California, 2017

Drought in California, January 1 to 31, 2017

January 1 to 31, 2017 · NWS STO · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Long term drought impacts continued to decrease through the month of January, as a series of strong atmospheric river storms brought very wet conditions. This continued the wet pattern which began in the Fall; and resulted in significant improvement to the drought situation, especially to the northern Sierra.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

Long term drought impacts continued to decrease through the month of January, as a series of strong atmospheric river storms brought very wet conditions. This continued the wet pattern which began in the Fall; and resulted in significant improvement to the drought situation, especially to the northern Sierra. The northern Sierra had the third wettest January on record (8 Station Index). At the end of January, Lake Shasta was 115% of normal, Lake Oroville was 123%, Folsom Lake was 80%, and Don Pedro was 129%. New Melones Reservoir improved, though continued to lag behind the other significant area reservoirs at 71% of normal.

The U.S. Drought Monitor showed significant improvement over the area, with only the northern San Joaquin Valley in D1 Moderate Drought, and portions of the Motherlode in D0 Abnormally Dry, Those areas were in D3 Extreme Drought and D2 Severe Drought in December. All of the rest of interior Northern California, including the northern Sierra, the Sacramento Valley, the Delta, and the southern Cascades were in the 'None' category by the end of January.

Groundwater aquifers continued to recharge more slowly than the surface reservoirs, though the DWR Water Data Library showed signs of improvement in some areas.

Governor Jerry Brown declared a drought emergency for the entire state of California January 17, 2014 and this continued to be in effect. Governor Brown issued an executive order on May 9, 2016 that built on temporary statewide emergency water restrictions to establish longer-term water conservation measures, including permanent monthly water use reporting, new permanent water use standards in California communities and banned clearly wasteful practices such as hosing off sidewalks, driveways and other hardscapes.

Local emergency proclamations remain for Colusa, Calaveras, El Dorado, Glenn, San Joaquin, Shasta, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tuolumne, and Yuba counties. Plumas County no longer had a Local Emergency Proclamation. The cities of Live Oak (Sutter County), Lodi (San Joaquin County), Manteca (San Joaquin County), Portola (Plumas County), Ripon (San Joaquin County), and West Sacramento (Yolo County) continued to have local emergency proclamations . Drought task forces remain in Lake, Nevada, Placer, Plumas, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, Tuolumne, and Yolo counties to coordinate response to the drought.

The State Water Resources Control Board announced that urban Californians monthly water conservation was 20.5 percent in January, an increase from the 17.2 percent savings in January 2016, when state-mandated conservation targets were in place. The State Water Board stressed the need for continued conservation since statewide snow pack remained below average despite the wet storms

The threat of dead or dying trees continued, with on-going tree-removal programs at the state and federal level.

The state continued to supply food assistance to those impacted by the drought, along with California Disaster Assistance Act money for those who have lost drinking water due to dry wells.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 10:10 PM PST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 10:10 PM PST, 1 hour 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
1010 PM PST Sat Dec 31 2016

.Synopsis...
Dry weather tonight into early Sunday. Colder systems will move
in by Sunday afternoon and continue into mid-week with snow
levels possibly dropping down into the foothills and northern Sac
Valley.

&&

.Discussion...
IR satellite imagery shows initial Wrn Canadian/arctic front
dropping into ORE, and timed to move into interior Norcal early Sun
morning around 12-15z or so. Imagery shows a typical cold system,
with cumuliform cloudiness over the milder NErn Pac ocean and band
of SC (stratocumulus) clouds, and an area of colder enhanced clouds
in the NE quadrant of the upper low. The colder (deeper moisture)
clouds are over the drier land (B.C. area). Higher resolution
precip/QPF progs show mostly scattered shower activity developing
over Norcal on Sun with most of the showers over the W slope Sierra.
QPF will be light and generally don't expect much in the way of
accumulations until moisture increases.

With the upper low developing over the Pac NW the cold air will
spill into Norcal but moisture won't sufficiently increase until the
upper low retrogrades, tapping Pacific moisture on Tue. The influx
of milder Pacific air will allow snow levels to rise, although some
initial wet bulbing and overrunning could occur.

In short, the holiday time period (Sun/Mon) will have mostly light
precip with widespread moderate to heavy precip holding off until
Tue.   JHM

.Previous Discussion...

New Year's celebrations will be cold, but dry tonight. If you plan
to be outside, make sure you wear warm clothing. From 9 pm to
midnight, temperatures will be in the mid 30s to low 40s across
the valley and foothills with upper 20s to mid 30s across higher
elevations.

The New Year will then start off on a wet foot for the first week
of January. Light to moderate showers expected Sunday into
Tuesday. A cold air mass aloft means that snow levels will be
fairly low. For interior NorCal, the lowest snow levels will be in
Shasta County ranging as low as 500 to 1000 feet which means there
could be light snow accumulations near the Redding vicinity. The
I-5 corridor through Shasta County could peak at 1 to 2 feet of
new snow above 1000 feet. For the eastern slopes of the Coastal
Range and western slopes of the Sierra...snow levels could lower
into the foothills with a light dusting of snow possible around
1000 feet, but the peak snow accumulations of 6-18 inches will be
above 3000 feet. We have issued a Winter Storm Advisory for these
regions starting on Sunday...with a Winter Storm Watch in Shasta
County starting on Tuesday.

Rain amounts in the valley from Sunday thru Tuesday will be light
south of I-80...up to a quarter of an inch with higher amounts up
to an inch north of I-80.

By early Wednesday, models are trending wetter and warmer as our
region may enter an enhanced active wet pattern in the extended
forecast.

Overnight lows have trended higher given that our region will have
increased cloud cover with shower activity...thus hard freeze
potential is no longer a concern with valley lows in the mid 30s
to low 40s.  JBB

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Wednesday THROUGH Saturday)

Last night's 00z model runs made a dramatic shift toward warmer
and wetter storm systems next Wednesday possibly into next
Saturday. Today's 12z runs have continued that trend, showing
better run- to-run consistency and improving forecast confidence.
Wednesday's system looks pretty moist, particularly over the
mountains where strong orographics should bring a considerable
amount of precipitation. At this juncture, it looks like snow
levels will rise to somewhere between 4000 and 6000 feet, with
heavy snow above those levels.

Lower forecast confidence in the Thursday-Friday timeframe, where
some models are hinting drier weather while others keep things
wet. There's better agreement in the Saturday timeframe, where all
major models suggest another wet system impacting Northern
California.

Dang

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions and light winds across interior Northern
California this afternoon and evening. Patchy MVFR/IFR fog may
develop along portions of the Valley Sunday morning. A cold
weather system will bring IFR/LIFR snow showers mainly to the
mountains after 15z Sunday.

Dang

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM Sunday to 10 PM PST Tuesday
for Burney Basin / Eastern Shasta County-Clear Lake/Southern
Lake County-Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Northern
Lake County-Shasta Lake Area / Northern Shasta County-West Slope
Northern Sierra Nevada-Western Plumas County/Lassen Park.

Winter Storm Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday
evening for Burney Basin / Eastern Shasta County-Shasta Lake
Area / Northern Shasta County.

&&

Event by event

1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northern San Joaquin Valley

When
January 1, 12:00 AM PST to January 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Northern San Joaquin Valley forecast zone
Reported by
State Official

The Household Water Supply Shortage Reporting System indicated there were some homes without well water due to dry wells. In Jnaury there were 228 in Stanislaus County, unchanged since December. There were 8 in San Joaquin County, unchanged from December. Many rural communities in the Northern San Joaquin Valley were also still receiving food assistance as a direct result of the drought.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in California, January 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 674947.