Arizona, 2021

Flash Flooding and Hail in Arizona, August 18, 2021

August 18, 2021 · NWS PSR · 41 events in 3 counties and zones

An upper level trough and lead-on shortwave trough moved through Arizona during the day on the 18th. Moderate to high instability and high moisture content supported scattered strong thunderstorms.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
2
Injuries
0
Property damage
$8.2 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
41

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PSR wrote it up.

An upper level trough and lead-on shortwave trough moved through Arizona during the day on the 18th. Moderate to high instability and high moisture content supported scattered strong thunderstorms. With deep south to southwest upslope flow, storms favored the foothills and mountainous areas of Maricopa and Gila counties. Most storms were producing at least 1 to 2 inch per hour rain rates, with several storms producing 2 to 3 inch rates and at times higher. Back-building and training of storms over the same areas resulted in significant to catastrophic flash flooding. A few burn scars experienced flash flooding, including the recent Telegraph burn area which had catastrophic flooding of the Russell Gulch drainage. There were also 2 fatalities on this day with off-roaders recreating near Camp Creek in northeast Maricopa County. The strong to severe storms also produced damaging winds from microbursts and small hail over lower desert locations.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 18, 5:49 AM MST, 2 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 5:49 AM MST, 2 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
549 AM MST Wed Aug 18 2021

.UPDATE...Updated 12Z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Shower and thunderstorm chances will persist today across south-
central Arizona with heavy rainfall the primary threat. However, a
major shift in the weather pattern will bring substantially drier
air into the region starting Thursday. This will result little to no
chance of storms through at least early next week. Temperatures
slightly below average will slowly warm back to near normal levels
over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Early morning WV imagery shows a deep trough and seasonably strong
PV anomaly digging into the Great Basin heralding a large shift in
the flow pattern across the Conus. Subtropical ridging previously
centered over southern NV (which providing the convectively
favorable flow pattern) has already eroded and retrograded into the
central Pacific. Meanwhile, a more innocuous upper low was ejecting
northward from the Baja peninsula and will eventually become
absorbed into the aforementioned Great Basin trough. This evolution
will quickly yield deep westerly flow promoting substantial drying,
subsidence, and dearth of storm activity starting Thursday and
persisting into at least early next week.

The most interesting and active portion of the forecast will occur
over the next 24 hours as several subtle forcing mechanisms act to
encourage thunderstorm development. In the northern stream,
objective analysis shows the leading edge of the 700mb trough axis
and cooling aloft moving into the western CWA. Meanwhile, strong jet
level divergence can be inferred from satellite and sounding data in
relation to the Baja circulation while closer investigation suggests
a small vorticity center entering far SW Arizona. Arcing upper level
cloud bands and in situ midlevel cloud development can easily be
seen in IR imagery indicative of the growing ascent structure.

Moisture and total instability should not be an issue with deep 12-
13 g/kg mixing ratios and MUCape in excess of 1000-1500 J/kg.
Forecast soundings indicate saturation and lift primarily centered
in or above the 700-800 mb layer, so actual energy release may only
encompass a small portion of the total available (typical for
elevated nocturnal convection). The greatest uncertainty reflected
in HREF membership is the intensity and coverage of elevated
showers/storms through the morning hours with a range of outcomes
ranging from concentrated storms forming over the same area to more
pedestrian scattered showers. Regardless, any shower/storms that can
develop may be relatively shallow topped, yet incorporating
efficient warm rain processes. Thus the Flash Flood Watch continues
given the recent rainfall and moist soil conditions promoting
effective and enhanced runoff.

The leading edge of drier air aloft can already be seen trailing the
Baja circulation, and will begin fully advecting into the forecast
area this afternoon. Boundary layer moisture will be slower to erode
with 10-11 g/kg sfc-700mb mixing ratios still common this afternoon.
However, marked midtropospheric warming and loss of better lapse
rates will occur behind this wave limiting instability (not to
mention the likelihood of synoptic scale subsidence). Forecast
soundings show development of deep westerly flow, such that forced
orographic ascent of the residual moist boundary layer may be the
primary ascent means. HREF and other CAM output hint at this
scenario with just isolated, transient cells popping during peak
heating. The increasing flow aloft will result in mean storm motion
much faster than typical for monsoon, and reduction of residence
time of any particular storm core. This should begin to limit the
flood threat more towards the most susceptible locations (i.e. burn
areas).

