Thunderstorms along a slowly moving cold front produced isolated reports of damaging thunderstorm winds across central Georgia during the late afternoon and early evening.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FFC wrote it up.
Thunderstorms along a slowly moving cold front produced isolated reports of damaging thunderstorm winds across central Georgia during the late afternoon and early evening.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 7, 2:46 PM EST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 246 PM EST Wed Nov 7 2018 .SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/... "Weak" wave pushing through the broad west/southwest upper flow proving to be a bit stouter than expected today. Managed to tap enough instability for a few strong thunderstorms as it moved out of the lower/mid Mississippi Valley today, however a general weakening trend has been evident this afternoon as the system moves east into the region where instability is a bit more limited. Still, we will see isolated thunder along the I-20 corridor into the early evening with scattered, more vigorous convection across our central Georgia zones. Still think chances for severe thunderstorms remain marginal at best, and confined to the far south. Persistent southwesterly upper flow over top of the cool easterly low-level flow keeps the region cloudy, cool and damp through the remainder of the short-term forecast period. 20 .LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/... Likely to categorical pops still look okay for Friday with the short wave approaching from the west and the wedge holding. Instability remains marginal for much of the area but will continue with a mention of thunder across the area south of Columbus to Macon. Pops diminishing overnight Friday and both GFS and ECMWF agree on a dry weekend. However moisture will be moving back rapidly on Sunday night as the next short wave develops in the western Gulf. We can expect a wet period through Tuesday night...with the ECMWF a bit slower on drying us out. However Wednesday looks dry on both models. In general there have been no big changes made to the forecast. The previous discussion is included below. 41 && PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 356 AM EST Wed Nov 7 2018/ .LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Tuesday/... The state will remain in the midst of a damp weather pattern at the onset of the long-term forecast period. From Thursday night into early Friday, a wedge will remain in place at the surface prior to the arrival of a strong cold front during the later Friday with persistent shower chances amidst moist southwest flow aloft. By Friday afternoon, the incoming cold front will scour out the wedge and bring widespread rainfall. The threat for thunderstorms appears very low for most locations given low instability courtesy the lingering wedge with the chance for any thunder relegated to central Georgia where slight instability may edge northward. The front will clear the area from northwest to southeast through Friday night bringing much colder air by Saturday morning with sub-freezing temperatures possible across portions of far north Georgia. Cool and dry weather will persist through the majority of the weekend as the center of the surface high transitions from the Ohio Valley into the mid-Atlantic. Sunday morning, more widespread freezing temperatures appear likely across portions of north Georgia under clear skies and relatively light winds. The dry weather will be short-lived with moisture quickly surging back northward Sunday night as southwest flow aloft returns and a surface low develops over the Gulf of Mexico. There are model discrepancies on the placement of the developing surface low as it moves northeastward with the GFS favoring a more southeasterly track and the ECMWF a track northwest of the area. Either way, rain chances will increase markedly into the day Monday. The GFS solution would provide a slight potential for a brief rain/snow mix in the higher elevations early Tuesday, but at this point temperatures appear border line and confidence is low with no significant impact expected. While the GFS clears the front east of the area Tuesday night with much colder air surging into the state by Wednesday morning, the ECMWF is delayed until Wednesday. This would set the stage for freezing low temperatures across most of the area midweek, and highs would likely remain in the 40s for much of north Georgia. RW AVIATION... 18Z Update... Area of showers and thunderstorms moving west across Alabama should continue to weaken some as it moves into the forecast area. However, late this afternoon into this evening, isolated thunderstorms are possible across the northern TAF sites with scattered thunder possible at the southern sites. Chances appear to be a bit low for inclusion in the northern TAFs at this time. MVFR cigs have been spotty so far today, but will become more consistent and widespread as we move into the late afternoon and into the evening. IFR conditions are expected to develop by 06Z across the south and between 08Z-10Z across the north, continuing through at least 14-16Z tomorrow. East winds 6kts or less outside of convection. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... Medium all elements, except high for winds. 20 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 54 63 50 56 / 60 50 50 60 Atlanta 56 64 54 60 / 60 50 50 70 Blairsville 48 59 47 54 / 40 50 60 80 Cartersville 52 64 52 59 / 50 60 60 80 Columbus 62 70 59 70 / 70 60 40 60 Gainesville 53 62 50 56 / 50 50 60 70 Macon 60 67 57 69 / 80 60 40 60 Rome 51 64 52 59 / 40 60 70 90 Peachtree City 56 65 55 61 / 60 50 40 70 Vidalia 66 72 60 74 / 70 60 40 40 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...20 LONG TERM....41 AVIATION...20
