Florida, 2016

Dense Fog in Florida, March 1, 2016

March 1, 2016 · NWS TAE · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Areas of dense fog developed during the early morning hours of March 1st. WJHG reported that a traffic accident occurred with fog a likely contributor.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

Areas of dense fog developed during the early morning hours of March 1st. WJHG reported that a traffic accident occurred with fog a likely contributor. One fatality resulted near the intersection of Star Ave. and Highway 231.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 29, 8:40 PM EST, 6 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 29, 8:40 PM EST, 6 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
840 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
High pressure to the east of the region will provide light south to
southwesterly flow, which will increase low level moisture over the
next couple of days. With mostly clear skies tonight, and light
winds, expect areas of fog to develop after midnight. Local guidance
has especially high probabilities for visibilities less than a mile
toward daybreak on Tuesday and we have included dense fog wording
with this update. Expect milder overnight temperatures than the
last few days, with lows generally in the upper 40s to near 50.

&&

.Prev Discussion [732 PM EST]...

.Short Term [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...

A broad, upper-level long wave trough will be situated over much of
the eastern CONUS. A short wave trough, currently over the northern
CONUS Rockies, will move quickly through our forecast area Tuesday
night and early Wednesday, along with a surface cold front. The
forecast vertical motion and deep layer moisture fields accompanying
this system do not appear to be very impressive. Our Tuesday
night PoPs, a blend of different MOS and high-res NWP guidance,
range from 50% at Albany, to 20% in our FL zones. The unimpressive
forcing & thermodynamics, along with a relatively weak 850 mb jet
stream, suggest a low threat for severe thunderstorms across our
forecast area.

Fair weather will return to the region during the day on Wednesday.
Warm temperatures will continue through Tuesday night, followed by a
modest cool-down Wednesday night.

.Long Term [Thursday Through Monday]...

The aforementioned broad, upper-level long wave trough will migrate
slowly eastward, while individual short waves translate very
quickly across the CONUS. A potent short wave trough and
accompanying surface cold front will pass through our forecast
area Thursday night, with enough forcing and deep layer moisture
for a 30-50% chance of rain (highest across GA & AL). Another
trough will move swiftly through the area Saturday night, but
forcing and moisture appear too limited for PoPs greater than 10%.
Temperatures will not stray too far from climatology through the
period.

.Aviation...
[Through 00Z Wednesday]...
Throughout the early evening, VFR conditions will continue. Around
02-05Z, areas of fog are expected to develop and conditions will
deteriorate to IFR. The fog will quickly dissipate after sunrise,
with VFR conditions by around 13-15Z.

.Marine...

With a high pressure ridge over the region, winds and seas will
remain low through Tuesday. SW winds will increase to moderate
levels ahead of an approaching cold front Tuesday night, then shift
to the NW and briefly approach advisory levels on Wednesday.

.Fire Weather...

Drier air will arrive behind a cold front on Wednesday and remain in
place through Thursday. At this time, red flag criteria is not
expected to to be met, although we could get close in Leon and
Wakulla Counties Wednesday afternoon.

.Hydrology...

Flooding on the Choctawhatchee River continues to
diminish. Caryville is now below flood stage and Bruce crested this
morning just below 15 feet. The river will fall below flood stage
there late this week.

Releases from Woodruff should begin to decrease late tonight as
inflows from the Chattahoochee are decreasing. Thus expect the
Apalachicola at Blountstown to crest later this evening and then
begin a slow fall throughout the week.

Two systems are expected this week, one Tuesday night and another on
Thursday night. The QPF for both systems is light- generally 0.25
inches or less. This will have little impact on area streams.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   48  75  55  70  41 /   0   0  30   0   0
Panama City   55  68  55  65  47 /   0   0  20   0   0
Dothan        51  75  48  63  40 /   0   0  40   0   0
Albany        50  75  50  64  38 /   0   0  50   0   0
Valdosta      48  78  55  69  40 /   0   0  30  10   0
Cross City    47  77  56  75  42 /   0   0  10  10   0
Apalachicola  54  68  57  68  48 /   0   0  10   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

NEAR TERM...WOOL
SHORT TERM...FOURNIER
LONG TERM...FOURNIER
AVIATION...WOOL/HATHAWAY
MARINE...FOURNIER
FIRE WEATHER...WOOL
HYDROLOGY...GODSEY

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 dense fog. Local standard time, as filed.

Dense Fog, Coastal Bay

When
March 1, 2:55 AM EST
Where
Coastal Bay forecast zone
Deaths
0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
30.238, -85.633 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Areas of dense fog developed during the early morning hours of March 1st. WJHG reported that a traffic accident occurred with fog a likely contributor. One fatality resulted near the intersection of Star Ave. and Highway 231.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Dense Fog, Coastal Bay2016-03-01FemaleVehicle/Towed TrailerIndirect

What these are

Dense Fog
Fog reducing visibility to a quarter mile or less, filed where it caused accidents or disruption.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, March 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 613530.