Montana, 2018

Flooding in Montana, May 5 to 16, 2018

May 5 to 16, 2018 · NWS MSO · 8 events in 4 counties and zones

The combination of above normal mountain snow-pack up to 200% of normal and warmer than normal temperatures in the month of May led to continued and new river flooding. Missoula County reported that the tally for damage was to the amount of $450,000.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$452,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MSO wrote it up.

The combination of above normal mountain snow-pack up to 200% of normal and warmer than normal temperatures in the month of May led to continued and new river flooding. Missoula County reported that the tally for damage was to the amount of $450,000.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 5, 1:36 PM MST, 7 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 1:36 PM MST, 7 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
236 PM MDT Sat May 5 2018

.DISCUSSION...Plenty of mid to high level clouds have spread
across the Northern Rockies today, with light rain falling across
northwest Montana, southwest Montana, and north central Idaho.
For the most part however, showers are evaporating before they
reach the valley floors, creating blustery winds but not much
else.

Sunday is looking like it will be a much more active day in the
afternoon and evening hours. A line of showers will cross central
Idaho and western Montana from south to north Sunday morning, then
the sun will make a guest appearance for much of the afternoon.
This will only help to create more unstable conditions, priming
the region for late day thunderstorm activity. Storms should cross
central Idaho shortly around or after 3 pm PDT, and then western
Montana after 5 pm MDT. The main concerns will be heavy rain,
strong winds, and abundant lightning. If you have plans for the
second half of the day Sunday, be sure to account for the
aforementioned impacts.

Showers will linger overnight Sunday into Monday, with steadily
drying conditions as we head into Tuesday. In fact, Tuesday
should be a warm and dry day. This won't last long, as another
round of rain will enter from the west on Wednesday with the
passage of a cold front.

Beyond Wednesday/Thursday, the forecast models differ majorly from
one another, lending to low forecast confidence. Few changes have
been made to the forecast beyond Thursday as a result.

For more information on flooding, please see the HYDROLOGY
portion of this discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...Cloud cover remains this afternoon and showers
continue to develop. Thunderstorms are possible with northwest
Montana, central Idaho, and southwest Montana having the highest
threat again occurring. KSMN, KBTM, and points between stand the
highest potential to see a thunderstorm this afternoon. Outflows
from showers and thunderstorms will bring increased winds at
times. Another round of showers are possible overnight with
continued cloud cover.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Snowmelt runoff has caused rivers to rise quickly as
warm conditions continue across the region. Major mainstem rivers,
such as the Clark Fork River above and below Missoula, the
Bitterroot River, the Yaak River are all forecast to see
significant rises in the next several days. Most notably, the
Clark Fork River above Missoula is forecast to reach Major Flood
Stage (13 FT) by Friday, May 11th.

Needless to say, rivers are on the rise and will continue to run
high, fast, and dangerous in the coming days across the entire
Northern Rockies region. This includes small streams and creeks as
they reach bankfull and spill over their banks. Please be alert to
your local bodies of water and ensure you have a plan in the event
of flooding.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon Kootenai/Cabinet Region.

ID...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Lincoln

When
May 5, 9:00 PM MST to May 11, 7:00 AM MST
Where
Lincoln County, 1.3 mi WNW of Yakt to 11.77 mi SE of Yakt
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
48.580, -115.994

The Yaak River reached minor flood stage and affected low lying areas adjacent to the river.

Flood, Missoula

When
May 7, 10:00 AM MST to May 13, 3:30 PM MST
Where
Missoula County, 0.94 mi NNW of Bonner to 5.96 mi ESE of Bonner
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
46.883, -113.888

The Blackfoot River reached minor flood stage and mainly low lying areas were impacted.

Flood, Missoula

When
May 7, 11:30 AM MST to May 16, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Missoula County, 7.68 mi SW of Seeley Lake to 2.3 mi NNE of Greenough
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
47.182, -113.629

Homes and buildings adjacent to Seeley Lake and the Clearwater River were impacted by flooding. Thirteen homes in the Seeley Lake region were under evacuation orders.

Flood, Ravalli

When
May 8, 11:00 AM MST to May 13, 12:00 AM MST
Where
Ravalli County, 16.3 mi N of Florence to 16.96 mi NNW of Florence
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
46.863, -114.137

The Bitterroot River near Missoula reached minor flood stage which caused field flooding on the east side of Highway 93 both north and south of Lolo. Ground water adjacent to the Bitterroot River flooded the Linda Vista Golf course and nearby homeowner's backyards.

Flood, Missoula

When
May 9, 4:15 AM MST to May 13, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Missoula County, 1.93 mi NW of Post to 3.28 mi SSW of Orchard Homes
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Property damage
$450,000
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
46.848, -114.111

Low lying areas adjacent to the Clark Fork River below Missoula to Frenchtown were flooded. The river also flooded numerous homes in the vicinity of Harpers Road from both surface water and groundwater; some homes were evacuated by Missoula County Sheriff's Department. Sandbagging of homes occurred on Mallard Way to keep from flooding.

Flood, Ravalli

When
May 10, 1:15 AM MST to May 11, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Ravalli County, 3.18 mi NE of Pinesdale to 4.09 mi NNW of Conner Shook Mtn Arp
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
46.364, -114.205

The Bitterroot River reached minor flood stage causing the Spring Gulch campground and low lying areas adjacent to the river to flood.

Flood, Ravalli

When
May 10, 6:00 AM MST to May 11, 11:00 AM MST
Where
Ravalli County, 0.65 mi NW of Kenspur to 2.39 mi NE of Kenspur
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
46.587, -114.089

With both the Bitterroot River and Burnt Fork Creek running high, damage to the Lee Metcalf Wildlife Refuge and Whitetail Golf Course occurred. Much of the damage included scouring of pavement in these areas.

Flood, Powell

When
May 10, 7:00 AM MST to May 12, 7:00 AM MST
Where
Powell County, 4.22 mi SSE of Pioneer to 5.63 mi W of Ovando
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
46.448, -112.933

Several small creeks including Union and Nevada flooded nearby fields.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, May 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 753009, 753010, 753119, 753100, 753132, 753051, 753063, 753955.