Pennsylvania, 2017

Winter Storm in Pennsylvania, January 23 to 24, 2017

January 23 to 24, 2017 · NWS CTP · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

A coastal storm brought significant mixed precipitation to Central Pennsylvania on January 23-24, 2017. Heavy snow amounts were elevation-driven with mixed rain to sleet and snow transition in the lee of the Alleghenies.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CTP wrote it up.

A coastal storm brought significant mixed precipitation to Central Pennsylvania on January 23-24, 2017. Heavy snow amounts were elevation-driven with mixed rain to sleet and snow transition in the lee of the Alleghenies. The northern mountains received received 6-10 inches of snowfall, while the Laurel Highlands and Central Ridge and Valley region recorded a slushy 1 to 5 inches of snow/sleet. The lowest elevations from middle to lower Susquehanna Valley received 1-2 inches of rainfall.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 23, 6:30 AM EST, 8 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 6:30 AM EST, 8 hours 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
630 AM EST Mon Jan 23 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A storm will move through the Carolinas early today before
redeveloping along the coast and moving up just east of NJ
tonight and early Tuesday. High pressure and unseasonably mild
conditions will briefly return for midweek before a pattern
change brings colder temperatures and lake effect snow to close
out the month.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
* Major cyclone to affect the region today and tonight
* Elevation dependent snow storm likely
* Heavy wet snow not out of the question even into central
  ridge-valley areas
* Strong easterly LLJ 50-65kt/5-7 sigma
* High probability of at least 1" QPF over much of central PA
* Explosive dynamic cooling leads to steep mid level lapse
  rates-thunder snow?

The deep storm that has been responsible for several rounds of
severe storms and deadly tornadoes over Dixie, will move east
and redevelop in the vicinity of the Delmarva coast, before
swinging up along or just off the NJ coast.

The wind has picked up a bit tonight allowing the very low
visibilities to mix out somewhat as spotty light rain and
drizzle have few NW over the area.

The HRRR shows the rain continuing to fill in as it moves NW
into central PA this morning. Then things get complicated and
interesting. As strong vertical motion forces rapid dynamic
cooling aloft, precipitation type issues will arise quickly by
late morning and this afternoon. We start off so anomalously
warm it's hard to believe a significant snow storm is possible
but it looks very likely for at least my northern higher
elevation counties. The deterministic ECMWF shows several
inches of snow even down into the Laurel Highlands. The EC
ensemble is even more generous with its depiction of 6+ inches,
though it is notoriously generous with the snow its algorithm
produces. Right now I show a rain to rain or snow scenario for
central areas where the higher elevations seem most at risk for
accumulating snow, but even down in the valleys, if we see heavy
enough precip rates we could share in the snow-joy.

A tightening pressure gradient between low pressure in the
Carolinas and high pressure in eastern Quebec will produce
strong/gusty east winds this morning into the afternoon, the
best threat area being our SERN zones. We tend to have a hard
time mixing the best winds down under what is essentially a cool
air damming set up, but with 50-65 kts aloft, strong gusts
cannot be ruled out.

It's a very complicated situation and will likely lead to many
near term tweaks as things play out today.

I generally used the ECMWF to show the steadiest/heaviest snow
lasting into tonight over about the NERN 1/3 - 1/2 of my
forecast area as the upper low swings offshore and we see the
deformation zone gradually rotate through. Meso-scale banding
under this feature could cause locally higher amounts than the
general 6-10 inches I have in the forecast at this time.

The snow should begin to taper off to scattered snow showers
after midnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/...
As the storm system pulls away toward the coastal waters south
of New England tomorrow, rain or snow showers will tend to be
most frequent in the morning and become more scattered in the
afternoon.

Highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s will still be several degrees
warmer than normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
After a brief break and mild conditions for mid week, a pattern
shift is advertised for the second half of the week as low
pressure takes up residence over eastern Canada, and despite a
tenacious ridge over the northern Caribbean and Bahamas, models
carve out a long wave trough over the eastern US with a return
to seasonable cold by the end of the week into next weekend.

It points to a prolonged period of cloudy breezy and colder
weather with mainly mountains snow showers that will
occasionally bleed down into central areas.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
12Z TAFS sent.

Cooling tops over WV now, in the area that is fcst to have
a cold pocket at 850 mb form.

The second part of the puzzle is if the area of precipitation
will fill in. At the current time, several bands of rain well
to the south of our area.

Thus for the next few hours, the main issue is gusty winds.

Later on, expect the area of rain to fill in. Then at least
sites like BFD and JST are likely to see some heavy wet snow
this aft into tonight.

Other problems will be LLWS, given that strong winds have
formed since midnight.

Some chance of thunder, given strong upper level support.

Outlook...

Tue...Widespread sub-VFR with some improvement by aftn. Rain/snow
ending in the morning. Gusty winds from NNW decreasing late.

Wed...Low cigs/rain possible western 1/2. Breezy late.

Thu-Fri...MVFR/IFR in rain/snow showers west. MVFR to VFR east.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST
Tuesday for PAZ005-010>012-017-018.
Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST
Tuesday for PAZ006-037-041-042.
Wind Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for PAZ057-059-
064>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...La Corte
NEAR TERM...La Corte
SHORT TERM...La Corte
LONG TERM...La Corte
AVIATION...Martin
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 2:29 PM EST, 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

PAZ057-059-064>066-241930-
DAUPHIN-LEBANON-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ006-037-041-042-241930-
POTTER-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ028-036-056-063-241930-
JUNIATA-FRANKLIN-PERRY-CUMBERLAND-
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO WET SNOW AND SLEET INTO THE EVENING
WITH A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT, MAINLY OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ004-241930-
WARREN-
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO WET SNOW AND SLEET THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERAL INCHES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS LIKELY THURSDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ024-033-241930-
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

LAKE AND TERRAIN ENHANCED SNOW ACCUMULATION IS LIKELY THURSDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ005-010>012-017-018-241930-
MCKEAN-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ019-025>027-034-035-045-046-049>053-058-241930-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-BEDFORD-FULTON-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-
229 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO WET SNOW AND SLEET LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Northern Lycoming

When
January 23, 3:00 PM EST to January 24, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Northern Lycoming forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
41.343, -77.064 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A winter storm produced 6-8 inches of snowfall across northern Lycoming County.

Winter Storm, Tioga

When
January 23, 4:00 PM EST to January 24, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Tioga forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.772, -77.254 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A winter storm produced 7-9 inches of snowfall across Tioga County.

Winter Storm, Potter

When
January 23, 4:00 PM EST to January 24, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Potter forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.745, -77.896 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A winter storm produced 6-8 inches of snowfall across Potter County.

Winter Storm, Sullivan

When
January 23, 4:00 PM EST to January 24, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Sullivan forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.446, -76.512 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A winter storm produced 6-8 inches of snowfall across Sullivan County.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, January 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 668782, 668779, 668780, 668781.