Very little change in ensemble output from Thursday through the
weekend can be seen from previous model iterations. The rapid drying
trend becomes pronounced Thursday with 500-850mb mixing ratios
falling below 8 g/kg. Diurnal mechanical mixing will steadily erode
boundary layer moisture while anti-cyclonic midtropospheric warming
allows 500 mb temperatures to warm to at least -4C. This combination
will essentially preclude any deep convection within the forecast
area (much less the entire state of Arizona), and NBM POPs have
finally fallen appropriately into the lower single digits. Not
surprisingly, temperatures will warm with this drying trend though
the nearby presence of the Great Basin trough will keep heights and
temperatures in check only returning closer to normal by the first
part of next week (100F-105F at lower elevations around the Phoenix
area, and potentially 105F-110F in the Yuma/El Centro areas).

During the first half of next week, uncertainty still exists in
relation to how subtropical ridging over the southeast and southern
plains retrogrades back into the SW Conus. Fewer NAEFS members hold
deeper troughing through the Great Basin, but a majority also do not
portray a particularly convectively favorable outcome. While the
specifics obviously remain murky, the breadth and elongated
orientation of the ridge axis may displace easterly waves well south
and east of the forecast area while only encouraging thunderstorm
development/maintenance over higher terrain locations. Regardless,
there is still nothing in the ensemble spectrum that suggests a
return to heightened thunderstorm activity throughout the forecast
area for the next 7-10 days.

&&

.AVIATION...Updated at 1248Z

South-Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:
Scattered showers and isolated storms have developed this morning,
mainly east of the terminals. Activity through the rest of the
morning is expected to continue to favor these areas, but a slight
chance (20-40%) for development in the vicinity of terminals will
continue through 14-15Z. Through the rest of the morning skies may
become more FEW to SCT and winds shift more southerly with speeds
increasing up to 10-12 kts. Vicinity shower and storm chances
(40-50%) return in the afternoon with development beginning around
20-21Z. Winds will remain southerly through the afternoon with
gusts up to 20 kts with the exception that brief stronger gusts up
to 25-30 kts and wind shifts will be possible in the vicinity of
storms. Cloud bases should remain aoa 6-7 kft. Storms should
diminish after 2-3Z and skies will become mostly clear.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:
Breezy conditions will be the primary impact through the TAF
period. At KIPL winds will pick up out of the west to southwest by
20-21Z and peak in the evening with speeds up to 20-25 kts and
gusts up to 30 kts. Similar magnitudes are expected at KBLH, but
beginning a little earlier around 18-19Z and with directions
favoring the south. Winds should gradually subside late this
evening, with gusts falling off by midnight. Winds may generate
localized blowing dust in the Imperial Valley and briefly lower
visibility.

Skies will remain mostly clear, but there is a non-zero chance
(5%) of isolated showers and/or storms developing this afternoon
between 22-02Z. Mainly east of the terminals.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Friday through Tuesday:
Unusually dry conditions will dominate all districts through the
weekend with almost no chance of thunderstorms or wetting rains.
Chances only increase marginally over eastern districts during the
first part of next week. Temperatures should rebound into a near
normal range over the weekend. Minimum afternoon humidity levels
will generally range between 20-40% Friday, then likely fall closer
to a 10-30% range over the weekend and early next week. Overnight
recovery will be good to excellent in a 40-80% range. Winds should
be relatively light with an afternoon upslope component and
overnight drainage common. Some enhanced afternoon and evening gusts
will be possible at times in western districts.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters should follow standard reporting procedures.

&&

.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AZ...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for AZZ537-540>558-
     560>563.

