Texas, 2019

High Wind in Texas, February 14, 2019

February 14, 2019 · NWS LUB · 1 event in 1 county or zone

During the pre-dawn hours, a strong westerly low level jet around 60 mph created a turbulent rotor downwind of the Caprock escarpment in Briscoe County. This rotor caused several instances of high winds for just over six hours in Caprock Canyons State Park, with a peak gust measured as high as 61 mph at 3:06 CST.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.

During the pre-dawn hours, a strong westerly low level jet around 60 mph created a turbulent rotor downwind of the Caprock escarpment in Briscoe County. This rotor caused several instances of high winds for just over six hours in Caprock Canyons State Park, with a peak gust measured as high as 61 mph at 3:06 CST. No known damage accompanied these winds.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 13, 10:58 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 10:58 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1058 PM CST Wed Feb 13 2019

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Wind
speeds will remain up through the night and stronger winds about
1000 ft AGL will stay close to 50 knots resulting in a pretty
good bit of LLWS. Wind will gradually become west to northwesterly
tomorrow afternoon and increase with sustained speeds of 20 to 30
kts.

Jordan

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 319 PM CST Wed Feb 13 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Near zonal westerly flow aloft will continue overnight with next
significant wave expected to emerge across the northern Rockies
into the northern Plains Thursday. Fairly strong westerly wind
component will lead to a windy and warm day with periods of high
clouds to continue. A weak cold front will slide southward
Thursday night through the eastern Texas Panhandle into the
northern part of the Rolling Plains before stalling Friday
morning. This may serve as a focus for a few showers passing
through the panhandle very early Friday, but should remain north
of our area.

This front will wash out and retreat Friday as upper flow backs
and height falls and surface pressure falls ensue. A weak impulse
will likely race eastward early Friday solidifying stronger zonal
flow once again and may lead to a windy period around midday. But
this may be fairly brief with passage of this impulse to the east
and weakening pressure gradients. Solutions indicate weakening
winds during the afternoon Friday but still a very warm and dry
day.

Saturday still looms as potentially the windiest day ahead as low
pressure deepens in the southwestern U.S. with height falls
underway our area and deepening surface moving from the front
range across the Panhandle by Saturday afternoon. Wind max at the
500 millibar level late Saturday variously from around 87 to 107
knots is enough to make for a solid windy day including potential
wind advisory, dust, and critical fire weather (see below.)

A cold front will follow passage of this storm into the plains
early Sunday and a period of cool surface high pressure and
upslope looks to persist through early next week. A fairly
discernible upper trough digging through the southwest will eject
just north Monday night and Tuesday producing enough lift for
valid low chances of light snow. Air currently appears uniformly
cold enough for mainly snow, though likely to become a little more
vague as we approach in days ahead, if precipitation chances even
remain by that time. RMcQueen

FIRE WEATHER...
Dry, warm, and breezy to windy weather will continue off and on
through Saturday. Today we are seeing red flag minutes adding up
across the southwestern Panhandle and western South Plains, but
with the ERC's still near-normal combined with RFTI's mostly 3 to
4 equates to elevated fire danger vs. critical. Thursday and
Friday both will see waves passing late morning into early
afternoon, with winds peaking around those times and should weaken
afterwards. Humidity may not drop as much Thursday and Friday
remains uncertain as well. Very possible we will see at least
areas of critical fire danger develop either or both Thursday and
Friday but coverage looks inadequate for a fire weather watch at
this time. ERC's are expected to increase towards the 65th
percentile by Thursday or Friday and probably 70 or above by
Saturday so will become a non-factor restricting critical fire
weather conditions. Saturday is on track for strongest winds and
greatest likelihood of critical or possibly extremely critical
fire weather conditions. A cold front will bring cooler air in
Sunday into early next week. RMcQueen

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

14/14/14
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 13, 6:03 PM CST, 6 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
603 PM CST Wed Feb 13 2019

TXZ021>044-141215-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
603 PM CST Wed Feb 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected
Thursday and Friday. Critical or possibly extremely critical fire
weather conditions may develop Saturday along with winds in excess
of 30 mph and areas of blowing dust.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Briscoe

When
February 14, 12:09 AM CST to 6:25 AM CST
Where
Briscoe forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
34.530, -101.209 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 796930.