Large swells of 7 to 8 feet with periods of 10 seconds produced minor coastal flooding at Port Aransas.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.
Large swells of 7 to 8 feet with periods of 10 seconds produced minor coastal flooding at Port Aransas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 2:47 AM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 247 AM CST TUE MAR 1 2016 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...MAIN ISSUE WILL BE WHETHER WE WILL SEE ANY CONVECTION WITH THE APPROACHING BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES GET VERY WARM. 4 KM MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK ECHOES LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH NSSL 4 KM SHOWING ACTIVITY MORE OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS WHILE HRRR IS SHOWING SOME WEAK SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN AREAS (ONLY GOING OUT TO 3 AM AS OF THIS WRITING). TTU 4 KM NOT SHOWING MUCH OF ANYTHING (WHICH COULD OCCUR AS WE COULD SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS AND VIRGA). OVERALL FEELING HOWEVER IS THAT WE COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION LATE...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AREAS WHERE MID-LEVEL THETA-E MAX IS LOCATED AND SEA-BREEZE INTERACTION WOULD BE MAXIMIZED. THERE IS STILL A STRONG CAP (HIGH CIN) AND THE FACT THAT 850 MB WINDS ARE WESTERLY COULD PRECLUDE ANY STRONG CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SHOULD CAP BREAK WITH SEA-BREEZE WE COULD SEE SOME HIGH BASED CONVECTION WHICH COULD PRODUCE SOME WIND GUSTS 45 MPH OR MORE. IN SHORT...WILL GO WITH A 20 POPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING FOR AFOREMENTIONED AREA. ELSEWHERE...DID MENTION SOME SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEAST FOR THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...EXPECT A VERY WARM DAY WITH SOME AREAS TOPPING 90 DEGREES. SOME DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT A STRONG COOL DOWN WILL NOT BE SEEN AS UPPER TROUGH WHICH WAS SUPPOSED TO ALLOW THE COOLER AIR TO COME DOWN IS FORECAST TO BE FARTHER NORTH AND EAST AND NORTHERLY FETCH IS WEAK. STILL... WILL SEE 50S MOST INLAND AREAS WEDNESDAY MORNING. GOING A BIT WARMER WEDNESDAY THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST BUT STILL AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF I- 37 WILL ONLY SEE 70S...WITH NEAR 80 TO LOWER 80S WEST AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE. RETURN FLOW RESUMES WEDNESDAY. && .MARINE (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...MODERATE SOUTH WINDS WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE APPROACH OF THE TROUGH AND FRONT. COULD HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER/STORM MAINLY NEARSHORE AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATERS. WINDS SHIFT TONIGHT/OVERNIGHT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS APPROACHING SCA BUT OVERALL SCEC. ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. && .LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...WIND PROFILE ACROSS S TX THURSDAY BECOMES WSW JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONT THAT IS PROG TO STALL ACROSS THE CWA THURSDAY NIGHT. H85 TEMPS INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE WARMER WSW FLOW AND WITH GOOD DIURNAL MIXING...AFTERNOON HIGHS ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY WILL LIKELY EXCEED 90 DEGREES /WITH UPPER 80S ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AND LOW 80S NEAR VICTORIA/. SEABREEZE SHOULD PUSH INLAND ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD DO NOTHING MORE THAN DEVELOP SOME ISOLATED CU. FRONT STALLS AND DISSIPATES ACROSS CWA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SEASONABLE TEMPS EXPECTED FRIDAY BEFORE WARM AIR ADVECTION REDEVELOPS OVER THE WEEKEND. QUASIZONAL FLOW ALOFT SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL TRANSITION TO MORE MERIDIONAL EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK AS A POWERFUL AND DEEP TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT MAY BECOME WINDY TO VERY WINDY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION PREVENTING MIN TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH INTO THE 60S. SHALLOW MOISTURE ADVECTION MAY ALLOW FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS BY MONDAY...WITH CHANCES OF CONVECTION RETURNING TO THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK IF MOISTURE DEPTH CAN INCREASE SUFFICIENTLY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 88 59 77 61 87 / 20 20 10 0 0 VICTORIA 83 51 75 59 82 / 10 10 0 0 10 LAREDO 90 61 82 61 94 / 10 10 10 0 0 ALICE 91 56 81 60 91 / 20 20 10 0 0 ROCKPORT 78 58 76 63 80 / 20 20 10 0 0 COTULLA 87 54 80 58 91 / 10 10 0 0 0 KINGSVILLE 90 55 79 62 90 / 20 20 10 0 0 NAVY CORPUS 82 62 73 63 81 / 20 20 10 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && GW/86...SHORT TERM RH/79...LONG TERM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 542 AM CST MON FEB 29 2016 GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-011200- BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS- BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL- JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- 542 AM CST MON FEB 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG...WITH PATCHY DENSE FOG...WILL LIFT BY 10 AM. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM CONCERNS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. GW/RH
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A two foot storm tide pushed water up to and past the dune line in Port Aransas. Many recreational vehicles were stranded on the beach. Trash cans were overturned.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 625134.