Severe drought conditions developed across parts of North Texas following the extreme cold event.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions developed across parts of North Texas following the extreme cold event.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 22, 11:48 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1148 PM CST Mon Feb 22 2021 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Overnight through Wednesday/ Increasing southerly winds just above the surface will hamper optimal radiational cooling tonight with temperatures gradually cooling into the 40s for most locations, but a few sheltered spots will drop into the 30s. Otherwise clear skies and tranquil weather will prevail. The south-southwesterly flow, low level warm advection, and sunny skies today will result in unseasonably warm temperatures with high temperatures in the mid 70s in the east to lower 80s in the west. Hard to believe that after the record cold a week ago we are forecasting DFW and Waco to be within 10 degrees of record highs. Winds will increase during the day with speeds of 15 to 25 mph by this afternoon. This is all in response to a deepening surface low over the Plains ahead of our next shortwave and cold front. These southerly winds will continue overnight and bring increasing moisture to the region with low clouds likely to develop along and just east of the I-35 corridor. Some advection fog is possible over the southeast zones by daybreak. Due to the stronger southerly winds and increasing dewpoints, low temperatures will be unseasonably warm and in the 50s for all but the western zones. A cold front will move through most of the CWA during the morning to early afternoon hours Wednesday. North winds of 10 to 20 mph behind the front will bring weak to modest cold advection to the region so high temperatures will be dependent on how soon the front moves through a particular location. Have sided with the warmer MOS/HRRR guidance which features low 60s north to mid 70s south. No precipitation is expected with the front and any morning clouds will be whisked away to the east with the veering winds. TR.92 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 311 PM CST Mon Feb 22 2021/ /Tuesday Night Onward/ Expect mild conditions Tuesday night as warm, moist advection continues ahead of a cold front that is forecast to move through on Wednesday. A few sprinkles or areas of drizzle are possible over East and Central Texas in the early morning hours and ahead of the cold front on Wednesday, but this precip should have little to no sensible impact. The cold front will bring cooler, but above freezing, temperatures to the region through the latter part of the work week. Lack of significant upper level support should allow for the surface front to stall out over South Texas by Wednesday night, however, a trailing shortwave over the Western CONUS will make its way overtop of the Southern Plains Thursday into Friday. This will allow the upper front to migrate north overtop of the cooler near surface air Thursday. The combination of low level warm/moist advection and isentropic ascent will help develop scattered showers Thursday. The coverage and intensity of the rain will increase Thursday night into Friday morning as isentropic ascent is maximized over Northeast Texas. Although the thunder potential is low, a few elevated thunderstorms are possible over East Texas and may produce localized heavy rain in the pre-dawn hours. The shortwave should move east Friday and lower the precip potential across the region. The weather this weekend and early next will remain unsettled as the cold front stalls out somewhere across our region. The front will be a divider between warm and moist air to the south and cooler drier air to the north. Expect scattered showers in the vicinity of the front starting Friday night and continuing through the weekend and at least into early next week. There does appear to be some instability working its way north this weekend which will increase the thunderstorm chances across the region. It is still too soon to accurately assess the severe potential, however, a few over achieving storms cannot be ruled out ATTM. Once we get a better sense on where the front will stall out, we will be able to provide a better assessment of the precip, thunder, and severe potential this weekend and next week. Bonnette && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /6Z TAFS/ VFR and generally clear skies are expected through the period at all TAF sites. Southerly winds at 5 to 10 knot overnight will increase to around 15-20kt with higher gusts this afternoon as a surface low pressure deepens in the Plains in association with the next front. Any cloud cover associated with the increasing moisture will remain southeast of all TAF sites through the TAF period. The cold front will arrive Wednesday morning, also just beyond this TAF period. TR.92 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 43 79 53 66 42 / 0 0 0 0 5 Waco 42 79 55 72 45 / 0 0 0 0 10 Paris 38 71 51 65 43 / 0 0 0 0 10 Denton 40 78 50 63 39 / 0 0 0 0 5 McKinney 40 77 52 65 41 / 0 0 0 0 10 Dallas 43 79 56 68 44 / 0 0 0 0 10 Terrell 40 77 55 68 44 / 0 0 0 0 10 Corsicana 43 76 56 72 46 / 0 0 0 0 10 Temple 42 78 54 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 10 Mineral Wells 38 79 48 64 37 / 0 0 0 0 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 310 PM CST Mon Feb 22 2021 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-231130- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 310 PM CST Mon Feb 22 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Thunderstorms are possible Thursday night and again this weekend. We are monitoring the potential for localized heavy rain Thursday night and Friday morning across East Texas and the potential for a strong storm or two across all of North and Central Texas this weekend. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions developed across much of the county towards the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions developed across southern parts of the county towards the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions developed across northeastern parts of the county towards the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 942485, 942486, 942487.