CA...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...18
AVIATION...Benedict
FIRE WEATHER...18

The radar

The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 61 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:10 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

34 flash flood, 6 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 8:10 AM MST to 12:30 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 17.59 mi E of Tortilla Flat to 17.71 mi E of Tortilla Flat
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.519, -111.075

Dirt road up to Reevis Mountain School, which cuts through Campaign Creek, was washed out by significant flash flooding. A couple yurpees on the property of the school were damaged or destroyed. Their fire circle and labyrinth were also washed away. The school and road are inside the 2019 Woodbury burn area. Rainfall of 4.5 inches was measured in 3 to 4 hours. Timing based on radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 8:20 AM MST to 10:20 AM MST
Where
Gila County, 0.47 mi N of Punkin Center to 0.36 mi N of Punkin Center
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.877, -111.318

Multiple photos and videos show significant flow within the typically dry Reno Creek with flow over Old Highway 188, leading to its closure. Runoff may have been enhanced by the 2020 Bush Fire burn area. Reno Creek would experience another flash flood again in the early afternoon following another round of heavy rain upstream. This kept 188 closed for an extended period. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 9:10 AM MST to 1:10 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 2.06 mi SE of Roosevelt Grpvn Arpt to 2.17 mi SE of Roosevelt Grpvn Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.613, -111.020

Multiple photos and videos showed a few feet of rapidly flowing water within Campaign Creek, leading to the closure of Mesquite Street in Roosevelt Estates. One video even showed a 6 to 8 foot standing wave of water. Video after the water receded showed significant damage to the road. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 9:40 AM MST to 12:30 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 1.5 mi SSE of Globe to 1.33 mi SSE of Globe
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.380, -110.770

Video shows considerable flow through Pinal Creek with at least 6 inches of swift-moving water over Beer Tree Crossing near Jess Hayes Road. Rainfall of 1.5 to 2 inches was measured in the area and upstream. Runoff may have been enhanced by the 2021 Telegraph burn area. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 10:25 AM MST to 12:30 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 2.98 mi SSE of Little Acres to 2.69 mi SSE of Little Acres
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$50,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
33.358, -110.818

Photos and videos show large sections of Russell Road, in multiple spots, were eroded and washed into Russell Gulch during significant flash flooding. Some photos, after the water receded, suggest the floodwaters may have been 6 to 8 feet deep. The significant destruction of Russell Road occurred roughly 2 miles south of the catastrophic flooding that occurred in the Claypool area, between Miami and Globe. Timing based on webcam footage in the area. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 10:45 AM MST to 1:00 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 0.79 mi SE of Little Acres to 0.72 mi SE of Little Acres
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$8.0 million
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.391, -110.822

After 2 to 4 inches of rain fell, beginning around 0830MST, over the 2021 Telegraph burn area, catastrophic flooding occurred in Claypool area between Miami and Globe. Runoff mostly collected in Russell Gulch and a few feet of floodwaters moved downhill through the Claypool community. Security cam footage from a pizza shop showed floodwaters reached US-60 near mile post 247 around 1056MST. US-60 became impassible a couple minutes later and was closed in both directions for a couple hours before being reopened around 1240MST. The same areas were impacted again in the mid-afternoon after another wave of flash flooding move through the area. The Gila County Emergency Manager estimated over 50 homes and structures were damaged by flooding. Included in the damage was the pizza shop with the security footage, which was fully surrounded by flooding. A hotel next to the pizza shop had all of its ground level rooms flooded, including a wall that collapsed due to the force of the water. Roads to the nearby hospital were cutoff by floodwaters. The hardest hit area was Little Acres Mobile Home Park, 1 mile south of US-60. Most if not all of the mobile homes had flood damage as an estimated 4 feet of water and mud moved through the park. Security footage shows one home was even swept from one side of the park to the other and was destroyed. Many of the owners were displaced from their homes for several days while the park was cleaned. A power substation next to the park also experienced significant flooding. Fortunately there were no injuries or fatalities reported from this event.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 11:00 AM MST to 2:30 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 3.32 mi SE of Roosevelt Grpvn Arpt to 2.79 mi SE of Roosevelt Grpvn Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.594, -111.012

