Florida, 2019

Coastal Flood in Florida, August 31, 2019

August 31, 2019 · NWS MFL · 2 events in 1 county or zone

Higher than normal tides caused coastal flooding along portions of coastal Miami-Dade County. 5 to 1 inch above predicted levels.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

Higher than normal tides caused coastal flooding along portions of coastal Miami-Dade County. A new moon phase allowed tides to run about 0.5 to 1 inch above predicted levels. These levels along with the small northeast swells lead to some minor coastal flooding along the east coast of Miami-Dade during the high tide cycles.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 7:12 AM EST, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 7:12 AM EST, 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
812 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019

.AVIATION...
Expect isolated gusty showers and storms to continue moving
onshore over the Atlantic coast for the next few hours, bringing
TEMPO MVFR cond. to the east coast sites. Storm activity over the
Atlantic and east coast should taper off early afternoon bringing
generally VFR cond to all sites. Daytime heating and easterly
steering flow should drive afternoon convection over the interior
and Gulf Coast, where MVFR cond. are possible. Uncertainty remains
for convective activity over east coast this afternoon, therefore
kept VFR for time being. Amendments may be required.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 533 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019/

UPDATE...
The forecast has been updated to reflected the latest 5 AM EDT
advisory from the National Hurricane Center on dangerous CAT 4 Major
Hurricane Dorian.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 357 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019/

.HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES...

.MONITORING DANGEROUS CAT 4 HURRICANE DORIAN THIS LABOR DAY
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

DISCUSSION...

LABOR DAY WEEKEND...
The main concern will be continuing to monitor dangerous CAT 4
Hurricane Dorian this Labor Day weekend. The National Hurricane
Center is continuing to forecast Dorian to move to the west
northwest early this weekend before moving more westward late this
weekend. This would put this system in the northwestern Bahamas
or near the east coast of Florida late this weekend. There is
still uncertainty regarding the details of impacts for South
Florida. Also, it's important not to focus on the exact details of
the forecast track owing to uncertainty in the evolution of this
system and the potential for impacts to extend well away from its
center. Residents and visitors of South Florida should continue to
monitor the forecast as the details become clearer in the days
going forward. This is also a good reminder to make sure that your
hurricane plan and supply kits are in order as we head into the
peak of the Hurricane Season.

The weather today over South Florida will be mainly isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms. The best chance of the
showers and thunderstorms will be over the east coast metro areas
in the morning before shifting to the interior and west coast
metro areas in the afternoon and evening. The subsidence around
dangerous CAT 4 Hurricane Dorian will be working into South
Florida tonight into Sunday. This will lead to mostly dry
conditons tonight into Sunday morning before an increase in
showers and thunderstorms occurs in the afternoon and evening from
east to west.

EXTENDED FORECAST...
The long range models are showing a low level trough over South
Florida for the middle to end of next week. This will allow for
south to southwest winds over South Florida focusing the highest
pops over the east coast metro areas. Isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms will also be possible over the interior
and west coast metro areas each day mainly in the morning hours.

MARINE...
The marine forecast for this Labor Day weekend will all depend on
the strength and position of dangerous CAT 4 Hurricane Dorian.
All boaters need to stay informed with the latest forecast from
the National Weather Service on dangerous CAT 4 Hurricane Dorian.

BEACH FORECAST...
The threat of rip currents will continue across the east coast
beaches this Labor Day weekend, due to the small northeast swells
today, increasing onshore flow, along with the approach of
dangerous CAT 4 Hurricane Dorian for late this Labor Day Weekend
into early next week. A High Risk of Rip Currents is in effect for
all of the east coast beaches of South Florida through tonight.

There will also be a new moon phase early this Labor Day Weekend.
This will allow for the tides to run about 0.5 to 1 inch above
the predicted levels. These levels along with the small northeast
swells will lead to some minor coastal flooding along the east
coast beaches of South Florida during the high tide cycles.
Therefore, a Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for the east
coast beaches of South Florida through Sunday morning.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  90  78  90  77 /  40  20  50  50
Fort Lauderdale  89  80  90  78 /  30  20  50  40
Miami            89  79  91  78 /  30  20  50  30
Naples           93  77  89  78 /  40  20  20  20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday morning for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...54/BNB
DISCUSSION...54/BNB
MARINE...54/BNB
AVIATION...18/Weinman/03/Fell
BEACH FORECAST...54/BNB
HYDROLOGY...54/BNB
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 31, 3:15 AM EST, 4 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
415 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
312015-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
415 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019

...Scattered Thunderstorms Expected Across South Florida Today...
...High Risk of Rip Currents for All Atlantic Beaches...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: Increased swell and breezy east winds will lead to a
High Risk of Rip Currents along the Atlantic beaches of South
Florida.

Coastal Flooding: Minor coastal flooding will be possible at
sensitive and low-lying locations along the Atlantic coast and the
Intracoastal Waterway around high tide due to the new moon and
increased northeast swell.

Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across South
Florida today. The primary hazards will be heavy rainfall, gusty
winds, and lightning.

Waterspouts: Isolated waterspouts are possible across all South
Florida waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Scattered to locally numerous storms are expected each day this
weekend into next week across South Florida. The main hazards will
be lightning, locally heavy rainfall, and gusty winds.

A long-period northeasterly swell moving through the local Atlantic
waters will bring a continued High Risk for Rip Currents to the east
coast.

The New Moon and increased swell will continue to bring elevated
tidal levels to the East Coast beaches this weekend. Minor coastal
flooding will be possible at high tides.

Hurricane Dorian will likely approach and affect the Florida
Peninsula late in the holiday weekend into early next week. It is
still too soon to know the finer details of the impacts to South
Florida. Please continue to monitor the progress of Dorian through
the week. Now is a good time to make sure your household hurricane
plan is in order.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind, waterspouts, and
flooding to the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Coastal Flood, Coastal Miami-Dade County

When
August 31, 8:00 AM EST to 10:00 AM EST
Where
Coastal Miami-Dade County forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An Emergency Manage reported flooding of boat ramps at Matheson Hammock Park Marina during high tide.

Coastal Flood, Coastal Miami-Dade County

When
August 31, 8:00 AM EST to 10:00 AM EST
Where
Coastal Miami-Dade County forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An Emergency Manager reported flooding of boat ramps at the Haulover Park Marina during high tide.

What these are

Coastal Flood
Flooding of coastal land by the sea, from storm surge, onshore wind or high tides.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, August 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 851081, 851082.