Arizona, 2021Heavy Snow in Arizona, December 31, 2021
December 31, 2021 · NWS TWC · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
A winter storm impacted southeast Arizona for New Years Eve into New Years Day 2022. This produced in excess of 1 foot of snow across the higher elevations of mountain ranges north of Interstate 10.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Marine and coastal
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A winter storm impacted southeast Arizona for New Years Eve into New Years Day 2022. This produced in excess of 1 foot of snow across the higher elevations of mountain ranges north of Interstate 10. Wind gusts to 35 mph accompanied the snow at times, but no significant blowing or drifting snow was reported. The strongest winds were farther south and east where gusts of 40 to 50 mph occurred in showers and thunderstorms. Rain was widespread in valley locations with one to two inches common. Some foothills and mid slope areas received over 3 inches of rainfall, but no significant flooding was reported.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 3:55 AM MST, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 3:55 AM MST, 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...correction
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
355 AM MST Fri Dec 31 2021
.SYNOPSIS...An approaching strong winter storm will spread scattered
showers widespread showers today into Saturday morning as we turn
the calendar from 2021 to 2022. Significant snow is likely above
about 7,000 ft this afternoon through Saturday morning. Sunday
morning could be the coldest of the season, with dry weather and a
warming trend next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...It will be rather wet across southeast Arizona as we
turn the calendar from 2021 to 2022. Satellite imagery this morning
showed an upper low west of northern Baja with an impressive
moisture plume extending from southern Arizona to off southern
Baja. Radar showed a steady rain across Santa Cruz into SW Cochise
county as of 3 am, with scattered showers elsewhere. Expect showers
or period of steady rain to expand across the area today as the
upper low approaches from the S/SW. Can't rule out a rumble or two
of thunder.
Mountain cameras showing snow or mixed rain and snow this morning
with periods of heavy snow occurring later today into tonight. The
snow level will be mostly above 7500 feet today before falling to
6000 feet later tonight into Saturday morning as the upper low
moves across the area. Showers gradually ending from west to east
with a few around the eastern areas Saturday afternoon as second
system moves across the area from the NW. Might see some ice
pellets/small hail with some of the heavier showers Saturday
morning.
Storm total liquid QPF mostly between 0.50" to 1.10". Total snow
accumulations of 12 to 24 inches above 8000 feet and 6 to 18
inches between 6500 and 8000 feet for the mountain ranges from
Tucson NE to the Whites. Snow amounts will be less S and SE of
Tucson. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories
are in effect for the Sky Islands.
A colder air mass and clearing skies will bring widespread freezing
temperatures to the area Sunday morning with a hard freeze possible
for portions of Tucson up toward Casa Grande. Went ahead and hoisted
a Hard Freeze Watch for this area and also hoisted a Freeze Watch
for central Pima county. Isolated areas across western Pima county
will see a freeze but not widespread enough for a watch at this time.
Next week looks dry with temperatures warming back to seasonal norms.
&&
.AVIATION...Valid through 01/12Z.
Scattered to numerous showers with MTNS mostly obscured in clouds
and precipitation. Areas of MVFR and localized IFR conds thru
valid pd. Slight CHC of TSRA. SFC winds SLY 5-10 kts increasing
to SW 11-17 kts with gusts 25-30 kts this afternoon. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...A significant winter storm system will bring
periods of rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms today into
Saturday. Snow levels will rise to around 8,500 feet Friday
afternoon the rapidly drop to 6,500 ft Friday evening. After a
Sunday morning freeze, dry weather and a gradual warming trend
will develop later Sunday onward. Winds favor a southwesterly
direction and breezy at times, especially along the International
Border region through Saturday, then becoming light and diurnal
Sunday onward.
&&
.CLIMATE...The full climate reports for both December and 2021 for
Tucson will be posted on New Year's Day. Here are the preliminary
rankings:
December: 3rd warmest. 53rd wettest as of 3 am with 0.83".
2021: 5th warmest. 18th wettest as of 3 am with 14.68".
With a 100% of rain in the forecast today, the monthly/yearly
total will increase with a subsequent change in the historical
ranking.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 AM MST
Saturday for AZZ512-513.
Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM MST Saturday for AZZ510-511.
Winter Storm Warning from 11 AM this morning to 11 AM MST
Saturday for AZZ514.
Hard Freeze Watch from late Saturday night through Sunday
morning for AZZ504-505.
Freeze Watch from late Saturday night through Sunday morning for
AZZ502.
&&
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Heavy Snow, Santa Catalina and Rincon Mountains
- When
- December 31, 4:00 AM MST to 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Santa Catalina and Rincon Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 32.501, -111.567 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy snow occurred in Ski Valley where 12-18 inches was observed. Slightly lower in elevation at Summerhaven there was 10-12 inches. This event spanned from 2021 into 2022.
Heavy Snow, Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains
- When
- December 31, 5:00 AM MST to 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Unknown
- Coordinates
- 32.572, -110.328 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Per estimates from webcam imagery, Mt. Graham received 12-18 inches of snow. This event spanned from 2021 into 2022.
Heavy Snow, White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties
- When
- December 31, 6:00 AM MST to 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 33.074, -109.563 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Hannagan Meadow received 12 to 14 inches of snow in this winter storm that spanned from 2021 into 2022.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 998012, 998017, 998016.