Montana, 2021

High Wind and Strong Wind in Montana, February 25, 2021

February 25, 2021 · NWS TFX · 11 events in 8 counties and zones

After a few quieter weather days across Central Montana, another upper level trough and attendant jet streak moved across the area. As this upper level trough moved through the area, a strong pressure gradient developed along the Rocky Mountain Front, which helped to promote the development of strong wind gusts across North-Central Montana, especially along the Rocky Mountain Front.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
11

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

After a few quieter weather days across Central Montana, another upper level trough and attendant jet streak moved across the area. As this upper level trough moved through the area, a strong pressure gradient developed along the Rocky Mountain Front, which helped to promote the development of strong wind gusts across North-Central Montana, especially along the Rocky Mountain Front. Some light snow showers also occurred, but did not cause any widespread issues.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 24, 11:15 PM MST, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 11:15 PM MST, 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1115 PM MST Wed Feb 24 2021

Aviation Section Updated

.SYNOPSIS...
Windy conditions and slightly below normal temperatures are expected
through Friday, with snowfall mostly confined to mountain areas. A
colder weather system will move through the region late Friday into
Saturday and bring most areas a chance for snow along with a modest
shot of colder air. Windy, mild, and drier conditions are then
expected to return early next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Shortwave ridging aloft has allowed skies to clear out across the
majority of the Great Falls forecast area this evening. This will
allow temperatures to drop significantly overnight, especially in
the higher valleys of southwest Montana. Have updated the forecast
to lower temperatures in the mountains and in the aforementioned
high valleys. Slight changes in the overnight lows also affected
Helena and West Yellowstone; but, the remainder of the populated
forecast points were not changed. No changes were made to winds,
PoPs, or QPF/snow amounts. At this time, the existing highlights,
including several High Wind Warnings and a Winter Weather Advisory,
appear to be on-track with no updates required for these products.
mpj

&&

.AVIATION...
1115 PM MST Wed Feb 24 2021 (25/06Z TAF period)

Expect increasing clouds (mostly mid/high level) during the
overnight and morning hours on Thursday. Surface winds will increase
on Thursday morning along the front range of the Rockies and
adjacent Plains. Some low level wind shear possible right before
surface winds increase. Snow will develop right along the divide by
mid morning, with scattered snow showers possible over Southwest MT
Thursday afternoon/evening. Mountains/passes could be obscured at
times during the afternoon/evening hours. Brusda

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation weather
and hazard information.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 420 PM MST Wed Feb 24 2021/

Remainder of this afternoon through Saturday night...Clouds along
with a few lingering snow showers are expected to continue for
the remainder of the afternoon but should clear out this evening
as the unsettled northwesterly flow aloft is replaced by a brief
period of shortwave ridging. Despite this, southwesterly surface
winds will begin to increase late tonight into Thursday in
response to a tightening surface pressure gradient and increased
H700 flow ahead of the next weather system. The inherited high
wind warnings were expanded to include Broadwater and Meagher
Counties and the expiration times were extended to 26/06Z. An
extended period of near 60 kt H700 flow over much of the region
combined with cold air advection associated with the storm system
has increased the confidence to make these changes. In fact,
future shifts may consider extending the expiration time through
Friday morning for at least the southeast portion of the warning
area. By late Thursday morning, the shortwave ridge will be
displaced by another trough, ushering in mountain snow along the
northern divide that will eventually expand to the central and
southwest mountains. A winter weather advisory was issued for
Northern Rocky Mountain Front for locations above 4500 ft.
Snowfall amounts do not appear to be very impressive in the 2 to 6
inch range but gusty westerly winds will make conditions far
worse than what would be otherwise expected. There will be some
consideration by future shifts to upgrade the advisory to a winter
storm warning. Held off on issuing any winter weather products
for the central and southwestern mountains due to the shorter and
light snow event but they may be considered in the near future if
confidence in any impacts increase. By Friday, more northerly flow
will bring a cold front through the region and brings a quick
shot of modestly cold air and a period of light snow for much of
the area. This will likely lead to the issuance of more winter
weather advisories. Expect Saturday to be the coldest day with
highs mostly in the 20s and lows in the single digits and teens.
RCG

Sunday through next Wednesday...Sunday, a warming trend begins,
and with ridging in place, expect a fair weather day. Monday,
temperatures continue to warm, and with a passing trof, a chance
of some mountain showers is forecast. It looks like ridging
remains the dominant feature through the end of this forecast
period. Expect dry weather Tuesday and next Wednesday, with highs
ranging from the 40s to 50s. Periods of non- warning criteria
gusty winds are forecast from Sunday through the middle of next
week.
- Fogleman

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  17  38  25  38 /   0  10  10  10
CTB  18  34  24  35 /   0  10  10  10
HLN  10  38  26  37 /   0  10  20  40
BZN  -1  32  18  34 /   0  20  20  50
WYS -20  21   6  23 /  20  40  50  80
DLN   1  27  14  30 /   0  20  20  60
HVR  16  38  23  37 /   0  10  10  10
LWT  11  34  20  34 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 8 AM to 11 PM MST Thursday Broadwater...
Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...Eastern
Pondera...Eastern Teton...Judith Basin...Meagher...Toole.

High Wind Warning from 2 AM to 11 PM MST Thursday Eastern
Glacier...Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky
Mountain Front.

Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM Thursday to 5 AM MST Friday
above 4500 feet for Northern Rocky Mountain Front.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

Event by event

6 strong wind, 5 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 25, 12:07 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station mtbrn two medicine bridge (mt dot) reports wind gust of 69 MPH.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 25, 4:24 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Browning DOT sensor reports wind gust of 60 MPH.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 25, 5:30 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
66 kt (76 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station delmt dellwo (mcscn) reports wind gust of 76 MPH.

Strong Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 25, 8:09 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
49 kt (56 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station gsnm8 gleason raws reports wind gust of 56 MPH.

Strong Wind, Cascade

When
February 25, 10:15 AM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Measured
48 kt (55 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Wind gust of 55 MPH measured at Monarch.

Strong Wind, Cascade

When
February 25, 10:56 AM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Measured
48 kt (55 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS

K1AM alpha reports 55 MPH wind gust.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
February 25, 10:56 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
64 kt (74 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

Asos station kctb cut bank airport reports wind gust of 74 MPH.

Strong Wind, Chouteau

When
February 25, 1:38 PM MST
Where
Chouteau forecast zone
Measured
49 kt (56 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station mtlom loma (mt dot) reports wind gust of 56 MPH.

Strong Wind, Liberty

When
February 25, 2:15 PM MST
Where
Liberty forecast zone
Measured
49 kt (56 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station dw4821, chester reports wind gust of 56 MPH.

High Wind, Hill

When
February 25, 3:32 PM MST
Where
Hill forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station ew1937, goldstone reports wind gust of 59 MPH.

Strong Wind, Judith Basin

When
February 25, 4:06 PM MST
Where
Judith Basin forecast zone
Measured
48 kt (55 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station mtgys, geyser (mt dot) reports wind gust of 55 MPH.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 935475, 935476, 935481, 935482, 935462, 935463, 935473, 935465, 935480, 935477, 935479.