Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developed across North and Central Texas Wednesday Feb 28 as a deep upper trough moved through the Southern Plains. Training thunderstorms across the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex led to widespread urban flooding and localized Flash Flooding in the DFW area.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developed across North and Central Texas Wednesday Feb 28 as a deep upper trough moved through the Southern Plains. Training thunderstorms across the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex led to widespread urban flooding and localized Flash Flooding in the DFW area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 6:00 PM CST, 3 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 600 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 .AVIATION... /00Z TAFs/ Although the 700mb winds in the vicinity of a dryline have topped 40kts, with the upper trough still over the New Mexico Highlands, these winds have maintained a significant southerly component. This kept the surface boundary from advancing any farther east than the Big Country where storms developed around mid-afternoon. This steering flow is also delaying the eastward progress of the ongoing convection, which may take until mid-evening to reach the Metroplex TAF sites. The 00Z package delays the arrival until after 02Z (8pm CST). While these are rather ordinary thunderstorms at the moment, there is still healthy moisture convergence along the advancing outflow, which will at least maintain the intensity of the updrafts. These convective elements will find more favorable instability to ingest south of the I-20 corridor, but the cloud shield has limited the buoyancy of the surface layer along the I-35 corridor. Despite this mitigating factor, the line should develop a more organized cold pool as it approaches unseasonably rich moisture farther east. This will coincide with the arrival of deeper forcing for ascent later this evening, which may result in a window of more intense convection. The latest TAFs also delay the westerly dryline wind shift and the subsequent northerly wind shift with the early morning passage of a cold front. Guidance hints at some postfrontal stratus, but with the quick arrival of the 850mb front, the TAFs will remain optimistic. 25 && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 344 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018/ The initial band of showers and isolated thunderstorms were east of a Bonham to Terrell line as of 3 PM. This activity will continue to move northeast and produce moderate to heavy rain. Surface analysis showed that the dryline extended east of a Vernon to Sweetwater line. The main line of thunderstorms started to develop after 1 PM between Henrietta and Sweetwater. These storms will initially move northeast but as a cold pool develops, the line will move east and then southeast. With MUCAPEs 1000-1500 J/kg and strong shear, expect some strong and severe thunderstorms. Given the shear, cannot rule out a tornado or two. Given the saturated ground, a quick 1 to 1 1/2 inches of rain will likely result in flooding issues. Thus have decided to issue a Flood Watch for that part of the forecast area along and northeast of a Gainesville to Hamilton to Athens line. Will just issue one segment with the anticipation that the western part will just be cancelled around midnight. A Pacific front will overtake the dryline this evening and move east to the I-35 corridor by midnight and through the southeastern zones before daybreak Thursday. Lows will range from the lower 40s northwest to the upper 50s southeast. 58 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 344 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018/ The sun will emerge Thursday morning as the showers and thunderstorms move into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Gusty north winds will usher in noticeably cooler and drier air, but with the sunshine, afternoon temperatures may still reach the 60s. Winds will diminish Thursday night, and with clear skies and low humidity, it will be the coldest night of the week. Lows Friday morning will be in the 30s across the north and west, with a few low-lying areas dipping below freezing. A gentle warming trend will then ensue with pleasant afternoons Friday through Sunday. Southerly winds will begin increasing on Saturday, but tonight's front will push the maritime tropical air well offshore, and surface dew points will be slow to recover. The initial 850mb moisture surge will be into the Hill Country and West Texas where a few spotty showers will be possible on Saturday. Will keep some low PoPs in place across Central Texas, but the bulk of North Texas will remain mostly sunny to partly cloudy Saturday afternoon. The moisture plume will spread east across North Texas on Sunday when more widespread shower activity will occur. Destabilizing southwest flow will ensue downstream of an approaching storm system, introducing occasional thunderstorms to the mix. This upper trough will swing through the Central Plains Sunday night, which may preclude severe weather with the associated cold front that will simultaneously invade North Texas. Near normal temperatures will prevail next week in the postfrontal air. After a stormy period in late February and early March, long range outlooks for the period March 6-14 look unseasonably dry. 25 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 50 62 41 67 44 / 100 5 0 0 0 Waco 52 62 40 68 44 / 100 5 0 0 5 Paris 49 62 39 63 38 / 100 10 0 0 0 Denton 47 62 35 65 41 / 100 5 0 0 0 McKinney 49 62 37 64 40 / 100 10 0 0 0 Dallas 50 62 42 66 44 / 100 10 0 0 0 Terrell 52 63 41 65 41 / 100 10 0 0 0 Corsicana 54 63 44 67 44 / 90 5 0 0 5 Temple 52 64 42 68 46 / 70 0 0 0 5 Mineral Wells 45 61 33 67 42 / 100 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through late tonight for TXZ092>095-102>107-117>123- 130>135-143>146. && 25/58
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 355 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011200- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 355 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Through Tonight. Widespread thunderstorms will impact North and Central Texas through the evening. Some of the storms, particularly those along an advancing dryline, may become severe with damaging winds and large hail. In addition, there will be the potential for embedded tornadoes within this line of storms as well as isolated tornadic storms ahead of the line. The greatest threat for severe weather will be southeast of a Comanche to Sherman/Denison line during the evening hours. The severe potential will diminish after midnight as the back edge of the storms moves east of the I-35 corridor. Additional heavy rain during the event may result in flash flooding, especially where significant rainfall has occurred in recent days. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Thunderstorm chances will return to the region Saturday night and continue into early next week. Although a cold front will move through the region Sunday night and Monday, severe weather is not expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be requested into the evening hours.
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 58 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:44 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Emergency management reported multiple water rescues near the intersection of Jeanette Way and North Denton Dr in the city of Carrollton, TX.
Carrollton Police Department reported that Luna Rd south of Belt Line Rd was closed due to flooding.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 741435, 741436.