Scattered thunderstorms developed over Upstate South Carolina during the afternoon. One storm became briefly severe in Anderson County.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed over Upstate South Carolina during the afternoon. One storm became briefly severe in Anderson County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 1:11 PM EST, 9 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
211 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
An upper disturbance will make its way across the area today. A warm
and unstable airmass should persist across the region for the
remainder of the work week as a cold front approaches the area on
Saturday. This front should stall out somewhere near the area toward
the end of the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 155 PM, a typically messy convective picture is evolving this
afternoon, with a couple of cells having popped across the NW NC
Piedmont in association with a weak upper air disturbance, while
within the more robustly unstable air, a cluster of convection is
moving toward the SW corner of the CWA from central GA (and plenty
of additional activity is developing out ahead of that across the
western Upstate). Elsewhere, coverage is isolated at best, perhaps
due to weak subsidence in the wake of aforementioned wave (and also
where instability is not especially high. Meanwhile, The activity
across GA and SC is generally moving E/SE along the gradient in
sbCAPE. The lower SC Piedmont will therefore get the highest pops,
60 percent over the next few hours. Elsewhere, will allow chances to
gradually ramp up to 30-40 percent by late afternoon. Localized
damaging winds will remain possible, especially along/south of I-85
in the Upstate and northeast Georgia, where clustering along outflow
boundaries is most likely (and a Severe Tstorm Watch has recently
been issued).
The diurnal convection should dissipate through late evening, but
additional activity may drop SE toward the southern Appalachians
overnight, so an uptick in PoP along the TN border is warranted from
06Z to 12Z Thursday. Expect another mild night of near record high
minimum temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
At 230 AM Wednesday: On Thursday morning nearly zonal upper flow
will be over CONUS, with very low amplitude troughing over the
eastern seaboard, and minor ridging over the MS River Valley.
Several modest lobes of vorticity will mover through the eastern
trough over the southern Appalachians on Thursday and Thursday
night, while the trough progresses to the coast. Modest upper
ridging will reach our area from the west on Friday. On Friday night
an upper trough will start to amplify from the Great Lakes to the TN
River Valley, while a ridge amplifies over the plains.
At the surface, on Thursday morning a surface trough is expected to
be along the eastern seaboard, with weak riding over the southern
Appalachians. Moisture will be greatest over the mountains, and on
the east side of the trough over the piedmont, while weak downslope
flow off the mountains limits moisture somewhat along the blue
ridge. This pattern persists into Friday night, while a cold front
approaches the mountains from the northwest. Instability and shear
will be present both days, but variations in both parameters limit
confidence on support for organized convection. Temperatures will
run four to eight degrees above normal, with heat indices
approaching advisory criteria in southern portions of the area.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
At 230 AM Wednesday: On Saturday an upper trough will amplify and
progress to the eastern seaboard, while a ridge does likewise over
the eastern plains. On Sunday the trough moves offshore, while the
ridge reaches the MS River Valley, and a weak upper low forms
somewhere around the western TN or western KY. This weak low
approaches the southern Appalachians on Monday, crossing the
mountains on Tuesday, while the upper ridge crosses the Great Lakes.
At the surface, a cold front will reach our area from the northwest
on Saturday, stalling over the area on Sunday. Moisture along this
weakening feature will support precipitation over our are into
Tuesday, ostensibly enhanced by the weak upper low crossing the
mountains. Modest instability and shear will persist over the area,
but variations in moisture profiles limit confidence in accessing
convective modes. Temperatures will fall from around seven degrees
above normal to around two degrees above normal, with less of a
chance of approaching heat advisory criteria.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
At KCLT, isolated to widely scattered showers/thunderstorms are
developing west through north of the airfield early this afternoon.
Coverage may remain too sparse to truly warrant the current tempo,
but with cells bubbling in the area, will leave it as is (19Z-23Z)
for now. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected along with W/SW
winds at 5-10 kts should persist through the period. Chances for
diurnal convection will increase early tomorrow, as an upper air
disturbance approaches from the NW. Therefore, a prob30 is carried
from 15Z-18Z.
Elsewhere, the best chance for convection will be around KAND over
the first couple of hours of the forecast period, and a tempo will
be carried there during that time. For the time being, opted to
limit the convective mention to a VCTS at the other sites, but will
watch closely for the need for quick amendments. This will be most
likely at KGMU/KGSP. Coverage should diminish during the evening.
However, chances for diurnal convection will increase early tomorrow,
as an upper air disturbance approaches from the NW. Therefore, a
prob30 is carried from late morning on at most terminals.
Outlook: A mainly diurnal pattern of showers and thunderstorms will
continue the rest of the week into the weekend. Fog and low stratus
will be possible each morning in the mountain river valleys and also
in locations that receive heavy rainfall from diurnal thunderstorms.
Confidence Table...
