Alaska, 2018

High Wind in Alaska, February 28, 2018

February 28, 2018 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A 979 MB gale force low moved onto Vancouver Island on the afternoon of 2/28 with 1035 MB High over the Yukon. This was a setup for a Taku wind event for Downtown Juneau and Douglas.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

A 979 MB gale force low moved onto Vancouver Island on the afternoon of 2/28 with 1035 MB High over the Yukon. This was a setup for a Taku wind event for Downtown Juneau and Douglas. The peak gust was 92 mph from a marine Exchange observation Downtown. No damage was reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 4:38 PM AKST, 6 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 4:38 PM AKST, 6 hours 22 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
438 PM AKST Wed Feb 28 2018

.SHORT TERM.../Wednesday night through Thursday night/...A low
over Haida Gwaii will slowly weaken and move south through this
short term forecast period, taking rain and snow showers with it.
A trough of low pressure will remain over the far eastern gulf and
high pressure over the interior and western gulf will shift east
through the period, resulting in very strong outflow winds along
the central and northern outer coast as well as the northern and
central inner channels. Storm warnings in effect for northern and
southern Lynn Canal tonight as well as out of Cross sound tomorrow
morning. As winds over the northern inner channels shifted north,
temperatures fell rapidly over the canal, prompting a heavy
freezing spray warning for tonight over northern Lynn. Freezing
spray also expected in Stephens passage, Glacier Bay, Yakutat Bay
and coastal marine zones 51 and 52. Strong winds in the Yakutat
zone are expected, but really only east of town. Strong winds also
forecast for Skagway with blowing snow along the Klondike
Highway. Mountain wave guidance for Taku Winds in the
Juneau/Douglas area are still clearing suggesting high winds from
late this evening through late Thursday evening. Look for
northwest winds 20 to 30 mph to become northeasterly and increase
later this evening.

Strong cold air advection is forecast in the very low levels. This
signal is quite strong at 925 mb, though not so pronounced at
850mb, indicating that the Arctic front will push south out of
Canada and over the panhandle in the short term. Look for
overnight lows to be quite a bit colder tonight as compared to
Tuesday night. Outflow winds will also result in clearing skies
and while some solar warming is expected on Thursday, it will
still be a bit colder than Wednesday.

Previous forecast remains on track and in good shape, so little in
the way of changes today. Overall forecast confidence in very
windy conditions, dry weather and colder conditions is above
average.

.LONG TERM.../ Friday through Wednesday / The low to the southwest
of Haida Gwaii on Thursday will move south to rotate about a
second low off the Pacific Northwest Coast by late Thursday. High
pressure over Northwestern Canada will slowly weaken into the
weekend. As such the gusty northerly outflow winds over the
northern panhandle will diminish as the pressure gradient
decreases. A weak residual trough will extend northward from the
British Columbia coastal waters to along the coastal waters off of
Prince of Wales Island, while a weak ridge of higher pressure
continues over the Gulf of Alaska. Further west a low approaches
the western gulf Friday evening and then dives this low southward
into the pacific by early Sunday.

With the tighter gradients continuing into Friday, have bumped up
the winds especially for the northern Panhandle on Friday
tapering off into Saturday. Lynn Canal looks like it could be up
to max gales from the north, and this may areas of freezing
spray to continue into the long range forecast period.

Aloft and upper level trough will transition eastward mainly over
the southern AK Mainland and this will spread some clouds east
over the northern gulf and may even spin up a weak surface low in
the northern gulf. This will impact the panhandle from Sunday into
early next week. Until this trough moves through the area
Southeast Alaska should get a couple days of dry weather, with the
coldest days being Friday and Saturday. Look for low temperatures
on those days single digits to low teens in the northern
panhandle areas.

Potential advisories or strong wind headlines continuing into
Friday in the Lynn Canal area, and possibly locally for Juneau
from a lingering Taku mountain wave event. Confidence is average
for the mid to long range forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...Moderate turbulence (or worse) and wind shear expected
below the flight levels for most of Southeast Alaska through the
next 24 hours.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM AKST Thursday
     for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind through late tonight for AKZ017-018.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012.
     Storm Warning for PKZ012-013-043.
     Gale Warning for PKZ021-022-031>034-041-042-051-053.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-035-036-052.

&&

Fritsch/Bezenek

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
February 28, 11:00 PM AKST to 11:59 PM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Measured
80 kt (92 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Taku wind gusts for Downtown and Douglas ranged from 65 to 92 mph during the night of 2/28 and daytime on 3/1. No damage was reported.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 738499.