On the evening of July 4 and overnight into July 5, a narrow band of moderate to heavy rain formed within the southern periphery of the KC Metro and stretched southward into rural areas south of KC. Some areas saw almost 8 inches of rain, but the higher impact flash flooding occurred mostly within the KC suburbs and near rural areas.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
On the evening of July 4 and overnight into July 5, a narrow band of moderate to heavy rain formed within the southern periphery of the KC Metro and stretched southward into rural areas south of KC. Some areas saw almost 8 inches of rain, but the higher impact flash flooding occurred mostly within the KC suburbs and near rural areas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 4, 5:21 PM CST, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 621 PM CDT Thu Jul 4 2019 .Short Term...(This Evening through Saturday Night) Issued at 258 PM CDT THU JUL 4 2019 A well defined MCV has moved into western Missouri this afternoon. Forcing on the eastern, leading edge of the MCV has lead to scattered to widespread showers and storms across central Missouri. Modest instability exist ahead of the MCV and as a result will help this activity persist into the evening hours as the whole system tracks eastward with time. For eastern Kansas and western Missouri, there should be subsidence on the back side of the MCV, helping to lead to a decrease in coverage of rain. The rain cooled air has also led to more stable environment with cooler temperatures in the 70s and lower 80s. It's still humid, with dewpoints in the lower to middle 70s. For Fourth of July celebrations in eastern Kansas and western Missouri, conditions should be drying out. But ahead of the MCV, in central to northeastern Missouri, the threat of showers and storms will persist into the evening with man-made fireworks competing with Mother Nature's fireworks. Overnight, the low level jet will increase again and may lead to renewed convection in our southeastern zones. Have placed highest PoPs for the overnight time frame in this area. Friday's weather will be greatly dependent on what happens overnight, so confidence isn't very high. But have carried chance PoPs through the day with what looks new convection along a weak boundary/ convergence area showing up in the model surface projections. .Long Term...(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 258 PM CDT THU JUL 4 2019 With a flattening upper level ridge across the northern Central Plains and no strong surface troughing, there seems to be no strong upper level forcing mechanisms throughout this weekend. However, with summertime surface heating and relative weak cap across the region, rain and possible scattered thunderstorms cannot be ruled out of the forecast. Models seem to have different interpretations of the precipitation chances this weekend however, timing tends to be focused on the morning to afternoon with the daytime surface heating effects. Early next week, a weak ridging pattern occurs to the north of the area decreasing the chances for potential rain and scattered thunderstorms. However, some models favored potential isentropic lift in western Missouri/Kansas City area which could create some isolated showers. Further down the week, the upper level ridge weakens some. This can create higher potentials for showers and a few thunderstorms. This will be interesting to monitor over the next several days on how strong this ridge comes throughout next week. && .Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening) Issued at 621 PM CDT THU JUL 4 2019 VFR conditions prevail at the terminals this hour, and will likely prevail for much of the next 24 hours, but scattered storms early Friday morning and again late Friday afternoon may get in the way for brief periods. Otherwise, expect light and variable winds overnight to then prevail form the south for much of the day Friday. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. && Short Term...CDB Long Term...CDB/GREEN Aviation...Cutter
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 457 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2019 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-051000- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 457 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered storms are expected today, with chances decreasing as we get into the evening hours. No severe weather is expected, but localized strong wind gusts and small hail are possible. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Scattered storm chances continue Friday through the weekend. Strong to severe storms are possible Friday, with the main concerns being damaging winds up to 50-60 mph and hail up to quarter-sized. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 13 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:55 UTC.
7 flash flood, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Portions of HWY 291 were closed between HWY 50 and Lake Winnebago due to heavy rain.
Several streets in Oak Grove were flooded due to heavy rain.
Highway P is flooded and closed for a short time due to flooding.
Six to eight inches of water was flowing over Langsford Road and Windsboro Road. This area was not known to have flooded in at least 10 years per the resident.
Several cars were stalled in and around the Grandview area due to rising flood water.
Road barricades were up along Country Club Drive due to water running over the roads.
Several roads around Strasburg were flooded.
Sand bagging was ongoing to prevent water from flowing into some houses on Cardinal Street.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 847340, 847342, 847344, 847346, 847347, 847348, 847349, 847355.