Montana, 2021Drought in Montana, March 9 to 31, 2021
March 9 to 31, 2021 · NWS GGW · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
Under a persistent dry weather pattern, the lack of any decent precipitation introduced drought conditions to new areas of northeast Montana.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Under a persistent dry weather pattern, the lack of any decent precipitation introduced drought conditions to new areas of northeast Montana.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 8, 10:12 AM MST, 13 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 10:12 AM MST, 13 hours 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
1012 AM MST Mon Mar 8 2021
.DISCUSSION...
Sent an update this morning to fine tune the forecast for expected
snowfall this evening through Tuesday morning. Most model data is
lining up for decent accumulation, but looks to be limited to the
our Southwest Phillips and North Phillips and Northern Valley
Counties with 1 to 2 inches. If this thinking persists by this
afternoon, we may need to issue a Winter Weather Advisory given
how long it has been since any snowfall occurred and the lateness
of the season, etc.
Previous discussion: Precipitation begins to move into the region
late this afternoon, moving out by tomorrow evening. A dusting of
snow is possible by the time the precipitation ends for most
places, with a half inch or more possible for much of Phillips
County and Northern Valley County by the time things wind down. In
addition, a mix of precipitation types are possible elsewhere
with potential for a light icing in Daniels, Roosevelt, and
Sheridan Counties tomorrow morning.
Precipitation Chances (today through Tuesday afternoon)...
Today will be dry and mild once again for the area, with some rain
moving into the western portions of Phillips and Petroleum
Counties late this afternoon into this evening. The precipitation
will spread across the region by Tuesday morning, with mixed
precipitation in the evening north and west of a Whitetail to St.
Marie to Sand Springs line, and everybody getting a chance of some
type of wintry precipitation by Tuesday morning. A quick glance at
forecast soundings suggest the potential for freezing rain late
tonight and Tuesday morning in the eastern half of the CWA, with a
light glaze--enough to impact travel--possible Tuesday morning in
the northeastern portion of the CWA (mentioned above).
Temperatures will warm up by Tuesday afternoon, transitioning the
precipitation back to (mostly) rain before coming to an end.
Dryness Returns (Tuesday night and beyond)...
By Tuesday night, the dry weather returns to Northeast Montana. On
Wednesday, another storm system begins to take shape in the
Central Plains, which will have no impact on our area outside of a
drop in temperatures on Thursday that'll be close to seasonal
normals. By Friday and through the weekend, an upper low sets up
over the Four Corners with ridging over the top of it with the
net result being a warming of temperatures.
97
&&
.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR through this evening. MVFR ceilings possible
overnight tonight into Tuesday morning. VFR ceilings expected
again by Tuesday afternoon and evening.
WINDS: Light and variable this morning, becoming E-NE 5-15 kts
this afternoon. NE-N 10-20 kts tonight. NW 15-25 kts & gusty on
Tuesday.
SYNOPSIS: A storm system and slow-moving cold front will bring a
chance of wintry precipitation overnight tonight through Tuesday
morning to area TAF sites, but more-so toward the northwest of
our TAF sites. Any precipitation will change to rain by Tuesday
afternoon before moving out of the area by Tuesday evening.
Afterwards, dry weather will return to the region.
97
&&
.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
weather.gov/glasgow
Drought, Northern Valley
- When
- March 9, 12:00 AM MST to March 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
In the second week of March, drought conditions (D2-Severe) began across the southern and southeastern portions of Northern Valley County. Then, through the last two weeks of March, drought conditions (D2-Severe) spread across all of Northern Valley County.
Drought, Central and Se Phillips
- When
- March 9, 12:00 AM MST to March 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Central and Se Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
In the second week of March, new drought conditions (D2-Severe) began across the eastern portion of Central and Southeastern Phillips County. Through the last two weeks of March, drought conditions (D2-Severe) spread further westward to cover most of the northeastern third of Central and Southeastern Phillips County.
Drought, Northern Phillips
- When
- March 9, 12:00 AM MST to March 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
In the second week of March, drought conditions (D2-Severe) began in the far southeastern corner of Northern Phillips County. Through the last two weeks of March, drought conditions (D2-Severe) spread across all of Northern Valley County.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood and Debris Flow in California, March 9 to 13, 2021$155,000 · 85 kt wind · 12 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in South Dakota, March 9 to 10, 202112 events
- Heavy Snow in Wyoming, March 9 to 10, 20216 events
- Heavy Snow in California, March 9 to 11, 20215 events
- Drought in Texas, March 9 to 31, 20214 events
- Winter Storm in Wyoming, March 9 to 10, 20214 events
- Heavy Snow in Nebraska, March 9 to 10, 20213 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, March 9 to 31, 20212 events
- High Wind in Arizona, March 9, 202151 kt wind · 2 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, March 9 to 10, 20212 events
- Winter Weather in Wyoming, March 9 to 10, 20212 events
- Drought in Texas, March 9 to 31, 20211 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 948378, 948379, 948380.