Multiple photos and videos show significant flow in Pinto and Spring (tributary to Pinto) along State Route 188 near mile post 234. One photo showed a storage structure (possibly abandoned) in Spring Creek with roughly 8 feet of water flowing through it. It is unknown if the structure had any damage. Many of the photos and videos were posted in the early afternoon, but flood impacts likely began in the morning after 2 to 4 inches of rain fell over the 2019 Woodbury burn area. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 11:05 AM MST to 12:35 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 8.08 mi SW of Globe San Carlos Fcl to 7.26 mi SW of Globe San Carlos Fcl
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.264, -110.765

Arizona Department of Transportation reported State Route 77 was overtopped by floodwaters at mile post 163.2. Timing based on report time and radar. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 12:00 PM MST to 2:00 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 1.65 mi WNW of Borch to 1.73 mi WNW of Borch
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.463, -110.854

Arizona Department of Transportation reported State Route 188 was closed in both directions near mile post 219 due to flooding. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 12:10 PM MST to 6:30 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 6.15 mi NNW of Borch to 9.24 mi NNW of Borch
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.534, -110.866

A USGS streamflow gage along Pinal Creek near Inspiration Dam measured multiple a couple rapid rises between 1230MST and 1430MST with a peak stage cresting at 8 feet. The flood waves likely originated from heavy rain roughly 15 miles upstream over the 2021 Telegraph burn area southwest of Globe. There were a couple more smaller follow-on waves that were recorded as the flow was decreasing from its crest. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 12:47 PM MST to 1:10 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 4.19 mi N of Sunflower to 2.04 mi N of Sunflower
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.930, -111.480

Heavy rainfall led to a rapid increase in flow in Sycamore Creek. A Maricopa County Flood Control District stream gage along Sycamore Creek near NF-201 and Beeline Highway recorded the creek climbing above alarm stage, cresting at 4.54 feet at 1247MST. Downstream impacts included old SR 87 and low-lying homes. No damage or injuries were reported.

Hail, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:00 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 3.45 mi W of Scottsdale Muni
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.620, -111.980

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 1:00 PM MST to 7:00 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 0.36 mi ENE of Punkin Center to 0.58 mi N of Punkin Center
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.873, -111.315

Photos and videos show considerable floodwaters, roughly a few feet deep, rapidly moving down Reno Creek and flowing across Old Highway 188, making it impassable. Runoff may have been enhanced by the 2020 Bush Fire burn area. Reno Creek flooded earlier in the morning as well. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:16 PM MST to 4:16 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 1.5 mi NNE of Sunflower to 1.69 mi NE of Sunflower
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.890, -111.460

A camera located along Kitty Joe Creek showed high, swiftly moving flow that was nearly topping the banks of the creek. No damage or injuries were reported.

Thunderstorm Wind, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:20 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 3.26 mi NNW of Phoenix
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
33.520, -112.100

Multiple large trees uprooted in the area of 19th Ave between Missouri Ave and Maryland with some trees falling into and blocking streets. One tree was 30 feet tall and had a 12-18 inch diameter trunk. A large tree also reportedly fell at Palo Verde golf course. Timing was based on radar and wind gusts were estimated up to 50-60 mph with downburst signatures evident on radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:34 PM MST to 8:15 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 1.06 mi NNE of Paradise Vly to 1.07 mi NE of Paradise Vly
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
33.583, -111.971

FCDMC STREAM GAUGE

A Maricopa County Flood Control District stream gage located along Indian Bend Wash at Shea Boulevard exceeded alarm stage, resulting in impacts to downstream low water crossings as well as to the Indian Bend Wash greenbelt. At 1501MST, flow in Indian Bend Wash crested at 3.02 feet and 2031 CFS. According to a nearby mPING report close to Paradise Valley Mall, a flooded street led to a vehicle becoming stranded. No injuries were reported.

Thunderstorm Wind, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:38 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 0.63 mi SSW of Sunnyslope
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$17,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
33.571, -112.082

A portion of the roof of an apartment complex near 7th Avenue and Hatcher Road was torn of in strong winds and landed on an unoccupied parked car, causing damage. Nearby, multiple photos on social media showed several downed saguaros with one of them causing some damage to the front of a home near 12th Street and Northern Avenue. Winds estimated around 60 to 65 mph. No injuries were reported.

