Montana, 2018Winter Storm in Montana, March 30, 2018
March 30, 2018 · NWS TFX · 4 events in 4 counties and zones
On March 30th, westerly upslope flow triggered snow showers, some heavy, along the Continental Divide. In addition, a Canadian cold front moving southward through North-Central and Southwest Montana triggered showers, most of which were in the form of snow.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
On March 30th, westerly upslope flow triggered snow showers, some heavy, along the Continental Divide. In addition, a Canadian cold front moving southward through North-Central and Southwest Montana triggered showers, most of which were in the form of snow. Instability and lift along the front allowed some of these showers to organize into bands of heavy snow. These areas of snow then diminished gradually from north to south late on the 30th and into the 31st.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 30, 11:09 AM MST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 11:09 AM MST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1209 PM MDT Fri Mar 30 2018
...UPDATED AVIATION...
.UPDATE...
Advertised cold front is currently just south of Calgary in
Canada. Made a few updated based on current location and timing.
Some areas of Canada have received freezing drizzle with this
front passage. Confidence is low this will occur in our
area...although cannot rule out isolated to scattered freezing
rain/drizzle during the onset and end times of precip. Winds are
also starting to increase. As the front gets closer to the
region...still expected strong winds. Warm temperatures will also
be a result of these down sloping winds right before frontal
passage. Highlights will remain the same with this publish. Will
monitor the progression of the front. If widespread snow, freezing
precip, and rapid freezing of surface pavement become more and
more likely...an advisory for the lower levels may need to be
considered. Anglin
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Expect strong winds to increase across northern and central
Montana today. By the afternoon, a cold front will press south
across the area, delivering the potential for rain/snow showers.
Temperatures plummet tonight with single digits expected across
northern and central Montana, with a very cold Saturday to follow.
We attempt to dry out by later this weekend before more active
weather returns by the beginning of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
Updated 1158z.
A cold front will push south out of Canada this afternoon and
bring lowering ceilings...gusty winds...and areas of snow. MVFR to
IFR conditions are expected to spread with this front...starting
from KCTB to KHVR early afternoon...moving to KHLN to KGTF to
KLWT late afternoon...and the remainder of the area this evening.
Conditions improve after 12z_Saturday from KHLN to KGTF to KLWT
and north. South of this line lingering clouds and scattered snow
shower activity is possible...with some MVFR to brief IFR
conditions possible. Mountains will be obscured with snow. Strong
winds ahead and along the front are also expected. Anglin
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Updated 300 PM.
The areal flood advisory for Chouteau County has been cancelled.
Flooding impacts have diminished over the county.
The areal flood advisory for Teton, Pondera and Blaine Counties has
been extended until Friday, per local emergency managers report of
minor flooding impacts continuing in those regions.
With temperatures turning colder on Friday afternoon, snowmelt
should slow over the next few days. Brusda
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 558 AM MDT Fri Mar 30 2018/
Today through Sunday...A lot of major changes remain right around
the corner, as we remain in a very active pattern areawide for the
next several days. Starting with today, we will continue to see a
warm front press northeast across central Montana, allowing for a
progressive shift in winds from the southwest. Aloft, a
strengthening H700 jet will advance across the state, increasing
surface winds into the afternoon hours as a deep, well mixed layer
develops. A closer look at short-range sounding data illustrates a
very interesting set up, with a very deep mixing heights across
the Plains. This will mean there will be no problem for strong
wind gusts to make it to the surface. Wind gusts will be strongest
along the Rocky Mountain front, with wind gusts up to 65 mph
possible, and will extend across the Plains of central Montana
through the afternoon and early evening hours. Given all of this,
the High Wind Watch in effect for central areas have been upgraded
to a warning today until 6PM MDT this evening. In addition to the
strong southwesterly winds, a fast moving canadian cold front will
dive south out of southern Alberta as early as late this morning
for CTB to HVR, to around mid-afternoon for central MT. Expect
this front to swing through northern and central MT, causing a
prominent wind shift as it passes with strong winds still expected
along and behind the front. With the aforementioned impressive
steep well-mixed layer due to develop later this afternoon
(aiding in MUCAPE ~400-600J/kg in spots), combined with supportive
frontogenetic ascent in the low levels as the front races south,
it is likely that rain/snow squalls will develop later this
afternoon, with the greater chances near or around terrain across
northern and central Montana. With these rain/snow showers being
more convective in nature, some higher terrain may experience
quick, heavy bursts in snowfall at times. Temperatures will
plummet quickly behind the front, with overnight lows likely
dipping into the single digits from south-central Montana on north
to along the Hi-Line. Winds will continue to diminish early
tonight and into the overnight hours as the H700 jet moves east,
and the mixed-layer decouples once the sun sets. However, spotty
snow showers will continue, primarily along the Divide, and for
areas of higher terrain in central MT due to northerly
winds/upslope flow. Best areas for potential impacts from snowfall
Friday afternoon through early Saturday morning will be along the
Divide, including Maria's pass and western Glacier where 6 to 8
inches of snow can be expected in this time frame. Combined with
strong winds, blowing snow may become a problem in these areas
through early Saturday. By later in the day on Saturday, we dry
out but stay very cold. Afternoon highs on Saturday will range
anywhere from 25 to 35 degrees below normal. Saturday afternoon
and night, a very quick, but weak shortwave trough will break out
some light rain/snow showers across far SW MT. Have increased
PoP's slightly from recent trends given just enough dynamic
support, combined with a stalled frontal boundary within the
vicinity. Sunday will be primarily dry across the area, as the
weak disturbance exits to the east. Winds shift back from the
southwest in the afternoon hours across the Plains, which will
bring temperatures back to the mid to upper 40's. KLG
Sunday night through Friday...Medium range models are in good
agreement bringing an upper level disturbance into the region.
