Arizona, 2020

High Wind in Arizona, February 3, 2020

February 3, 2020 · NWS FGZ · 6 events in 6 counties and zones

A strong cold front brought high winds to portions of northern Arizona on February 3rd.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A strong cold front brought high winds to portions of northern Arizona on February 3rd.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 3, 3:24 AM MST, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 3:24 AM MST, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
324 AM MST Mon Feb 3 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front will move across northern Arizona
today delivering wind gusts in excess of 60 mph at some locations
from the Mogollon Rim and White Mountains northward. Along with
the front will come cold temperatures and a chance of snow showers
today. Expect lighter winds on Tuesday and Wednesday but with
cold temperatures continuing. Mild weather will return toward the
end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Satellite and surface obs show the cold front
has entered Mohave county at 2 am. A SW-NE oriented band of light
showers is along the front, and liquid accumlations in southeast
Nevada and SW Utah are generally a tenth inch or less. It's worth
noting that surface temps have dropped 10-15 degrees after the
frontal passage in SW Utah, and this trend will continue here
through the day. Strong southwest winds have developed as
expected across the high terrain of northern Arizona, peak gusts
so far this morning include 58 mph on the Vermilion Cliffs, 57
mph at Greens Peak, 53 mph at the Flagstaff Airport.

Very gusty winds to be the main issue today, and the fastest
winds still look to be across southern Navajo and Apache counties
later this morning. The High Wind Warning (with gusts from 60 to
75 mph in the Show Low and Springerville areas) to remain in
effect through this afternoon. The High Wind Warning in effect
until 5 AM Monday for the Flagstaff and Wupatki areas will likely
be replaced with a Wind Advisory with SW-W gusts from 40 to 50 mph
continuing through the afternoon. The Wind Advisory to remain in
effect for locations north of Interstate-40 through today, with
with SW-W gusts to 55 mph.

Todays high temperatures to be 20-30 degrees colder than Sunday,
and likely to be reached this morning for areas north of
Interstate-40. Afternoon wind chills will range from the teens to
in the 20s for the mountains of northern Arizona. While we still
are forecasting a period of snow along and just behind the
front, model QPF and resultant snow accumulations are trending
downward. Snow levels will lower to below 4000 feet. In general
any snow accumulations will range from just a dusting to 1 inch
through Monday evening. The highest elevations of the White
Mountains, San Francisco Peaks, and Chuska Mountains could see 2
inches. Snow showers should impact the morning commute across much
of Coconino County. The band of precip is progressive, with
decreasing shower activity across western AZ while it increases
across Navajo and Apache counties. Precip chances are slight in
the White Mountains and none elsewhere from midnight tonight
through noon Tuesday.

TUESDAY...Morning low temperatures could be the coldest so far
this season for some locations. kept the slight chance of
afternoon snow flurries across the high country with the cold pool
overhead. Daytime temperatures Tuesday will be 15-20 degrees
below average for early February.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... A dry northwesterly flow through
this period. Models show cold air holding firm on Wednesday but
then transitioning to milder temperatures by Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 12Z package...Strong southwest winds with
gusts of 35-50 kts will continue this morning. Locally higher gusts
up to 60 kts are possible just north of the higher terrain. Winds
will shift to a northerly direction behind the front later this
afternoon into tonight. There will be a chance of light snow showers
along the front, affecting KGCN and KFLG this morning and shifting
into eastern AZ during the afternoon. Some blowing dust is possible
for lower elevations north of the Mogollon Rim. Aside from brief
MVFR conditions in snow showers, VFR conditions will prevail through
the period. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Strong southwest winds will gradually weaken and
shift to a northerly direction by tonight. Much colder temperatures
and light snow showers will occur as a cold front crosses the state.
Very cold conditions persist on Tuesday with gusty northeast winds.

Wednesday through Friday...Well below normal temperatures continue
Wednesday with breezy northerly winds. Much warmer temperatures are
expected Thursday and Friday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...High Wind Warning until 4 PM MST this afternoon FOR AZZ013-014-
016-017.

Wind Advisory until 4 PM MST this afternoon FOR AZZ005-009>011-
039-040.

High Wind Warning until 5 AM MST early this morning FOR AZZ004-
006-007-012-015.

&&

PUBLIC...DL
AVIATION...TPS
FIRE WEATHER...TPS

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County

When
February 3, 3:30 AM MST to 2:30 PM MST
Where
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
35.620, -111.045 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The ADOT wind sensor at Two Guns reported a peak wind gust of 64 MPH at 353 AM. Wind gusts exceeded 58 MPH from 330 AM to 220 PM.

High Wind, Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County

When
February 3, 8:55 AM MST to 7:45 PM MST
Where
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County forecast zone
Measured
68 kt (78 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.396, -109.489 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Very strong winds were felt across the Little Colorado River Valley Apache County. Sustained winds over 40 MPH were felt for over 9 hours in St Johns and Springerville. Peak wind gusts include Springervile 78 MPH at 135 PM, St Johns 70 MPH at 243 PM, and Lupton 60 MPH at 212 PM. There were multiple reports of downed power poles in Springerville and Eagar. Trees were blown down in Concho and Show Low.

High Wind, Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County

When
February 3, 9:00 AM MST to 2:20 PM MST
Where
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County forecast zone
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.400, -110.321 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Winslow Airport ASOS recorded frequent sustained winds of 40 MPH or higher from 900 AM to 220 PM. The peak wind gusts of 60 MPH were recorded from 1135 to 1140 AM. The Taylor Airport reported a peak wind gust of 68 MPH at 1055 AM.

High Wind, White Mountains

When
February 3, 9:30 AM MST to 4:30 PM MST
Where
White Mountains forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.398, -109.905 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The peak wind gust at the Show Low Airport Show Low was 64 MPH at 1035 AM. The winds gusted over 58 MPH between 1015 AM and 3 PM. The sustained winds were above 40 MPH between 930 AM and 430 PM.

High Wind, Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau

When
February 3, 1:13 PM MST
Where
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.396, -109.489 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The peak wind gust at the Window Rock Airport was 58 MPH between 113 PM and 153 PM.

High Wind, Eastern Mogollon Rim

When
February 3, 1:55 PM MST
Where
Eastern Mogollon Rim forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
35.620, -111.045 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The wind sensor at the Mogollon Airpark near Heber reported a peak wind gust of 58 MPH at 155 PM.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, February 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 870080, 870079, 870077, 870081, 870075, 870078.