Montana, 2020

High Wind in Montana, January 4, 2020

January 4, 2020 · NWS TFX · 15 events in 14 counties and zones

A Pacific system brought strong 700 mb winds and helped develop a lee side trough, resulting in high winds across much of the region. The strong winds initially developed over the Rocky Mountain Front on January 3rd but then spread over the plains and portions of southwest Montana.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
15

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A Pacific system brought strong 700 mb winds and helped develop a lee side trough, resulting in high winds across much of the region. The strong winds initially developed over the Rocky Mountain Front on January 3rd but then spread over the plains and portions of southwest Montana.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 4, 5:02 AM MST, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 4, 5:02 AM MST, 3 hours 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
502 AM MST Sat Jan 4 2020

.SYNOPSIS...

Strong winds will be fairly widespread on Saturday as a Pacific
weather system cross the region, also bringing a period of snow to
the mountains. Unsettled and windy condtions continue through at
least the first part of next week with temperatures remaining near
to above seasonal averages.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Saturday and Sunday...An upper level low located over the Gulf of
Alaska moves eastward. An area of higher heights is located along
the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula. The height
gradient between these two systems tightens and a westerly cross-
barrier flow sets up across The Great Divide. Leeside troughing
will occur along the The Rocky Mountain Front, and with the Polar
Front Jet moving overhead, all of the necessary ingredients for a
high wind event will be in place. Expect partly cloudy skies
across north and central Montana on Saturday. High temperatures
are forecast to reach as high as 50 degrees in some parts of
central Montana on Saturday afternoon. Moisture advecting into
the area will favor mountain snowfall. With high winds and
snowfall expected over The Northern Rocky Mountain Front,
visibility will be reduced at times due to blowing snow. During
the overnight hours of Saturday night into Sunday morning, expect
winds to decrease becoming gusty with wind speeds that remain
below high wind criteria. Sunday, expect snowfall to continue
along The Great Divide and in West Yellowstone.
- Fogleman

Sunday Night through Wednesday....

An unsettled weather pattern persists across the region with
additional waves of energy from the Pacific moving across the area
through the first half of next week. Windy conditions will persist
with temperatures remaining somewhat above seasonal averages,
especially across north central MT. Another period of strong winds
is likely for areas east of the Rocky Mountain Front Sunday night
and Monday as another wind maximum moves across the region with
surface low pressure moving east across southern AB/SK.
Precipitation will primarily be focused along the continental divide
through this period and may be quite persistent over areas near
Marias Pass as moist flow from the west impinges in the northern
Rockies. Winter weather highlights are also possible as timing of
higher impact periods next week become more clear.

Wednesday night through Next Saturday...

A turn toward colder and wetter conditions is expected late this
week into next weekend as a fairly well supported change in the
large scale weather pattern is likely to occur. Details of how cold
and timing/amounts of snow are still highly uncertain, but models
are converging on the timing for the first push of colder air from
the north to arrive as early as Wednesday night with temperatures
falling below seasonal averages through the weekend. Its also worth
noting that this looks like a fairly prolonged colder weather
pattern that may persist well into the next couple of weeks once in
place. Hoenisch

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 502 AM MST Sat Jan 4 2020 (04/12Z TAF Period)

Expect VFR conditions throughout this TAF period for KCTB, KHVR,
KGTF, KLWT and KHLN. KBZN, KEKS and KWYS will experience periods of
MVFR due to 4SM -SHSN, with KWYS also experiencing CIG BKN025.
Widespread gusty winds will occur, today, with high winds expected
over The Rocky Mountain Front and reaching across north and north-
central Montana. LLWS is forecast at all airfields, and turbulence
will impact aviation operations.
- Fogleman

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  47  28  39  27 /  10   0   0   0
CTB  44  25  37  22 /  20  10   0  10
HLN  43  22  35  23 /  40  10   0  10
BZN  42  16  33  18 /  50  30   0  10
WYS  29   5  23   3 /  80  50  40  40
DLN  37  11  27  13 /  50  20  10  10
HVR  47  26  40  25 /   0   0   0  10
LWT  46  24  37  24 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 6 AM this morning to 9 PM MST this
evening Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...
Chouteau...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...Judith Basin...
Liberty...Toole.

High Wind Warning until 9 PM MST this evening Northern Rocky
Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.

High Wind Warning from 9 AM this morning to 9 PM MST this
evening Blaine...Fergus...Hill.

Winter Weather Advisory until 9 PM MST this evening Northern
Rocky Mountain Front.

High Wind Warning until 9 PM MST this evening Eastern Glacier.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 4, 8:03 AM MST, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
803 AM MST SAT JAN 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK           48.60N 112.37W
01/04/2020  M76 MPH          GLACIER            MT   ASOS

&&

MOLDAN

Event by event

15 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
January 4, 8:45 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
66 kt (76 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

Cut Bank Airport reports a non thunderstorm wind gust of 66 kts and a sustained wind of 48 kts from 745 to 845 am.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
January 4, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
62 kt (71 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public

Public reports a non thunderstorm wind gust of 62 kts at 1 NNE Cut Bank.

High Wind, Cascade

When
January 4, 11:09 AM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

NWS Great Falls reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 56 kts.

High Wind, Eastern Pondera

When
January 4, 12:30 PM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station at 2 W Ledger reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 52 kts.

High Wind, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
January 4, 2:05 PM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station near Sieben reported a non thu8nderstrom wind gust of 54 kts.

High Wind, Chouteau

When
January 4, 2:15 PM MST
Where
Chouteau forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station 3 SSW of Loma reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 56 kts.

High Wind, Madison

When
January 4, 2:30 PM MST
Where
Madison forecast zone
Measured
64 kt (74 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station 3.5 SE of Virginia City reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 64 kts.

High Wind, Hill

When
January 4, 2:45 PM MST
Where
Hill forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station 6 WSW of Havre reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 56 kts.

High Wind, Toole

When
January 4, 2:59 PM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station at Kevin reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 54 kts.

High Wind, Judith Basin

When
January 4, 3:06 PM MST
Where
Judith Basin forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

MDOT station at Geyser reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 50 kts.

High Wind, Broadwater

When
January 4, 4:03 PM MST
Where
Broadwater forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station at 3 WNW of Townsend (Ginger) reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 51 kts.

High Wind, Fergus

When
January 4, 4:38 PM MST
Where
Fergus forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

MDOT station a 5 ESE Denton reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 51 kts.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
January 4, 5:08 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

MDOT station at 2 SE Browning reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 55 kts.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
January 4, 6:51 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

MDOT station at 2 NW Pendroy reports a non thunderstorm wind gust of 51 kts.

High Wind, Blaine

When
January 4, 9:18 PM MST
Where
Blaine forecast zone
Measured
64 kt (74 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

A station at 13 S Bynum reported a non thunderstorm wind gust of 64 kts.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, January 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 872719, 872716, 872750, 872746, 872749, 872752, 872763, 872753, 872747, 872755, 872762, 872760, 872713, 872723, 872758.