Isolated severe thunderstorms developed during the afternoon of the 28th as a short wave aloft moved overhead. Strong heating and steep mid level lapse rates led to these storms quickly becoming severe.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
Isolated severe thunderstorms developed during the afternoon of the 28th as a short wave aloft moved overhead. Strong heating and steep mid level lapse rates led to these storms quickly becoming severe. Several thunderstorms produced severe wind gusts across the extreme southern Texas Panhandle including minor wind damage in Dimmitt (Castro County).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 28, 5:04 PM CST, 34 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 604 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2019 .AVIATION... Showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region at least through sunset. Though convective activity is expected to decrease after sunset there could still be a few storms persist. As coverage is currently scattered VCTS was placed in the TAF as there is more confidence in convection moving close to a terminal than there is with convection moving over a terminal. The next item of concern for the terminals is low stratus after midnight into late morning. Currently MVFR CIGs look likely at all terminals, but model guidance does hint at the possibility of IFR CIGs. While stratus will likely persist into the afternoon tomorrow CIGs should at least be back to VFR by noon. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 255 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2019/ DISCUSSION... Our wet pattern is firmly in place and will continue through at least the end of the upcoming work week. The center of a Pacific Low that will drive our pattern this week, is currently over Washington and Oregon and steadily moving south-southeast. Surface dewpoints will remain in the 60s across the region through at least Thursday. The drop in dewpoint values will be marginal at best behind the front for Friday and next weekend. We're seeing a break in widespread rainfall this afternoon due to subsidence behind the wave responsible for the showers and thunderstorms last night. Coverage and intensity of showers and storms will increase again overnight tonight under a moderate LLJ and another shortwave ejecting out of SE New Mexico. Tomorrow will playout similarly to today with breaks in shower activity for many of us during the day, and chances increasing again Sunday evening through the overnight hours into early Monday. PWATS are abnormally high through the forecast period, but increase further tomorrow evening, so a mention of heavy rain was added for late Sunday night and early Monday morning as midlevel moisture increases due to a moisture fetch from the SE Pacific. NBM seems to be overdoing chances for Monday across our CWA, as the closed low drops further south across the desert southwest. Once the low opens up and the trough begins to push back to the northeast we'll see the best chances for widespread rainfall shift east out of New Mexico into Texas. The moisture advection from a tropical wave over the SE Pacific will become active again later in the day Tuesday through much of Wednesday. With the increased PWATS again, over their already high values, any showers and thunderstorms developing will have the potential for periods of heavy rainfall and localized flooding. By Wednesday night the trough transitions to an open wave, but the tropical moisture fetch north through Old Mexico continues to provide rainfall opportunities over a surface cold front pushing south through our area on Thursday. The airmass behind the front isn't much drier, while another trough develops out west. The unsettled pattern appears to continue into next weekend and possibly beyond. Temperatures will modify with the precipitation as we go through this week, with slightly cooler values behind the front toward the end of the week. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 51/99/99
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1220 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2019 TXZ021>044-290530- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King- Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 1220 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop this afternoon and evening. A couple of these storms could become strong to marginally severe, capable of producing hail to quarter size, wind gusts in excess of 50 mph and brief heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Thunderstorm chances will continue from Sunday through Friday. The greatest threat with this activity will be heavy rainfall and localized flooding, though a few of these storms could become strong to briefly severe.
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 108 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:36 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site in Caprock Canyons State Park measured a wind gust to 58 mph.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Earth measured a peak wind gust to 73 mph. Severe winds were measured between 1757 and 1800 CST.
Law enforcement in Dimmitt reported a power pole blown over along Farm to Market Road 3215 on the south side of Dimmitt.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 849515, 849514, 849516.