A typical mid summer weather pattern occurred across the Arklamiss as showers and storms developed during the afternoon. With abundant moisture in place, heavy rain occurred which also cause some localized flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
A typical mid summer weather pattern occurred across the Arklamiss as showers and storms developed during the afternoon. With abundant moisture in place, heavy rain occurred which also cause some localized flash flooding. A strong to severe storm produced wind damage in eastern Mississippi.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 1, 2:28 PM CST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 328 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019 .DISCUSSION... Late afternoon through Friday: The low level trough axis across eastern/southern portions of the forecast area has provided sufficient moisture convergence/focus for isolated to scattered storms to develop this afternoon. At the same time, a less convective-friendly mid level environment on the back side of the mid level trough is helping to keep coverage/intensity from becoming overly robust. Expect the convective precipitation to continue in roughly the same locations through the late afternoon and into the early evening before diminishing fairly quick with sunset. In terms of severe microburst potential for the remainder of the afternoon, a weakly supportive environment is characterized by vertical totals ~ 25 and microburst composite values of 2-3. The large DCAPE values present yesterday are significantly less today, so we are not anticipating much in the way of severe wind gust risk, particularly in the absence of steeper mid level lapse rates supportive of greater hail production. Storms should diminish fairly quick with sunset, and for the overnight, expect generally quiet weather conditions with some patchy fog possible by the predawn hours. For Friday, greater diurnal convective precipitation coverage should be roughly in the same area as today, mainly over southern/eastern portions of MS, and there should continue to be a fairly tight nw-se PoP gradient with driest conditions over the ArkLaMiss Delta region. Ordinary mid level lapse rates and boundary layer conditions for this time of the year will continue to suggest non-severe microbursts will be the general rule in terms convective tendency. /EC/ This weekend into the middle of next week: Little change in the overall weather pattern is anticipated through the remainder of the forecast period as a longwave upper ridge continues to hold sway over the western and central portion of the CONUS. Upper troughing will persist over the eastern CONUS, resulting in mainly north to northwesterly upper flow over our area. With a lingering seasonably moist airmass and a steady train of disturbances rounding the upper trough, scattered mainly diurnal showers and thunderstorms will remain possible each day through the forecast period. At this juncture, we are targeting Sunday for the highest rain chances as a surface trough slides into the area and a weak upper disturbance remains nearby. In the wake of this surface trough, deep layer moisture may decrease slightly across some portion of the area Monday into Tuesday, and thus rain chances will trend downward. A resurgence of deep moisture is expected by the middle of the weak, with rain chances trending slightly upward again. Temperatures will be seasonable throughout the upcoming week. /DL/ && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF discussion: Primary concern will be for aftn TSRA potential, particularly in the MEI/PIB/HBG area. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to prevail with some concern for early morning MVFR category fog that should mix out shortly after sunrise Friday. /EC/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 71 92 72 91 / 23 17 9 33 Meridian 70 91 71 92 / 37 45 20 38 Vicksburg 72 92 72 91 / 21 6 5 26 Hattiesburg 71 90 71 91 / 37 43 24 43 Natchez 71 90 71 89 / 38 20 8 32 Greenville 70 90 70 89 / 2 2 3 21 Greenwood 70 90 72 89 / 1 4 4 30 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && EC/DL
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 231 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 021945- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes- Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston- Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper- Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah- Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln- Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 231 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Wednesday. 21 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... No short term hazards expected. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Tropical page... https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan National Hurricane Center Home Page... https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1215 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019
MSZ053-054-059-061-062-011800-
Jefferson MS-Copiah MS-Lincoln MS-Franklin MS-Claiborne MS-
1215 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019
...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
CLAIBORNE...NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN...JEFFERSON...NORTHERN FRANKLIN AND
WESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CDT...
At 1213 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking A cluster of strong
thunderstorms over eastern Claiborne and Jefferson Counties, moving
south at 15 mph.
Torrential rainfall and wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible
with these storms.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3163 9116 3206 9099 3216 9073 3156 9065
3153 9115
TIME...MOT...LOC 1713Z 359DEG 11KT 3180 9081
ECSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
146 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019
LAZ026-MSZ060-011930-
Concordia LA-Adams MS-
146 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CONCORDIA PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...
At 145 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Cranfield, or near Natchez, moving west at 15 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Natchez around 220 PM CDT.
Vidalia around 225 PM CDT.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Ridgecrest.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3130 9156 3167 9158 3165 9135 3165 9127
3163 9123 3163 9121 3141 9117
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 071DEG 11KT 3155 9129
ECSpecial Weather Statement National Weather Service Jackson MS 437 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019 MSZ058-012200- Clarke MS- 437 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CLARKE COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM CDT... At 437 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm near Sykes, or 12 miles east of Quitman, moving east at 5 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Clarke County. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees. && LAT...LON 3196 8847 3200 8863 3217 8860 3219 8844 TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 279DEG 5KT 3210 8851 TW
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Jackson MS 439 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019 MSZ046-052-012215- Kemper MS-Lauderdale MS- 439 PM CDT Thu Aug 1 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN KEMPER AND EASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT... At 438 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a cluster of strong thunderstorms across southeastern Kemper and eastern Lauderdale counties, moving south at 15 mph. Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms. This strong thunderstorm will be near... Increase and Zero around 505 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees. && LAT...LON 3223 8843 3223 8867 3267 8856 3267 8838 TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 020DEG 13KT 3236 8855 TW
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 140 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:53 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Multiple trees were blown down around Dalewood Shore Lake.
Water was across the road at the intersection of Jackson Road and Highway 98.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, August 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 837369, 837368.