Montana, 2018Flooding in Montana, May 5 to 16, 2018
May 5 to 16, 2018 · NWS MSO · 8 events in 4 counties and zones
The combination of above normal mountain snow-pack up to 200% of normal and warmer than normal temperatures in the month of May led to continued and new river flooding. Missoula County reported that the tally for damage was to the amount of $450,000.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $452,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The combination of above normal mountain snow-pack up to 200% of normal and warmer than normal temperatures in the month of May led to continued and new river flooding. Missoula County reported that the tally for damage was to the amount of $450,000.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 5, 1:36 PM MST, 7 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 5, 1:36 PM MST, 7 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
236 PM MDT Sat May 5 2018
.DISCUSSION...Plenty of mid to high level clouds have spread
across the Northern Rockies today, with light rain falling across
northwest Montana, southwest Montana, and north central Idaho.
For the most part however, showers are evaporating before they
reach the valley floors, creating blustery winds but not much
else.
Sunday is looking like it will be a much more active day in the
afternoon and evening hours. A line of showers will cross central
Idaho and western Montana from south to north Sunday morning, then
the sun will make a guest appearance for much of the afternoon.
This will only help to create more unstable conditions, priming
the region for late day thunderstorm activity. Storms should cross
central Idaho shortly around or after 3 pm PDT, and then western
Montana after 5 pm MDT. The main concerns will be heavy rain,
strong winds, and abundant lightning. If you have plans for the
second half of the day Sunday, be sure to account for the
aforementioned impacts.
Showers will linger overnight Sunday into Monday, with steadily
drying conditions as we head into Tuesday. In fact, Tuesday
should be a warm and dry day. This won't last long, as another
round of rain will enter from the west on Wednesday with the
passage of a cold front.
Beyond Wednesday/Thursday, the forecast models differ majorly from
one another, lending to low forecast confidence. Few changes have
been made to the forecast beyond Thursday as a result.
For more information on flooding, please see the HYDROLOGY
portion of this discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...Cloud cover remains this afternoon and showers
continue to develop. Thunderstorms are possible with northwest
Montana, central Idaho, and southwest Montana having the highest
threat again occurring. KSMN, KBTM, and points between stand the
highest potential to see a thunderstorm this afternoon. Outflows
from showers and thunderstorms will bring increased winds at
times. Another round of showers are possible overnight with
continued cloud cover.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...Snowmelt runoff has caused rivers to rise quickly as
warm conditions continue across the region. Major mainstem rivers,
such as the Clark Fork River above and below Missoula, the
Bitterroot River, the Yaak River are all forecast to see
significant rises in the next several days. Most notably, the
Clark Fork River above Missoula is forecast to reach Major Flood
Stage (13 FT) by Friday, May 11th.
Needless to say, rivers are on the rise and will continue to run
high, fast, and dangerous in the coming days across the entire
Northern Rockies region. This includes small streams and creeks as
they reach bankfull and spill over their banks. Please be alert to
your local bodies of water and ensure you have a plan in the event
of flooding.
&&
.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon Kootenai/Cabinet Region.
ID...None.
&&
Flood, Lincoln
- When
- May 5, 9:00 PM MST to May 11, 7:00 AM MST
- Where
- Lincoln County, 1.3 mi WNW of Yakt to 11.77 mi SE of Yakt
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 48.580, -115.994
The Yaak River reached minor flood stage and affected low lying areas adjacent to the river.
Flood, Missoula
- When
- May 7, 10:00 AM MST to May 13, 3:30 PM MST
- Where
- Missoula County, 0.94 mi NNW of Bonner to 5.96 mi ESE of Bonner
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 46.883, -113.888
The Blackfoot River reached minor flood stage and mainly low lying areas were impacted.
Flood, Missoula
- When
- May 7, 11:30 AM MST to May 16, 8:00 AM MST
- Where
- Missoula County, 7.68 mi SW of Seeley Lake to 2.3 mi NNE of Greenough
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 47.182, -113.629
Homes and buildings adjacent to Seeley Lake and the Clearwater River were impacted by flooding. Thirteen homes in the Seeley Lake region were under evacuation orders.
Flood, Ravalli
- When
- May 8, 11:00 AM MST to May 13, 12:00 AM MST
- Where
- Ravalli County, 16.3 mi N of Florence to 16.96 mi NNW of Florence
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 46.863, -114.137
The Bitterroot River near Missoula reached minor flood stage which caused field flooding on the east side of Highway 93 both north and south of Lolo. Ground water adjacent to the Bitterroot River flooded the Linda Vista Golf course and nearby homeowner's backyards.
Flood, Missoula
- When
- May 9, 4:15 AM MST to May 13, 10:00 AM MST
- Where
- Missoula County, 1.93 mi NW of Post to 3.28 mi SSW of Orchard Homes
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Property damage
- $450,000
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 46.848, -114.111
Low lying areas adjacent to the Clark Fork River below Missoula to Frenchtown were flooded. The river also flooded numerous homes in the vicinity of Harpers Road from both surface water and groundwater; some homes were evacuated by Missoula County Sheriff's Department. Sandbagging of homes occurred on Mallard Way to keep from flooding.
Flood, Ravalli
- When
- May 10, 1:15 AM MST to May 11, 8:00 AM MST
- Where
- Ravalli County, 3.18 mi NE of Pinesdale to 4.09 mi NNW of Conner Shook Mtn Arp
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 46.364, -114.205
The Bitterroot River reached minor flood stage causing the Spring Gulch campground and low lying areas adjacent to the river to flood.
Flood, Ravalli
- When
- May 10, 6:00 AM MST to May 11, 11:00 AM MST
- Where
- Ravalli County, 0.65 mi NW of Kenspur to 2.39 mi NE of Kenspur
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 46.587, -114.089
With both the Bitterroot River and Burnt Fork Creek running high, damage to the Lee Metcalf Wildlife Refuge and Whitetail Golf Course occurred. Much of the damage included scouring of pavement in these areas.
Flood, Powell
- When
- May 10, 7:00 AM MST to May 12, 7:00 AM MST
- Where
- Powell County, 4.22 mi SSE of Pioneer to 5.63 mi W of Ovando
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 46.448, -112.933
Several small creeks including Union and Nevada flooded nearby fields.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heat in Arizona, May 5 to 6, 20181 death · 1 event
- Rip Current in Florida, May 5, 20181 death · 1 event
- Flood in Washington, May 5 to 27, 2018$12 million · 1 event
- Flooding in Washington, May 5 to 24, 2018$3.2 million · 4 events
- Hail in Virginia, May 5, 2018$15,000 · 1.75 in hail · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Tennessee, May 5, 2018$10,000 · 1.5 in hail · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Kentucky, May 5, 20182.5 in hail · 4 events
- Flooding in Alaska, May 5 to 8, 20183 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in West Virginia, May 5, 2018$1,000 · 1.25 in hail · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in Kentucky, May 5, 201853 kt wind · 3 events
- Flooding in West Virginia, May 5 to 7, 20183 events
- Hail in Tennessee, May 5, 20181.25 in hail · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 753009, 753010, 753119, 753100, 753132, 753051, 753063, 753955.