Montana, 2021Drought in Montana, October 1 to 31, 2021
October 1 to 31, 2021 · NWS GGW · 16 events in 16 counties and zones
A winter storm moved through the area on October 12th - 13th. The southeastern zones received a good amount of rain and snowfall to help drought conditions, however the rest of the area only got a little precipitation.
Every event with a place to put it; 16 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 16
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A winter storm moved through the area on October 12th - 13th. The southeastern zones received a good amount of rain and snowfall to help drought conditions, however the rest of the area only got a little precipitation. So despite this welcome storm, the extreme drought continues over northeast Montana.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 6:40 PM MST, 5 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 6:40 PM MST, 5 hours 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
740 PM MDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.DISCUSSION...
EVENING UPDATE:
Going forecast is on track, no changes were necessary this
evening. GAH
AFTERNOON UPDATE:
No major updates to the forecast this afternoon. Models and
ensembles continue to show a quiet forecast for the coming week,
with some potentially significant overall changes possible by next
weekend. Stay tuned for that. Cliff
MORNING DISCUSSION:
Look for warmer temperatures and dry weather conditions across NE
Montana over the next couple of days. Dry fuels in place along
with afternoon relative humidity each day as low as 15 percent may
elevate fire weather concerns, though winds are expected to be
light.
Upper ridging is expected to strengthen across the wester U.S. and
extend into the Northern High Plains this weekend and early next
week. This will result in above normal temperatures returning to
the region with highs in the 70s and 80s. Dry weather will also
persist, so any breezy day will likely raise fire weather concerns
given the prolonged dry spell.
Longer term ensembles eventually show the ridge breaking down or
shifting east sometime near the end of the first week in October
as a deep Pacific trough sets up. As this results, look for
markedly cooler and more fall-like temperatures. It is too early
to speculate on whether the pattern shift may also result in any
precipitation chances, but that will be followed closely.
&&
.AVIATION...
LAST UPDATED: 0130Z
FLIGHT CAT: VFR
DISCUSSION: Quiet weather continues for the forecast period.
WIND: Light and variable tonight through Friday.
Cliff/GAH
&&
.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
weather.gov/glasgow
Drought, Sheridan
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Sheridan forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.721, -104.505 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in Sheridan County were at (D3-Extreme) for the whole county. These conditions remained the same through the rest of October.
Drought, Daniels
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Daniels forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.784, -105.549 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in all of Daniels County were at (D3-Extreme). These conditions remained the same through the rest of October.
Drought, Eastern Roosevelt
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Roosevelt forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in Eastern Roosevelt county were at (D3-Extreme) in the northern two thirds of the county as well as the southeastern corner while the southwestern third of the county was at (D4-Exceptional) conditions. These conditions remained the same through the rest of October.
Drought, Richland
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Richland forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.788, -104.561 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions were at (D4-Exceptional) conditions over the western three quarters of Richland County, with (D3-Extreme) conditions along the eastern border with North Dakota. On the third week, the southeastern half of Richland County improved to (D3-Extreme) conditions, with the far southeastern corner of Richland County improving further to (D2-Severe) conditions, while the northwestern half of the county remained in (D4-Exceptional) conditions. At the end of October the southern corner of Richland County improved to (D2-Severe) conditions, while the northwestern third of the county remained in (D4-Exceptional) drought and the central third of the county remained in (D3-Extreme) conditions.
Drought, Dawson
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Dawson forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.266, -104.899 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in most of Dawson County were at (D4-Exceptional) conditions, the exception being the far eastern tip of the county which remained in (D3-Extreme) drought. During the third week, the southeastern three quarters of Dawson County has improved to (D3-Extreme) conditions, with a small portion bordering northern Wibaux County improving to (D2-Severe) drought, the northwestern quarter of Dawson County remained in (D4-Exceptional) conditions. At the end of October, the northwest corner of Dawson County remained in (D4-Exceptional) conditions. The north central portion of the county, along with the far southern part bordering southern Wibaux County and eastern Prairie County were in (D3-Extreme) conditions. The rest of the southern half of Dawson County had improved to (D2-Severe) drought.