Thunderstorm Wind, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:40 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 3.94 mi NNE of Glendale to 3.11 mi W of Sunnyslope
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$25,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.582, -112.152

Multiple reports of wind damage from a microburst along Peoria Avenue between 35th and 43rd Avenues. A couple large pine trees fell on an apartment complex, causing damage to the edge of the roof. A tree fell on 2 unoccupied parked cars at another apartment complex, causing major damage. A 1-foot diameter tree fell on an unoccupied parked car at a business plaza. There was also a partial roof torn off reported in the area. Winds were estimated around 60 to 65 mph. Timing based on radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:40 PM MST to 3:45 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 5.04 mi NE of Carefree to 5.31 mi NE of Carefree
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.960, -111.880

The Cave Creek Ashdale Maricopa County Flood Control District stream gage recorded flow exceeding alarm stage, impacting low water crossings along with properties in the area. At 1513MST, the creek crested at 6.7 feet and 2027 CFS. No damage or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:40 PM MST to 6:30 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 3.94 mi SE of New River to 4.46 mi SE of New River
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.876, -112.086

A couple videos showed significant flowing water through Skunk Creek with flow over Honda Bow Road. One of the videos showed someone being rescued on the hood of a truck by a good Samaritan from their SUV that stalled in the floodwaters. Rainfall amounts over 1 inch were observed over the foothill areas upstream of this location. Timing of impacts adjusted based on radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 1:45 PM MST to 3:45 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 8.71 mi ESE of Carefree to 9.18 mi E of Carefree
Cause
Heavy Rain
Deaths
2 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
33.847, -111.792

According to local media reports, the Maricopa County Sheriff's Office found two people had perished inside an ATV that was buried in mud and debris downstream in Camp Creek. MCSO was notified and began searching for the missing people around 1600MST on the 18th but did not recover the ATV until 0800MST on the 19th. Media reported that other recreationists were successfully rescued from the area, including a father and daughter who were trapped near Needle Rock Recreation Site and had to be rescued by helicopter. A Camp Creek rain gauge recorded 3.54 inches of rain between 1300MST and 1420MST. The Rackensack Canyon rain gauge measured 3.83 inches of rain between 1250MST and 1430MST. The Maricopa County Flood Control District also reported that Bartlett Dam Road was closed due to swiftly flowing water over the roadway from Camp Creek.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 2:00 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 0.78 mi WSW of New River to 0.6 mi WNW of New River
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.914, -112.142

Old Stage Road and parts of New River Road were closed due to flooding associated with increased flow in New River. A Maricopa County Flood Control District upstream from the impacts climbed above alarm stage, cresting at 2.93 feet and 2801 CFS at 1442MST. No damage or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 2:10 PM MST to 5:30 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 0.6 mi N of Cave Creek to 0.67 mi N of Cave Creek
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.839, -111.950

Videos show significant floodwaters in Galloway Wash with flow across Spur Cross Road, making the road impassable to all traffic. Measured and radar estimated rainfall amounts were around 2 to 4 inches in 2 to 3 hours over areas upstream of this location. Timing adjusted based on radar. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 2:15 PM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 1.94 mi SE of Cave Creek to 2.2 mi SE of Cave Creek
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.809, -111.927

Significant flow in a typically dry wash made Carefree Highway between Tom Darlington Drive and Stagecoach Pass impassable to all traffic. There was also a photo that showed a lot of mud and gravel in one of the southbound lanes of Tom Darlington Drive near Meander Way. Both of these were reported around 1550PM. Very heavy rain began over the area and just upstream closer to 1300MST, with measured and radar estimated rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches in 1 hour. Timing of impacts adjusted based on radar. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 2:18 PM MST to 3:30 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 6.32 mi NE of Carefree to 6.44 mi NE of Carefree
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.960, -111.847

A Maricopa County Flood Control District stream gage along Seven Springs Wash exceeded alarm stage, impacting the unbridged Seven Springs Road downstream. At 1418MST, the flow crested at 5.06 feet and 1574 CFS.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 2:30 PM MST to 4:45 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 0.12 mi ENE of Phoenix Turf Arpt to 0.48 mi E of Phoenix Turf Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.630, -112.078