Widespread snow is expected to develop Sunday night and continue
into Monday. Temperatures associated with this system are cold
enough to allow several inches of snow accumulation over the plains
with 6 to 12 inches possible in the mountains. Temperatures in north-
central Montana will remain below freezing on Monday but southwest
Montana will be warmer with less likelihood of snow accumulations. A
warming trend is expected Tuesday through Thursday as an unsettled
northwest flow aloft prevails across the region, but only isolated
to scattered rain and snow showers are expected and temperatures
will still remain below seasonal averages. By late in the week,
medium range models suggest that another push of cold Canadian air
is possible and could coincide with an atmospheric river pushing
into the Pacific Northwest. This suggests that an over-running
scenario could be possible for portions of Montana. For now have
introduced a chance for precipitation and will continue to monitor
models to see how they will evolve this possible event. mpj
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 49 6 24 14 / 60 70 10 10
CTB 38 0 19 8 / 60 60 10 10
HLN 51 17 31 21 / 40 70 20 10
BZN 53 22 38 21 / 20 30 30 20
WEY 41 22 40 20 / 30 30 40 30
DLN 54 25 44 25 / 10 10 30 20
HVR 33 0 16 1 / 60 60 0 0
LWT 45 6 23 12 / 70 70 10 10
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 6 PM MDT this evening Eastern Glacier...
Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...Northern Rocky Mountain
Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front...Toole.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 AM MDT Saturday Northern Rocky
Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.
High Wind Warning until 6 PM MDT this evening Cascade...
Chouteau...Fergus...Judith Basin...Liberty.
Areal Flood Advisory for snowmelt remains in effect
until 845 PM MDT Friday for Blaine County.
Areal Flood Advisory for snowmelt in effect until 630 PM MDT
Friday for Teton and Pondera Counties.
&&
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 30, 11:23 AM MST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1223 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1216 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E MARYSVILLE 46.73N 112.16W
03/30/2018 M59 MPH LEWIS AND CLARK MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
BRUSDALocal storm report, Mar 30, 11:26 AM MST, 2 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1226 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1158 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SIEBEN FLATS MDT 46.89N 112.11W
03/30/2018 M53 MPH LEWIS AND CLARK MT MESONET
MESONET STATION MTSBN, SIEBEN FLATS MDT.
&&
BRUSDALocal storm report, Mar 30, 12:28 PM MST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
128 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM HIGH SUST WINDS CUT BANK AIRPORT 48.60N 112.38W
03/30/2018 M42 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH OVER THE
PAST HOUR. PEAK GUST OF 54 MPH AT 109 PM.
&&
BRUSDALocal storm report, Mar 30, 12:33 PM MST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
133 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0117 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 NW JOPLIN 48.74N 110.93W
03/30/2018 M58 MPH LIBERTY MT MESONET
&&
BRUSDALocal storm report, Mar 30, 12:38 PM MST, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
138 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1221 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BOULDER HILL MDT 46.32N 112.07W
03/30/2018 M56 MPH JEFFERSON MT MESONET
MESONET STATION MTBOU, BOULDER HILL MDT.
&&
BRUSDALocal storm report, Mar 30, 1:32 PM MST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
232 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0148 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 S RUDYARD CWOP 48.39N 110.54W
03/30/2018 M59 MPH HILL MT MESONET
MESONET STATION E1931, 11 S RUDYARD CWOP.
&&
BRUSDAWinter Storm, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 30, 1:35 PM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Montana DOT reported severe driving conditions along US-2 and US-89 in the Browning area due to accumulating snow.
Winter Storm, Southern Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 30, 4:25 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Montana DOT reported severe driving conditions along US-287 from Augusta to Choteau due to accumulating snow.
Winter Storm, Cascade
- When
- March 30, 5:56 PM MST
- Where
- Cascade forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Montana DOT reported a vehicle slid-off I-15 southbound near mile marker 279.
Winter Storm, Judith Basin
- When
- March 30, 6:27 PM MST
- Where
- Judith Basin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Montana DOT reported severe driving conditions along US-87 from Geyser to Eddie's Corner.
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, March 30, 201816 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, March 30, 201815 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Michigan, March 30 to 31, 201813 events
- Winter Storm in Minnesota, March 30 to 31, 201812 events
- Winter Storm in Minnesota, March 30 to 31, 201812 events
- Heavy Snow in Wisconsin, March 30 to 31, 201811 events
- Winter Storm in North Dakota, March 30 to 31, 201810 events
- Heavy Snow in Wisconsin, March 30 to 31, 20188 events
- High Wind in Montana, March 30, 201853 kt wind · 6 events
- Winter Storm in Wisconsin, March 30 to 31, 20186 events
- Heavy Snow in Minnesota, March 30 to 31, 20184 events
- Heavy Snow in North Dakota, March 30 to 31, 20183 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 738740, 738741, 738744, 738745.