Pennsylvania, 2018

Winter Storm and High Wind in Pennsylvania, March 1 to 2, 2018

March 1 to 2, 2018 · NWS CTP · 17 events in 17 counties and zones

Low pressure crossed central Pennsylvania before rapidly intensifying as it pulled off the East Coast. As the storm pulled colder air in behind it, rain changed over to snow across much of central Pennsylvania.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 17 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
17

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CTP wrote it up.

Low pressure crossed central Pennsylvania before rapidly intensifying as it pulled off the East Coast. As the storm pulled colder air in behind it, rain changed over to snow across much of central Pennsylvania. The northern tier of central PA counties received 6-12 inches of snowfall, with lesser amounts to the south. Blustery northwest winds developed as the storm intensified, with numerous reports of damage to trees and power lines. The most widespread wind damage was across southern PA.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 7:04 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 7:04 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
704 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
March will come in like a lion with a complex storm system set
to impact central PA Thursday and Friday. The storm will bring a
widespread soaking rain to the area which will change to snow
from west to east tonight. Strong, gusty winds are also expected
later tonight into Friday. Improving conditions are expected
over the weekend with winds gradually subsiding by Saturday as
high pressure builds into the area.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING/...
Rain shield blossomed this afternoon in the left exit region of
150+ kt jet over TN. Baroclinic leaf pealing off towards the mid
Atlantic coastline this evening with classic cyclogenesis taking
place over southeast VA where 3 hr pressure falls are maximized
near Richmond at this hour. Parent low tracking just south of
Youngstown this evening. HRRR indicates the heaviest rain ends
over the West Central Mountains/Laurels and South Central
Mountains by 04z. Rain changes to snow over far North Central
and Northwest by that time. Parent low tracks to the central
mountains by 08z, with rain changing to snow elsewhere behind
the sfc trof axis. By 12z, rain should still be falling from
Williamsport southward to Gettysburg and eastward to the
Piedmont region, but expect rain to change to snow there by 15z
Fri.

All headlines look well placed this evening. Biggest threats for
PA with this storm are for heavy wet snow north, strong winds
and possible power outages (due to 40-50+ mph wind gusts and
saturated soil). Rises are expected on mainstem rivers, with
many expected to reach Caution stages Fri-Sat if forecast
rainfall pans out. The wind will be an extended duration player
with strong wind gusts lasting for most of Friday across
central PA. Additional details on this in Short Term discussion.

&&

.SHORT TERM /11 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
The upper level low will dig southeast overnight...as the low
reforms to the east. Potential for strong winds...snow...and
heavy rain. Strongest winds still looking to be across the
south...while areas near the NY border will have the highest
potential for heavy wet snow.

Some area rivers will approach or exceed CS if fcst rain
occurs. Not looking as bad as last week...where it was quite wet
for many days. Thus no flood watch at this point.

Big issue for snow accumulation will be rather mild
temperatures. WPC mentioned that the NAM is a little too cold.
Thus snow grids a little higher than earlier shifts...but
did not want to go too high.

Temps on Friday will stay nearly steady.

Winds will slowly die down Friday Night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Large low pressure moves further off the East Coast on Saturday,
but breezy conditions will linger, with possibility for light
rain/snow showers to stick around the northeast mountains.

Conditions dry out Sunday into Monday as surface and upper level
ridge traverse the region. Next system and accompanying precip
set to begin impacting central PA on Tuesday mainly in the form
of rain, though could mix with snow showers in the NE and other
usually colder areas. Timing and strength differences remain
between primary models this far out, but indicators are
increasingly pointing to potential for this to develop another
coastal low.

Temps fall back to near normal for the weekend yet stay near or
a bit on the mild side of climo early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Rapidly developing storm will affect the region for the next 36
hours. This evening, on the warm side of the storm, light to
moderate rain will continue. As the low passes to the east and
rapidly intensifies, look for winds to back to the north then
northwest rapidly between 04z and 06z. This will change rain to
snow from north to south overnight into early Friday. In the
far southeast, snow will be spotty, while central and especially
northern areas will see a steady snow, heavy at times
overnight.

Winds will significantly pick up with the intensifying storm
later tonight and Friday. Look for gusts 30-40 knots across the
north, and 40-50 knots across the south. LLWS will be an issue
tonight, first directionally in places like KBFD and KIP where
surface winds currently under 10 knots, but wind aloft strong
from the east/southeast. Later tonight into Friday morning,
speed shear will dominate, with winds aloft at 2k feet
approaching 60 knots.

