California, 2019

Flood in California, April 10 to 11, 2019

April 10 to 11, 2019 · NWS MFR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Heavy rain (by April standards) combined with snowmelt caused a number of area rivers to flood.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.

Heavy rain (by April standards) combined with snowmelt caused a number of area rivers to flood.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 10, 7:57 AM PST, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 10, 7:57 AM PST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
857 AM PDT Wed Apr 10 2019

.DISCUSSION...The latest visible image shows mostly clear skies east
of the Cascades, northern California and portions of the west side
valleys south of the umpqua Divide. Low clouds are lingering in some
the valleys near Grants Pass, Umpqua Basin and also some are banked
up along the Siskiyous and Cascades. The lower clouds should burn
off later this morning. At the same time, high clouds are already
moving in from the north and this will eventually thicken this
afternoon. Radar is not showing any returns and have not seen any
reports of precipitation, so this was removed for this morning. This
afternoon, the general consensus shows the best chance for
precipitation to remain north of the Umpqua Divide and moreso in
northern and eastern Douglas County and Coos County. So have made
adjustments to the forecast to reflect this thinking.

Precipitation chances increase tonight, especially along and west of
the Cascades as a front drops south into our area with the upper
flow from the northwest. Please see previous forecast for more
details on the weather for this time period and beyond.
-Petrucelli

&&

.AVIATION...For the 10/12Z TAFS...Overall, expect a mix of MVFR/VFR
with terrain obscuration with MVFR becoming more widespread
overnight since there'll be plenty of low-level moisture due to
recent rainfall. These ceilings will last through Wednesday morning.
Some IFR is also possible, but confidence is low in timing and
extent of these lower conditions. Some improvement is expected
during the late morning and afternoon, but showers and lower flight
conditions are likely to return in the evening and overnight as the
system approaches the area. -BPN/BR-y

&&

.MARINE...Updated 800 AM PDT Wednesday 10 April 2019...High pressure
over the waters will weaken tonight, and a front will move through
the area Thursday. High pressure will rebuild Thursday night into
Friday, then weaken again Friday night. West to northwest swell will
build to near or just above 10 feet Friday and remain elevated into
the weekend. Another front will move onshore Saturday, followed by a
weaker front Sunday. Yet another weak front will move through Monday
night.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 308 AM PDT Wed Apr 10 2019/

DISCUSSION...Current satellite imagery is showing some clouds
overhead, but concurrent +0.5 degrees RADAR is showing no returns
as of 2:30 AM. That being said, the -0.2 degree radar are showing
some light returns spilling across the Umpqua Divide from north to
south and in the Cascades. Web cameras are showing some
snow at the Willamette Valley Pass on Highway 58, and on Dead
Indian Memorial Road. Siskiyou Summit appears to have ongoing
rain, but it is difficult to tell with that web camera. These
showers will continue through the night, so travelers should
prepare for potential slippery conditions if traveling in the
mountains, otherwise, things remain quiet.

A few flooding concerns remain in the area, mainly the Coquille
River at Coquille which continues to threaten homes and roads in
low-lying areas near the river from the estuary to Myrtle Point.
The Coquille is still in Moderate Flood Stage, and has remained
near crest for the last 30 hours or so. Flooding impacts from this
river will remain for a few more days before the river returns to
its banks. Please see the FLSMFR for more information.

Meanwhile, the Pit River at Canby and the Sprague River at Beatty
remain near or at bank full, and are continuing to rise. Both
rivers are not expected to reach flood stage, but they will be
close. So will allow the flood watches to continue. Please see the
FFAMFR for more details.

The next system will arrive at the Pacific Northwest Coast today,
but looks to remain north of southern Oregon. This means that the
majority of precipitation will occur north of our area, but the
Coastal Range and the Southern Oregon Cascades north of the Umpqua
Divide could see a little bit of precipitation today. This system
will spread southward on Thursday, but only light rain is
expected, with maybe some moderate rain occurring at the coast
near Coos Bay and Florence. Showers will continue overnight
Thursday and taper off on Friday. Snow levels will be around 4000
to 5000 feet through this entire system. Thus, the precipitation
associated with this system is not expected to be enough to
increase flooding along the Coquille or any of the other rivers,
but it may delay the receding of the rivers at least a little bit.

Meanwhile, the snowfall in the Cascades will be between 5 and 9
inches, with the highest amounts occurring over the highest
elevations (think Crater Lake). Interstate 5 at Siskiyou Summit
may see a dusting of snow, but the higher passes could be the
issue. Regardless, this snow will fall over a long enough time
period that it should remain below advisory amounts.

Friday will have a quick break in the action before the next
system arrives on Saturday. Models are suggesting that this system
will arrive in the late morning to early afternoon for Douglas
County and northern Coos County, spreading into the rest of
southern Oregon and northern California Saturday evening and
night. The showers continue on Sunday as a shortwave reinforces
precipitation chances. Ensemble guidance suggests that this system
won't be as exciting as the last weekend, despite some decent
winds aloft.

Precipitation chances remain somewhat elevated through the rest of
the forecast period, but some of the models are trying to suggest
a ridge of high pressure trying to build in with systems moving
north of the ridge. Have gone with the ensemble guidance here as
picking a deterministic solution here would be strange (the GFS is
strong with the ridge with precipitation remaining north of
Eugene, the ECMWF is a bit weaker with the ridge allowing
precipitation to reach the northern reaches of the Umpqua Divide,
and the Canadian is very weak with the ridge allowing
precipitation to reach the entire area). Regardless, expect this
to get ironed out in future runs; so it's worth keeping an eye on.
-Schaaf

AVIATION...For the 10/06Z TAFS...Overall, expect a mix of
MVFR/VFR with terrain obscuration with MVFR becoming more
widespread overnight since there'll be plenty of low-level
moisture due to recent rainfall. These ceilings will last through
Wednesday morning. Some IFR is also possible, but confidence is
low in timing and extent of these lower conditions. -Spilde/BR-y

MARINE...Updated 200 AM PDT Wednesday, 10 April 2019...Swell
dominated seas will ease today with mostly light to moderate north
to northwest winds. A frontal system will push through the area
Wednesday night into Thursday with some showers, but winds and seas
should remain below advisory levels. West-northwest swell will build
to near or just above 10 feet Friday and remain elevated into this
weekend. The next front will move through Saturday or Saturday
night. Models have trended weaker with another front expected to
move in early next week. -Spilde/BR-y

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.

CA...None.

Pacific Coastal Waters...None.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Modoc

When
April 10, 11:15 AM PST to April 11, 2:00 AM PST
Where
Modoc County, 3.2 mi WSW of Lookout to 6.56 mi ESE of Lookout
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
41.190, -121.210

The river rose above minor flood stage (8.5 feet) at 10/1115 PST. The river crested at 8.64 feet several times between 10/1715 and 10/1915 PST. The river fell below minor flood stage at 11/0215 PST.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in California, April 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 806709.