Broadcast media coverage showed significant flow in East Fork Cave Creek leading to the closure of 7th Avenue near Coral Gables Street. A Flood Control District of Maricopa County streamflow gage a few hundred feet upstream from 7th Avenue exceeded alarm stage at 1422MST, crested at 3.66 feet at 1509MST, and fell back below alarm stage at 1645MST. A man tested the floodwaters with his unicycle, but wisely turned around. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 2:35 PM MST to 3:30 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 1.05 mi W of Cave Creek to 0.93 mi SW of Cave Creek
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.832, -111.968

A Maricopa County Flood Control District stream gage along Cave Creek north of Carefree Highway exceeded bank full stage, impacting downstream low water crossings. At 1502MST, the creek crested at 7.65 feet and 5178 CFS. No damage or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 3:09 PM MST to 4:09 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 0.25 mi SW of Phoenix Turf Arpt to 0.3 mi SSW of Phoenix Turf Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
33.627, -112.083

Videos from a local TV station showed deep, swiftly moving water flowing in a wash across an unbridged crossing along 7th Avenue near Coral Gables Drive in Moon Valley. Nearby, Greenway Road was closed at I-17 due to flooding. No damage or injuries were reported.

Thunderstorm Wind, Maricopa

When
August 18, 3:11 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 1.61 mi W of Mesa
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
33.420, -111.848

A large tree, possibly a palm tree, was blown down onto power lines along Extension Road between 2nd Street and 2nd Place, causing a power outage to approximately 600 customers. Winds estimated around 55 to 65 mph. Timing based on radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 3:15 PM MST to 5:30 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 8.41 mi ENE of Tortilla Flat to 11.78 mi ENE of Tortilla Flat
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.569, -111.242

Arizona Department of Transportation closed State Route 88 between mile posts 230 and 242 due to flooding. Timing of impacts based on radar. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 3:25 PM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 8.35 mi SSE of Punkin Center to 8.3 mi SSE of Punkin Center
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.759, -111.263

Arizona Department of Transportation closed State Route 188 in both directions due to a mudslide across the highway. Initially the closure was between mile posts 246 and 255, but was updated to between 252 and 255. The mudslide was around mile post 253 and was the same location as a debris flow in July 2020. Runoff may have been enhanced by the 2020 Bush Fire burn area. Photos of the mud slide show roughly 1 to 3 feet of sediment, with burnt tree branches and twigs, across the highway and the guardrail in the southbound lane was destroyed. No injuries or additional damages were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 3:30 PM MST to 8:30 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 9.32 mi ENE of Ft McDowell to 9.21 mi ENE of Ft McDowell
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.698, -111.540

After 2 to 4 inches of rain fell over the northern portions of the 2020 Bush Fire burn area, a USGS streamflow gage on Sycamore Creek (SYCA3) registered a rapid rise from 2.53 feet at 01530MST to 9.38 feet at 1545MST. Flow continued to rise and crested 11.77 feet at 1730MST, 1.73 feet below action stage. No damages or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 3:45 PM MST to 9:45 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 7.55 mi ENE of Tortilla Flat to 10.19 mi ENE of Tortilla Flat
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.571, -111.259

The unpaved portion of State Route 88/Apache Trail was closed between NF-79 (mile post 230) and NF-51 (mile post 242) due to significant flash flooding and the road being washed out in many places. Arizona Department of Transportation reported the closure on the 19th, but the flooding impacts occurred on the 18th. According to Apache Lake Marina & Resort, some customers and employees had to be evacuated out of the area. Videos on social media show some of the road damage and washouts. The nearest rain gage at Reavis Trailhead measured 1.61 inches between 1350MST and 1550MST and radar estimates were upwards of 2 inches. Runoff on the southern end of the closure may have been enhanced by the 2019 Woodbury Fire burn area. Timing based on the rain gage and radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 4:00 PM MST to 5:50 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 5.96 mi ESE of Roosevelt Grpvn Arpt to 5.58 mi ESE of Roosevelt Grpvn Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.600, -110.953