Drought, Wibaux
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Wibaux forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 46.965, -104.249 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in the whole northern third of Wibaux County were at (D3-Extreme) conditions, while the southern two thirds of the county were in (D4-Exceptional) conditions. During the third week, conditions in the northern third of Wibaux County improved to (D2-Severe) conditions, while the southern two thirds of the county improved to (D3-Extreme) conditions. These conditions remained the same through the end of October.
Drought, Prairie
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Prairie forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 46.861, -105.378 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start the month of October, ongoing drought conditions in the eastern two thirds of Prairie County were (D4-Exceptional) conditions, with the western third in (D3-Extreme) conditions. By the third week of October, all of Prairie County had improved to (D3-Extreme) conditions. By the end of the month the eastern quarter and along the northern border of Prairie County remained in (D3-Extreme) conditions, but the rest of the county had improved to (D2-Severe) drought conditions.
Drought, Western Roosevelt
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Western Roosevelt forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in the northern two thirds of western Roosevelt County were at (D3-Extreme) conditions while the southwestern third of western Roosevelt County was in (D4-Exceptional) drought. These conditions remained the same the rest of the month.
Drought, McCone
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- McCone forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.645, -105.795 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in all but the southwestern corner of McCone County were at (D4-Exceptional) with the southwestern corner in (D3-Extreme) conditions. At the end of the month, the southern third of McCone County improved to (D3-Extreme) conditions while the northern two thirds of the county remained in (D4-Exceptional) drought.
Drought, Northern Valley
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in all of Northern Valley County were at (D3-Extreme) drought conditions. These conditions remained the same for the rest of the month.
Drought, Central and Southern Valley
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Central and Southern Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in the northeast corner of Central and Southern Valley County were at (D3-Extreme) conditions, while the remaining area of Central and Southern Valley County remained in (D4-Exceptional) drought. These conditions remained the same through the end of the month.
Drought, Garfield
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Garfield forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.278, -106.993 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions in northern Garfield County around Fort Peck Lake were at (D4-Exceptional) conditions while the southeastern two thirds of Garfield County were in (D3-Extreme) drought. At the end of the month the far southeastern corner of Garfield county had improved to (D2-Severe Drought) while the remainder of the county remained the same as the beginning of the month.
Drought, Northern Phillips
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start the month of October, ongoing drought conditions were at (D3-Extreme) for all but the extreme northwest corner of Northern Phillips County which remained in (D2-Severe). By the end of the month all of Northern Phillips County had worsened to (D3-Extreme) conditions.
Drought, Central and Se Phillips
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Central and Se Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions were at (D4-Exceptional) in the eastern and southeastern three quarters of Central and Southeast Phillips County, with the western and northwestern quarter in (D3-Extreme) conditions. These conditions remained the same through the end of October.
Drought, Petroleum
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Petroleum forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.118, -108.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions were at (D4-Exceptional) for the northern three quarters of Petroleum County, while the southern quarter of Petroleum County remained in (D3-Extreme) conditions. These conditions remained the same through the end of October.
Drought, Little Rocky Mountains
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM MST to October 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
To start October, ongoing drought conditions were at (D3-Extreme) conditions for all of the Little Rocky Mountains. These conditions remained the same through the end of October.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Wildfire in California, October 1 to 31, 2021$22 million · 1 event
- Wildfire in California, October 1 to 25, 2021$18 million · 1 event
- Drought in South Dakota, October 1 to 31, 2021$1.1 million · 21 events
- Wildfire in Washington, October 1 to 19, 2021$500,000 · 3 events
- Flash Flooding in Texas, October 1, 2021$100,000 · 7 events
- Hail in New Mexico, October 1, 2021$125,000 · 0.5 in hail · 1 event
- Drought in California, October 1 to 31, 202140 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Texas, October 1 to 2, 2021$27,000 · 19 events
- Drought in New Mexico, October 1 to 31, 202131 events
- Drought in North Dakota, October 1 to 31, 202128 events
- Wildfire in Idaho, October 1 to 8, 20213 injured · 1 event
- Drought in Hawaii, October 1 to 31, 202122 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 984935, 984937, 984939, 984940, 984945, 984956, 984974, 984976, 984979, 984982, 984987, 988319, 988321, 988323, 988326, 988327.