Winds will be the big factor Friday. However, with winds well
mixed, surface winds and winds aloft will be well aligned and
similarly strong.

Improving conditions for the weekend.

Outlook...

Sat...Windy early.

Sun-Mon...No sig wx expected.

Tue...Mainly VFR, but with SHRA approaching from the west during
the day.

&&

.CLIMATE...
February 2018 will also go down as a top-5 wettest month at
several sites in south central PA including locally with the
wettest February at the State College COOP site on the PSU
campus. Monthly climate products will be disseminated by early
this afternoon.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning from 4 AM Friday to midnight EST Friday
night for PAZ042.
Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight EST
Friday night for PAZ010>012-017-018-024-033-041.
Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight EST Friday
night for PAZ017>019-026-045.
High Wind Warning from 6 AM Friday to 6 AM EST Saturday for
PAZ036-056>059-063>066.
Winter Storm Watch from 4 AM EST Friday through Friday evening
for PAZ053-058.
High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to midnight EST Friday
night for PAZ024-025-033>035.
Wind Advisory from 4 AM Friday to 6 AM EST Saturday for PAZ027-
028-046-049>053.
Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to midnight EST
Friday night for PAZ004>006-037.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Dangelo/Martin
NEAR TERM...DeVoir/Martin
SHORT TERM...Martin
LONG TERM...Lambert/RXR
AVIATION...Jung/Martin
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 4:05 PM EST, 5 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service State College PA
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

PAZ042-022115-
Sullivan-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-022115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ010>012-041-022115-
Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Lycoming-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ024-033-022115-
Cambria-Somerset-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
FRIDAY NIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ027-028-046-049>052-022115-
Mifflin-Juniata-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ019-026-045-022115-
Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Southern Clinton-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ004>006-037-022115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Tioga-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ025-034-035-022115-
Blair-Bedford-Fulton-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ053-022115-
Columbia-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ058-022115-
Schuylkill-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ017-018-022115-
Clearfield-Northern Centre-
405 PM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
FRIDAY NIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

14 high wind, 3 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Warren

When
March 1, 10:00 PM EST to March 2, 3:00 PM EST
Where
Warren forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.815, -79.274 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A winter storm produced 6 to 9 inches of snow across Warren County in a 12 hour period.

Winter Storm, McKean

When
March 1, 10:00 PM EST to March 2, 3:00 PM EST
Where
McKean forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.808, -78.569 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A winter storm produced 6 to 9 inches of snow across McKean County in a 12 hour period.

Winter Storm, Potter

When
March 1, 10:00 PM EST to March 2, 3:00 PM EST
Where
Potter forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.745, -77.896 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A winter storm produced 6 to 9 inches of snow across Potter County in a 12 hour period.

High Wind, Somerset

When
March 2, 1:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Somerset forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
39.972, -79.028 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Somerset County.

High Wind, Bedford

When
March 2, 1:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Bedford forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.007, -78.490 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Bedford County.

High Wind, Fulton

When
March 2, 1:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Fulton forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
39.925, -78.113 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Fulton County.

High Wind, Cambria

When
March 2, 1:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Cambria forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.495, -78.714 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Cambria County.

High Wind, Blair

When
March 2, 1:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Blair forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.481, -78.349 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Blair County.

High Wind, Lancaster

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Lancaster forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.042, -76.248 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Lancaster County. A large tree fell onto a home in East Hempfield Township as well.

High Wind, York

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
York forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
39.920, -76.726 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across York County.

High Wind, Adams

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Adams forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
39.872, -77.218 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Adams County.

High Wind, Dauphin

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Dauphin forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
40.415, -76.779 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A non-thunderstorm wind gust was measured at 59 mph at Harrisburg International Airport. Trees and wires were reported down across Dauphin County.

High Wind, Lebanon

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Lebanon forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.367, -76.458 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Lebanon County. A large tree fell onto a vehicle in Lebanon as well.

High Wind, Franklin

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Franklin forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
39.927, -77.721 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Franklin County. A portion of a barn roof was peeled off near Edenville as well.

High Wind, Schuylkill

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Schuylkill forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.706, -76.216 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Schuylkill County.

High Wind, Cumberland

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Cumberland forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.164, -77.266 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Cumberland County. A tree fell onto a home on Oyster Mill Road near Camp Hill as well.

High Wind, Perry

When
March 2, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Perry forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
40.398, -77.262 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts estimated near 60 mph knocked down trees and wires across Perry County.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, March 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 734648, 734649, 734650, 733240, 733241, 733242, 733243, 733244, 733228, 733229, 733230, 733231, 733232, 733233, 733234, 733236, 733237.