Severe drought conditions developed across part of Hopkins County during late October.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions developed across part of Hopkins County during late October.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 25, 6:06 PM CST, 5 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 706 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Tonight through Tuesday Night/ No major changes to the forecast through Tuesday night including the powerful storm system expected to move through the Plains and the severe weather threat across North Texas. The remainder of tonight will be quiet and initially cloud free with a remnant frontal boundary near the I-20 corridor. This boundary will lift north as a warm front overnight, allowing mid/upper 60s dewpoints to surge back northward and may result in warming temperatures late overnight across our northeast counties. In addition, widespread low cloud cover will likely overspread the region by early Tuesday morning. A deep trough will spread across the Intermountain West during the day Tuesday while a lee side cyclone rapidly deepens across eastern Colorado. This will help focus a strengthening low level jet across Northwest Texas and keep an ample supply of moisture into the region. Clouds should scatter out during the afternoon, which will allow temperatures to climb into the mid/upper 80s. As a dryline sharpens off to our west Tuesday afternoon, deep layer forcing for ascent will spread into the Southern Plains and thunderstorms should erupt across western Oklahoma into northwest Texas by early evening. This initial activity may briefly be discrete supercells with a large hail threat owing to 8.5 C/km lapse rates, but most of this activity will likely remain just off to the northwest of our CWA. As mid level height falls > 20 dam associated with the trough spread into the Plains after dark, any discrete activity should quickly congeal into a squall line and spread east through North Texas overnight (see timing graphics on our webpage for more details). Deep layer shear will be sufficient for severe weather, and low level shear will be supportive of QLCS tornadoes within favorable N-S bowing segments through the overnight hours. However, a lack of stronger instability and overall shear vectors oriented SW to NE along the front/dryline will likely preclude a more significant tornado/damaging wind threat across North Texas. The squall line will continue eastward into early Wednesday morning with precipitation clearing the region from west to east. Given the fast speed of the system, rainfall amounts should generally be less than an inch for most areas. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /Issued 240 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021/ /Tuesday Night through the Weekend/ Active weather is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday morning across all of North and Central Texas as a strong storm system moves across the Plains. Storm initiation is expected around sunset over West Texas Tuesday evening near a dry line. Steep lapse rates will contribute to a large hail and damaging wind threat with these initial storms, but they are expected to quickly congeal into a line as they move into North and Central Texas during the overnight hours. Shear profiles will support a low end tornado threat, but the likelihood of a tornado across our CWA is fairly low. Instability will decrease the further east you go, but a damaging wind threat will remain in place along the leading edge of the line of storms early Wednesday morning. While there is a chance for severe weather impacts across the entire CWA overnight, areas along the line that are oriented in a north- south pattern will present the highest threat for severe winds. This line of storms is expected to move fairly quickly so despite the moisture return ahead of the system, flash flooding is not likely. The cold front associated with the upper level system is expected to push through the area on Wednesday, which will clear out rain chances from west to east. Clearing skies and slightly cooler temperatures can be expected for Wednesday into Wednesday night as a result. By Thursday, expect a noticeable uptick in wind speeds, with sustained northwest winds around 25 mph and gusts up to 40 mph Thursday afternoon. A wind advisory will likely be needed for Thursday as a result. Winds on Friday will still be elevated but should be slightly lower than Thursday as the strong storm system continues its slow eastward trek. These strong north winds will help keep temperatures near normal values through the end of the work week. Dew points will be significantly lower the latter half of the week as well, which may contribute to elevated fire weather concerns, especially on Friday. For the weekend, winds shift southwestward by Saturday afternoon, so the sunny skies and southwesterly flow will allow temperatures to gradually creep up into the mid 70s to low 80s for highs. For Halloween, winds continue to shift and will become southerly, which will gradually increase moisture over the area. However, an increase in cloud cover will be about all we see out of this weather change. The trick-or-treat forecast looks very pleasant for North and Central Texas with warm temperatures and dry weather. There still appears to be a decent chance for a strong cold front to move through the area next week, potentially bringing more fall like temperatures into the region, but it is too far out to speculate details. Schroeder && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR prevails across the region tonight with a weak front draped just south of the Metroplex. Easterly flow prevails in the Metroplex, but this front will spread back north as a warm front overnight. Winds should gradually veer more southerly toward morning. Low level moisture will spread northward overnight and should be accompanied by MVFR cigs in the morning. These will likely prevail through midday before scattering out. A strong storm system will spread into the Plains Tuesday night and a squall line is expected to move through during the overnight hours. We'll have the timing of TS just beyond the current TAF period. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 67 87 66 75 55 / 5 5 100 40 5 Waco 70 86 66 75 55 / 5 5 100 40 5 Paris 59 80 63 73 54 / 0 0 70 80 10 Denton 62 87 61 74 51 / 0 5 100 30 5 McKinney 63 86 64 75 53 / 5 5 100 50 10 Dallas 68 87 66 75 56 / 5 5 100 40 5 Terrell 65 86 65 75 53 / 5 5 80 70 10 Corsicana 69 86 66 77 54 / 0 5 80 70 5 Temple 68 86 63 77 51 / 5 5 90 40 5 Mineral Wells 65 86 59 72 50 / 0 0 100 10 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1157 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-270500- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 1157 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. A line of thunderstorms is expected to move across North and Central Texas Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. Severe weather will be possible with this line of storms. Damaging winds will be the primary hazard. A few tornadoes and hail will also be possible but are not as likely. The threat for severe storms will end late Wednesday morning as storms move into East Texas. Windy conditions can be expected on Thursday and Friday afternoon, with gusts near 40 mph at times. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions developed across part of the county during late October.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 989202.