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1215 PM EST Wed Nov 7 2018 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-081715- Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa- Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta- Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel- Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene- Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson- Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon- Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray- Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach- Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton- Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs- Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren- Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes- Wilkinson- 1215 PM EST Wed Nov 7 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight... The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. A few thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening in central Georgia. Damaging winds will be the main threat. Also brief heavy rainfall and lightning can be expected in any thunderstorm that develops. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday... The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. A few thunderstorms are possible in central Georgia Thursday afternoon. Freezing temperatures may affect portions of north Georgia by Saturday and Sunday mornings. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
345 PM EST WED NOV 7 2018
GAZ078-089-090-072130-
Chattahoochee GA-Harris GA-Muscogee GA-
345 PM EST WED NOV 7 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CHATTAHOOCHEE...
HARRIS AND MUSCOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EST...
At 345 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Chambers County Lake to near Beans Mill to
Society Hill...and moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
and heavy rain.
IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.
Some locations in the path of these storms include
Columbus, Hamilton, Pine Mountain, Waverly Hall, North Fort Benning,
Bibb City, Upatoi, Goat Rock Lake, Ellerslie, Laurel Hills, F.d.
Roosevelt State Park, Green Island Hills, Vista Terrace, Cataula,
Columbus Metropolitan Airport, Rose Hill, Mountain Hill, Benning
Hills, Avondale and Benning Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.
LAT...LON 3287 8475 3284 8470 3273 8468 3257 8469
3239 8484 3239 8499 3240 8497 3244 8497
3245 8500 3252 8500 3264 8511 3266 8509
3269 8512 3274 8511 3276 8514 3278 8512
3281 8517 3285 8515 3287 8519
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 269DEG 42KT 3286 8532 3266 8526 3241 8546
WIND...40MPHThe Atlanta radar (KFFC), 65 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:11 UTC.
8 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
The Harris County 911 center reported several trees blown down across the northeast portion of the county from around Calloway Gardens to the F.D. Roosevelt State Park.
The Upson County 911 center reported a tree blown down on East Main Street near downtown Thomaston.
The Monroe County Emergency Manager reported numerous trees and power lines blown down across the county from Culloden to east of Bolingbroke.
The Crawford County transportation department reported a tree blown down across Highway 22 near Dixon Road.
A National Weather Service survey determined that an EF0 tornado with maximum wind speeds of 80 mph and a maximum path width of 200 yards occurred across southern Bibb County, south of Macon. The tornado touched down around intersection of Sardis Church Road and Hartley Bridge Road where several large trees were snapped, one striking a house. The tornado moved east-northeast snapping and uprooting trees across Barfield Road and I-75. East of I-75, a church along Skipperton Road had a portion of its metal roof blown off and tossed more than 100 yards downwind. At this same location, a covered walkway anchored in the ground with concrete footings was pulled from the ground. The tornado continued east-northeast across the Skipperton community with trees blown down along Hartley Bridge Road and Houston Road, eventually lifting east of Highway 129, Hawkinsville Road. [11/07/18: Tornado #1, County #1/1, EF-0, Bibb, 2018:015].
The Twiggs County Emergency Manager reported several trees blown down from Huber to near Myricks Mill.
The Wilkinson County Emergency Manager reported a tree blown down on Gordon McIntyre Road.
The Baldwin County Emergency Manager reported a tree blown down on Admiralty Way. The tree struck and damaged 2 cars, no injuries were reported.
The Johnson County Emergency Manager reported trees blown down along Calvary Church Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Georgia, 2018Warnings in Georgia, November 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 793651, 793656, 793680, 793682, 793700, 793691, 793693, 793695, 793697.