Showers and thunderstorms in conjunction with a cold front passed through southwest Virginia on the afternoon of September 15th. One storm in particular was strong enough to inflict downed trees and power lines in Dickenson County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RLX wrote it up.
Showers and thunderstorms in conjunction with a cold front passed through southwest Virginia on the afternoon of September 15th. One storm in particular was strong enough to inflict downed trees and power lines in Dickenson County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 13, 1:12 PM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 212 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 .SYNOPSIS... Cold front tonight and Saturday with a few showers/storms. Upper ridge returns for next week, brining mainly dry and warm weather. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 121 PM Friday... Diurnally driven Cu field is quickly developing this afternoon with isolated to widely scattered convection being possible. Best chances of convection this afternoon should be across the southern and eastern halves of the CWA where moisture depth is a little greater and thermal inversion is a little weaker. Cu field should quickly dissipate this evening with loss of daytime heating. During the evening, a SSErly LLJ of 20 to 30 kts at 925mb is prog to develop in response to the approach of a front, resulting in at least a light breeze for much of the night. Some showers and a few thunderstorms should develop along the front by late evening across SE OH/NE KY, and western WV...and then progress eastward overnight. The amount of overnight convective coverage is in question, especially given a bit of a downsloping low level flow component and very dry soil moisture (guidance often fails to take into consideration overly dry conditions). Regardless of coverage, some precip should be in the area, but rainfall amounts should generally be low, on average. Precip chances shift to the eastern CWA on Saturday as the front starts to stall near the mountains. Somewhat cooler conditions will be common, given light westerly flow and greater cloud cover. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 212 PM Friday... A few showers and storms may linger across far eastern zones at the start of the short term period, but any precip activity is expected to quickly diminish into the overnight hours as surface high pressure builds into the region behind a departing cold front. This feature will set the stage for very nice weather on Sunday with highs in the mid/upper 80s with comfortable humidity levels and abundant sunshine throughout the area. By Sunday night, H5 ridge centered in the lower Mississippi Valley will begin to expand northward as a strong upper trough approaches the western CONUS. This will allow northwest flow aloft to develop across the area while a shortwave trough move across the Great Lakes. Since the better lift associated with this feature will be north of the area, expecting mainly just a slight increase in clouds, particularly across northern areas Sunday night into Monday. A cold front will then approach northern portions of the FA late Monday as surface high pressure builds across the northern Great Lakes. Have kept PoPs out of the forecast for now as moisture appears limited, but a few showers could occur late in the short term period as the boundary approaches from the north. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 212 PM Friday... The aforementioned frontal boundary will continue to sag southward through the area Monday night, but its southward progress will likely be halted by a tropical system off the coast of the southeast CONUS. Model agreement has improved on the outcome of this tropical system by bringing it northward near the coast of the carolinas Monday night into Tuesday, and then accelerating it further offshore the middle of next week on the southern end of a mid level trough across eastern Canada. Thus, it appears unlikely that our area will be impacted from this system. Otherwise, the majority of the long term period should be mainly dry with an expansive area of high pressure in control. In addition, temperatures will remain above normal through the period with highs in the mid 80s through the week. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 112 PM Friday... Cu field is in the process of developing across the region early this afternoon. Field should become rather dense in some areas, especially across southern and eastern portions of the region. Iso to widely sct convection is possible this afternoon, but coverage and chances of impacting aerodromes are currently too low to include in TAFs at this time. However, future amendments may require inclusion of convection. Forecast confidence decreases tonight as the next storm system approaches the area. SSErly LLJ of 20 to 30 kts is prog to develop, which should negate fog development. Low CIGs may develop, however, but certainty in that is rather low at the moment. Regardless, a period of reduced flight rules may occur late tonight. A broken band of convection may try to develop and move from west to east tonight into Sat morning, as a surface front approaches the area. SSWrly sfc winds around 10 kts this afternoon, becoming southerly overnight. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High this afternoon. Low tonight/Saturday. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Lowest certainty is with timing and coverage of convection. Low level cloud cover may not be as significant as currently indicated tonight/Saturday. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EDT 1HRLY 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M L L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H AFTER 18Z SATURDAY... Early morning dense river valley fog possible Sunday and Monday mornings. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && SYNOPSIS...RH/RG NEAR TERM...RH SHORT TERM...RG LONG TERM...RG AVIATION...RH
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Charleston WV 621 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ083>087-WVZ005>008-013>016-024>027-141030- Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia- Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha- Roane-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay- 621 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, portions of southeast Ohio, and portions of central West Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Afternoon heating and abundant moisture will allow Heat Index values to reach the upper 90s, with isolated locations reaching 100 degrees this afternoon. Those performing outdoors activities this afternoon should take breaks in the shade and drink plenty of water. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ066-067-075-076-VAZ003-004-WVZ009>011-017>020-028>034-039-040- 515>526-141030- Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wood-Pleasants- Tyler-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison- Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Raleigh- Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-Southeast Fayette- Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster- Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas- Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph- 621 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia, and portions of central West Virginia, northeast West Virginia, northern West Virginia, southeast West Virginia and southern West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 92 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:36 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Several trees and power lines were downed along The Lake Road near John W Flannagan Reservoir.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, September 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 848568.