upper low, providing
forcing for ascent, which could bring Slight to Chance PoPs over the
weekend. The bulk of the moisture is expected to stay S of the
state, nonetheless, with cold air in place, some of this
precipitation could fall as a mixture of rain, freezing rain, sleet,
or snow at times. This is still 6 to 7 days out, so there is plenty
of time to monitor long range trends.
Temperatures through the period will in the 30s and 40s for highs
over the N with lows in the 20s to near 30. Over Cntrl and Srn
sections of the state, highs should climb into the 40s and 50s with
lows in the 20s and 30s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1109 PM CST Mon Dec 12 2022
Low pressure is in east Colorado and a warm front extends through
east Texas to southern Louisiana. Areas of fog, drizzle, and
low clouds will continue through tonight. The warm front will move
into Arkansas in the morning and the following cold front will
move through the state during the afternoon and evening with
showers and thunderstorms. A few of the thunderstorms could become
severe with large hail and damaging winds. MVFR to LIFR conditions
are expected.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 46 43 62 47 / 0 10 100 90
Camden AR 54 50 67 48 / 0 10 100 70
Harrison AR 45 40 59 41 / 0 40 100 20
Hot Springs AR 49 47 64 46 / 0 30 100 50
Little Rock AR 50 47 66 48 / 0 10 100 80
Monticello AR 53 51 69 53 / 0 0 80 100
Mount Ida AR 51 47 64 43 / 0 40 100 30
Mountain Home AR 44 40 60 43 / 0 30 100 50
Newport AR 46 43 62 48 / 0 10 90 100
Pine Bluff AR 52 50 67 51 / 0 10 90 90
Russellville AR 48 45 63 43 / 0 40 100 40
Searcy AR 47 44 65 46 / 0 10 90 90
Stuttgart AR 49 48 65 51 / 0 10 90 90
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
AVIATION...56
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 12, 2:12 PM CST, 11 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
212 PM CST Mon Dec 12 2022
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-131100-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
212 PM CST Mon Dec 12 2022
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Fog will increase overnight with patchy dense fog possible.
Hazardous travel conditions may result. Otherwise, no additional
hazards are expected overnight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Rain and thunderstorms are expected to develop and move across the
state Tuesday into Tuesday night. Some of these storms may be
severe, especially across far southern Arkansas, with damaging
straight-line winds the primary hazard. Locally heavy rainfall will
be possible on Tuesday as well. Strong southerly winds will
develop across the state on Tuesday before a cold front makes its
way through with gusts approaching 30 mph at times.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation may be needed Tuesday into Tuesday night.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
67/69/70
Flood, Woodruff
- When
- December 13, 1:15 AM CST to December 25, 5:45 AM CST
- Where
- Woodruff County, 0.91 mi WSW of Riverside to 0.61 mi SW of Cavell
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 35.276, -91.245
Heavy rain in mid December brought flooding to the Cache River at Patterson.
Flood, Woodruff
- When
- December 15, 12:30 PM CST to December 19, 9:00 PM CST
- Where
- Woodruff County, 3.02 mi WNW of Augusta to 1.48 mi SW of Ruffwood
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 35.294, -91.421
Heavy rain in mid December brought flooding to the White River at Augusta.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Hail in Louisiana, December 13, 20222 deaths · 16 injured · $1.7 million · EF3 · 3 events
- Cold in California, December 13 to 14, 20224 deaths · 1 event
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Louisiana, December 13 to 15, 202216 injured · $635,000 · EF2 · 7 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Mississippi, December 13 to 14, 20223 injured · $4.4 million · EF2 · 49 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Texas, December 13, 20229 injured · $236,000 · EF2 · 33 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Oklahoma, December 13, 2022$168,000 · EF2 · 12 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Texas, December 13, 2022$85,000 · EF2 · 4 events
- Tornadoes in Louisiana, December 13, 2022$305,000 · EF1 · 2 events
- Blizzard and Heavy Snow in North Dakota, December 13 to 16, 202272 events
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Minnesota, December 13 to 16, 202226 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in South Dakota, December 13 to 16, 202224 events
- Heavy Snow in North Dakota, December 13 to 16, 202222 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1068251, 1068252.