Montana, 2021High Wind and Strong Wind in Montana, February 25, 2021
February 25, 2021 · NWS TFX · 11 events in 8 counties and zones
After a few quieter weather days across Central Montana, another upper level trough and attendant jet streak moved across the area. As this upper level trough moved through the area, a strong pressure gradient developed along the Rocky Mountain Front, which helped to promote the development of strong wind gusts across North-Central Montana, especially along the Rocky Mountain Front.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 11
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
After a few quieter weather days across Central Montana, another upper level trough and attendant jet streak moved across the area. As this upper level trough moved through the area, a strong pressure gradient developed along the Rocky Mountain Front, which helped to promote the development of strong wind gusts across North-Central Montana, especially along the Rocky Mountain Front. Some light snow showers also occurred, but did not cause any widespread issues.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 24, 11:15 PM MST, 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 11:15 PM MST, 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1115 PM MST Wed Feb 24 2021
Aviation Section Updated
.SYNOPSIS...
Windy conditions and slightly below normal temperatures are expected
through Friday, with snowfall mostly confined to mountain areas. A
colder weather system will move through the region late Friday into
Saturday and bring most areas a chance for snow along with a modest
shot of colder air. Windy, mild, and drier conditions are then
expected to return early next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Shortwave ridging aloft has allowed skies to clear out across the
majority of the Great Falls forecast area this evening. This will
allow temperatures to drop significantly overnight, especially in
the higher valleys of southwest Montana. Have updated the forecast
to lower temperatures in the mountains and in the aforementioned
high valleys. Slight changes in the overnight lows also affected
Helena and West Yellowstone; but, the remainder of the populated
forecast points were not changed. No changes were made to winds,
PoPs, or QPF/snow amounts. At this time, the existing highlights,
including several High Wind Warnings and a Winter Weather Advisory,
appear to be on-track with no updates required for these products.
mpj
&&
.AVIATION...
1115 PM MST Wed Feb 24 2021 (25/06Z TAF period)
Expect increasing clouds (mostly mid/high level) during the
overnight and morning hours on Thursday. Surface winds will increase
on Thursday morning along the front range of the Rockies and
adjacent Plains. Some low level wind shear possible right before
surface winds increase. Snow will develop right along the divide by
mid morning, with scattered snow showers possible over Southwest MT
Thursday afternoon/evening. Mountains/passes could be obscured at
times during the afternoon/evening hours. Brusda
Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation weather
and hazard information.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 420 PM MST Wed Feb 24 2021/
Remainder of this afternoon through Saturday night...Clouds along
with a few lingering snow showers are expected to continue for
the remainder of the afternoon but should clear out this evening
as the unsettled northwesterly flow aloft is replaced by a brief
period of shortwave ridging. Despite this, southwesterly surface
winds will begin to increase late tonight into Thursday in
response to a tightening surface pressure gradient and increased
H700 flow ahead of the next weather system. The inherited high
wind warnings were expanded to include Broadwater and Meagher
Counties and the expiration times were extended to 26/06Z. An
extended period of near 60 kt H700 flow over much of the region
combined with cold air advection associated with the storm system
has increased the confidence to make these changes. In fact,
future shifts may consider extending the expiration time through
Friday morning for at least the southeast portion of the warning
area. By late Thursday morning, the shortwave ridge will be
displaced by another trough, ushering in mountain snow along the
northern divide that will eventually expand to the central and
southwest mountains. A winter weather advisory was issued for
Northern Rocky Mountain Front for locations above 4500 ft.
Snowfall amounts do not appear to be very impressive in the 2 to 6
inch range but gusty westerly winds will make conditions far
worse than what would be otherwise expected. There will be some
consideration by future shifts to upgrade the advisory to a winter
storm warning. Held off on issuing any winter weather products
for the central and southwestern mountains due to the shorter and
light snow event but they may be considered in the near future if
confidence in any impacts increase. By Friday, more northerly flow
will bring a cold front through the region and brings a quick
shot of modestly cold air and a period of light snow for much of
the area. This will likely lead to the issuance of more winter
weather advisories. Expect Saturday to be the coldest day with
highs mostly in the 20s and lows in the single digits and teens.
