New York, 2019

Winter Storm in New York, December 14 to 15, 2019

December 14 to 15, 2019 · NWS BUF · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

A complex scenario unfolded across the eastern Great Lakes. A southern stream shortwave moving out of the Ohio Valley phased with a northern stream trough over the western Great Lakes, and the resulting trough became negatively-tiled as it crossed the eastern Great Lakes.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS BUF wrote it up.

A complex scenario unfolded across the eastern Great Lakes. A southern stream shortwave moving out of the Ohio Valley phased with a northern stream trough over the western Great Lakes, and the resulting trough became negatively-tiled as it crossed the eastern Great Lakes. A broad surface low with several circulation centers moving north along the east coast consolidated into one, and the resultant rapidly-deepening low took an inland track through western New England to eastern Quebec. Precipitation started as rain everywhere. As the surface low and upper level features strengthened, the column cooled on the western flank of the system within the deformation zone in the comma ahead, allowing rain to change to wet snow from west to east. Model guidance struggled with the timing of the change to wet snow, however the best chances of heavier snow accumulation were always over the higher terrain of western New York. A few selected totals for the resultant snow after the changeover include to 9 inches in Boston, 8 inches in Warsaw, 9 inches in Ellicotville, and 10 inches in Bemus Point.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 14, 2:31 PM EST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 2:31 PM EST, 29 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 4:50 AM EST, 10 hours 10 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Southern Erie

When
December 14, 3:00 PM EST to December 15, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Southern Erie forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
42.758, -78.780 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Wyoming

When
December 14, 3:00 PM EST to December 15, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Wyoming forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
42.702, -78.224 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Cattaraugus

When
December 14, 3:00 PM EST to December 15, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Cattaraugus forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
42.249, -78.679 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Chautauqua

When
December 14, 3:00 PM EST to December 15, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Chautauqua forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
42.303, -79.406 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New York in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, December 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 869360, 869361, 869362, 869363.