A photo showed an outhouse public bathroom at the Eads Wash River Access Point Recreation site had the ground beneath it eroded away due to flash flooding. Floodwaters appeared to be traveling within Poison Spring Wash toward the Salt River. Tonto National Forest posted a couple days later that access to the Eads Wash rec site was closed due to erosion damage and unsafe conditions in the area as a result of the flash flooding. Exact timing of when impacts occurred is unknown, so based the timing off of radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 4:05 PM MST to 7:42 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 2.51 mi NW of Sunnyslope to 2.39 mi WNW of Sunnyslope
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
33.604, -112.112

A Maricopa County Flood Control District stream gage along Cave Creek at Cactus Road recorded flow climbing above alarm stage, impacting nearby low-lying areas. At 1632MST, the gage crested at 11.14 feet and 1,567 CFS. No damage or injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 4:20 PM MST to 6:00 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 3.37 mi SSE of Globe to 2.75 mi SSE of Globe
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.352, -110.767

Video shows significant flow in Six Shooter Canyon with floodwaters overtopping a small bridge at Six Shooter Canyon Road and Delores Lane. Homes may have been impacted with this flow level, considering a previous event, but there were no reports of damages and no reports of injuries either. It is uncertain if this event occurred in the morning or afternoon, but a downstream gage at Beer Tree Crossing registered a greater rise in the afternoon versus the morning. The gage crested at 3.91 feet at 1659MST. Although not reported, Beer Tree Crossing was likely impassable.

Flash Flood, Gila

When
August 18, 4:30 PM MST to 7:30 PM MST
Where
Gila County, 0.77 mi SE of Little Acres to 0.64 mi SE of Little Acres
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.391, -110.822

Gila County Emergency Manager reported Russell Gulch experienced flash flooding, in the Claypool area between Miami and Globe, after heavy rain fell over the Pinal Mountains within the 2021 Telegraph Fire burn area. Measured and radar estimated rainfall amounts were around 1 to 2 inches over the area and upstream, bringing the day's total to around 2.5 to 4.5 inches over the burn scar. Flash flooding impacted the same areas as the catastrophic flooding earlier in the morning, but was less intense according to the emergency manager. Still the bridge to the hospital near Hospital Road and Russell Road was impassable and nearby homes likely experienced impacts again. No injuries were reported and there were no reports of new damage costs.

Thunderstorm Wind, Maricopa

When
August 18, 4:58 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 0.69 mi N of Cashion
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.440, -112.300

Pictures on social media show multiple snapped tree due to strong downburst winds. Wind speeds estimated around 55 to 60 mph. Timing based on radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Maricopa

When
August 18, 5:00 PM MST to 6:00 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 9.97 mi WSW of Sunflower to 9.97 mi W of Sunflower
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.840, -111.640

Roads into Bartlett Lake were reported to be flooded and impassable in multiple locations, with some people having to be rescued out of the lake area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Maricopa

When
August 18, 5:45 PM MST to 5:55 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, 6.14 mi W of West Chandler to 4.44 mi W of West Chandler
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.306, -112.056

Numerous trees down across Ahwatukee with many along Desert Foothills Parkway and Chandler Boulevard over to Ray Road. Many of the trees were palo verdes and several fell into roads and impeded traffic. Winds estimated around 50 to 60 mph. Time based on radar. No injuries were reported.

Flash Flood, Pinal

When
August 18, 6:10 PM MST to 9:10 PM MST
Where
Pinal County, 13.35 mi WNW of Lirim to 10.68 mi WNW of Lirim
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.076, -112.201

Arizona Department of Transportation reported State Route 238 was closed for several hours between mile posts 35 and 40 due to flooding. Timing of impacts based on radar. No damages or injuries were reported.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Flash Flood, Maricopa2021-08-1844FemaleIn WaterDirect
Flash Flood, Maricopa2021-08-1844MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 983904, 983850, 983903, 983905, 984207, 983931, 983962, 983944, 983955, 983964, 984002, 983835, 983970, 985142, 972495, 984027, 983840, 983843, 984028, 984216, 983936, 984004, 984215, 984219, 984030, 984217, 984029, 985133, 983844, 984194, 983967, 984218, 984220, 984209, 984315, 983942, 983968, 983846, 984316, 983849, and more.