RCG
Sunday through next Wednesday...Sunday, a warming trend begins,
and with ridging in place, expect a fair weather day. Monday,
temperatures continue to warm, and with a passing trof, a chance
of some mountain showers is forecast. It looks like ridging
remains the dominant feature through the end of this forecast
period. Expect dry weather Tuesday and next Wednesday, with highs
ranging from the 40s to 50s. Periods of non- warning criteria
gusty winds are forecast from Sunday through the middle of next
week.
- Fogleman
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 17 38 25 38 / 0 10 10 10
CTB 18 34 24 35 / 0 10 10 10
HLN 10 38 26 37 / 0 10 20 40
BZN -1 32 18 34 / 0 20 20 50
WYS -20 21 6 23 / 20 40 50 80
DLN 1 27 14 30 / 0 20 20 60
HVR 16 38 23 37 / 0 10 10 10
LWT 11 34 20 34 / 0 10 10 20
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 8 AM to 11 PM MST Thursday Broadwater...
Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...Eastern
Pondera...Eastern Teton...Judith Basin...Meagher...Toole.
High Wind Warning from 2 AM to 11 PM MST Thursday Eastern
Glacier...Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky
Mountain Front.
Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM Thursday to 5 AM MST Friday
above 4500 feet for Northern Rocky Mountain Front.
&&
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- February 25, 12:07 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Mesonet station mtbrn two medicine bridge (mt dot) reports wind gust of 69 MPH.
High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- February 25, 4:24 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Browning DOT sensor reports wind gust of 60 MPH.
High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- February 25, 5:30 AM MST
- Where
- Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 66 kt (76 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Mesonet station delmt dellwo (mcscn) reports wind gust of 76 MPH.
Strong Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- February 25, 8:09 AM MST
- Where
- Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 49 kt (56 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Mesonet station gsnm8 gleason raws reports wind gust of 56 MPH.
Strong Wind, Cascade
- When
- February 25, 10:15 AM MST
- Where
- Cascade forecast zone
- Measured
- 48 kt (55 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Wind gust of 55 MPH measured at Monarch.
Strong Wind, Cascade
- When
- February 25, 10:56 AM MST
- Where
- Cascade forecast zone
- Measured
- 48 kt (55 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
K1AM alpha reports 55 MPH wind gust.
High Wind, Eastern Glacier
- When
- February 25, 10:56 AM MST
- Where
- Eastern Glacier forecast zone
- Measured
- 64 kt (74 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
Asos station kctb cut bank airport reports wind gust of 74 MPH.
Strong Wind, Chouteau
- When
- February 25, 1:38 PM MST
- Where
- Chouteau forecast zone
- Measured
- 49 kt (56 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Mesonet station mtlom loma (mt dot) reports wind gust of 56 MPH.
Strong Wind, Liberty
- When
- February 25, 2:15 PM MST
- Where
- Liberty forecast zone
- Measured
- 49 kt (56 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Mesonet station dw4821, chester reports wind gust of 56 MPH.
High Wind, Hill
- When
- February 25, 3:32 PM MST
- Where
- Hill forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Mesonet station ew1937, goldstone reports wind gust of 59 MPH.
Strong Wind, Judith Basin
- When
- February 25, 4:06 PM MST
- Where
- Judith Basin forecast zone
- Measured
- 48 kt (55 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Mesonet station mtgys, geyser (mt dot) reports wind gust of 55 MPH.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Strong Wind
- Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flood in Nebraska, February 25 to 28, 2021$500,000 · 1 event
- Winter Storm in Idaho, February 25 to 28, 202116 events
- Winter Storm and High Wind in Wyoming, February 25 to 27, 202159 kt wind · 6 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, February 25 to 26, 202161 kt wind · 6 events
- Hail in Texas, February 25, 20211.5 in hail · 6 events
- High Wind in California, February 25, 202176 kt wind · 5 events
- Heavy Snow in Oregon, February 25 to 27, 20215 events
- High Wind in Montana, February 25 to 28, 202154 kt wind · 5 events
- Flooding in Arkansas, February 25 to 28, 20213 events
- Hail in Texas, February 25, 20212 in hail · 3 events
- Heavy Snow in Washington, February 25 to 27, 20212 events
- Winter Storm in Oregon, February 25 to 27, 20212 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 935475, 935476, 935481, 935482, 935462, 935463, 935473, 935465, 935480, 935477, 935479.