Heavy rain in northeast Arkansas in December brought some minor flooding to the Cache River at Patterson that continued during the first part of January.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rain in northeast Arkansas in December brought some minor flooding to the Cache River at Patterson that continued during the first part of January.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 5:12 PM CST, 6 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 512 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2016 .AVIATION... It certainly isn't good flying weather over the next 24 hours (well, beyond that as well). Warm front in the vcinity of southern Arkansas will meander around, with the cold front over northern Arkansas hanging up tonight over the region. Widespread low clouds, fog and drizzle will be noted, with conditions deteriorating over the north into Sunday morning. Over the central and south, there's little hope for improvement, as winds will be light and variable. Prevailing conditions there will remain IFR, with even low IFR possible toward Sunday morning. TAFs out shortly. && .PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 251 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2016) SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Sunday Night Data from local radars indicate scattered, weak returns across eastern sections of the forecast area. Coverage of any accumulating precipitation will continue to diminish through 00z. Cold front now approaching northwest sections of the state will reach southern sections by late evening. Expect anafront type lift to be associated with this shallow feature. Expect widespread drizzle and fog to develop across at least the southern half of the forecast area overnight. Will to monitor short term trends closely for any potential headlines. Potent upper level energy will be approaching the mid south late in this period. Main effects of this system will occur after the valid forecast period. LONG TERM...Monday Through Saturday Will cut right to the chase here this afternoon and address the issue most people have been asking about. Is it going to snow in the extended term? Probably. The models have been varying from run to run, but generally the ECMWF has been more aggressive at bringing a deeper layer of cold air down into the area. Even with a conservative model blend between the ECMWF, GFS, and Canadian models, it appears that the cold layer will certainly be deep enough to support snow starting on Wednesday night across the north. I believe the rain/snow line will drift southward across the entire forecast area by Thursday evening, as the cold layer deepens. But during the day on Friday, daytime heating will allow the rain/snow line to drift back north, keeping only the northern third of the area under the threat of snow. On Friday night most of the area will see snow chances again, although sleet may be more likely across the far south. As far as amounts go, it's difficult to say at the moment how much we are looking at. I would much rather see some more run-to-run consistency from the models before I start to make any guesses, but I suspect we are only dealing with amounts of an inch or two in the most favored areas, however it is important to note that much of the snow will likely melt during the daytime across the southern half of the state as the snow turns back over to rain. Regardless of the amounts, the main impacts will likely be to travel, especially across the northern and western portions of the state, in the higher elevations && .LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE. && Aviation...57
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 940 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011100- BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD- INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY- FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND- SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT- JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN- BRADLEY-DREW- 940 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG WILL BE SEEN OVER MUCH OF ARKANSAS TONIGHT...WHILE DENSE FOG OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS. ALSO PATCHY DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS WILL SEE REDUCED VISIBILITY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ARE ADVISED TO USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN DRIVING INTO AREAS OF DENSE FOG. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AREAS OF FOG...DENSE IN SPOTS ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...WILL BE SEEN SUNDAY MORNING. THE FOG WILL SLOWLY THIN AND DISSIPATE THROUGH THE MORNING. OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE MOSTLY DRY ON SUNDAY...WITH ONLY ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE. SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...A STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. THE SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH ARKANSAS. IT WILL BE MILD AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL THEN SPILL INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE FORECAST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL BECOME LIMITED... BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SPOTTY LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AT THIS POINT...THIS DOES NOT APPEAR SIGNIFICANT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK. 55/46/59
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain in December brought flooding to the Cache River and the flooding continued through 1/9/17. Crest was at 10.73 feet.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, January 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 677954.