18-24Z 00-06Z 06-12Z 12-18Z
KCLT High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KGSP High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KAVL High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KHKY High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KGMU High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KAND High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:
www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORDS FOR 07-06
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 93 1993 69 1967 70 1931 51 1933
1953
KCLT 99 1930 63 1892 78 1881 57 1964
1881
KGSP 100 1993 69 1892 76 2002 54 1892
RECORDS FOR 07-07
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 95 1993 62 1940 70 1948 50 1972
KCLT 100 1993 65 1979 78 1881 55 1972
1954
1930
KGSP 100 1993 66 1979 75 1977 58 1972
1986 1930 1892
1888
RECORDS FOR 07-08
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 96 1988 63 1909 69 1969 50 1972
KCLT 101 2012 75 1950 81 1881 58 1892
2010
KGSP 101 1986 72 1896 76 2012 57 1913
1888 1931
RECORDS FOR 07-09
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 93 1986 64 1979 71 1980 49 1896
KCLT 101 1986 71 1908 78 1986 57 1891
KGSP 100 1993 67 1979 78 1930 55 1896
1986
1977
RECORDS FOR 07-10
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 99 1936 69 1979 71 2011 49 1961
1948
KCLT 101 1926 73 1892 77 1879 53 1961
KGSP 100 2015 66 1909 75 2000 54 1891
1885 1998
1957
RECORDS FOR 07-11
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 92 1993 70 1999 70 2011 49 1963
1977 1980
1938
KCLT 100 1986 75 1999 78 1992 55 1963
1898 1881 1961
KGSP 100 1936 75 1999 75 1981 54 1891
1896
RECORDS FOR 07-12
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 93 1980 62 1999 72 2011 50 1891
1930
KCLT 102 1930 64 1999 78 1879 59 1953
1898
KGSP 102 1930 64 1999 80 1937 58 1891
1888
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DEO/HG
NEAR TERM...HG/JDL
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...JDL
CLIMATE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 204 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 GAZ010-017-018-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068-069- 501>510-SCZ001-004-071815- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON- YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL- BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- 204 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND PORTIONS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST TODAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO OUR OFFICE. GAZ026-028-029-SCZ002-003-005>014-019-071815- FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 204 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 336 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST TODAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL EXCEED 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOME LOCATIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ..THURSDAY...EXCESSIVE HEAT POSSIBLE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 105 DEGREES. ..FRIDAY...EXCESSIVE HEAT POSSIBLE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 105 DEGREES. ..SATURDAY...EXCESSIVE HEAT POSSIBLE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 105 DEGREES. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO OUR OFFICE. NCZ070>072-082-071815- GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- 204 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST TODAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL EXCEED 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOME LOCATIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ..THURSDAY...EXCESSIVE HEAT POSSIBLE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 105 DEGREES. ..FRIDAY...EXCESSIVE HEAT POSSIBLE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 105 DEGREES. ..SATURDAY...EXCESSIVE HEAT POSSIBLE. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 105 DEGREES. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO OUR OFFICE. CDG
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
103 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016
GAZ029-061730-
ELBERT GA-
103 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN
ELBERT COUNTY UNTIL 130 PM EDT...
AT 102 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH
INTENSE LIGHTNING ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HARTWELL TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ELBERTON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
15 MPH.
LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... ELBERTON...NANCY HART STATE
PARK...MIDDLETON...BOBBY BROWN STATE PARK... RUSSELL STATE
PARK...LAKE STROM THURMOND...LAKE RUSSELL...RICE TOWN... SWEET CITY
AND FORTSONIA.
IN ADDITION TO INTENSE LIGHTNING...PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO
40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...TRY
TO GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY
FROM OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN
INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED
ELECTRONIC DEVICES. DO NOT TAKE A SHOWER OR BATH. TRY TO UNPLUG
UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORMS APPROACH.
&&
LAT...LON 3398 8261 3397 8264 3399 8265 3398 8273
3397 8278 3399 8283 3398 8286 3400 8288
3401 8294 3403 8294 3405 8299 3408 8301
3419 8276 3408 8264 3407 8265 3407 8263
3396 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 321DEG 14KT 3414 8272 3404 8296
NEDSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
129 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016
GAZ029-SCZ011-061800-
ELBERT GA-ABBEVILLE SC-
129 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN
ELBERT AND SOUTHERN ABBEVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM EDT...
AT 129 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH
INTENSE LIGHTNING ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ABBEVILLE TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ELBERTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
MPH.
LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... ABBEVILLE...ELBERTON...CALHOUN
FALLS...LAKE RUSSELL...NANCY HART STATE PARK...MIDDLETON...LAKE
STROM THURMOND...RICE TOWN...SWEET CITY AND FORTSONIA.
IN ADDITION TO INTENSE LIGHTNING...PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO
40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...TRY
TO GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY
FROM OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN
INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED
ELECTRONIC DEVICES. DO NOT TAKE A SHOWER OR BATH. TRY TO UNPLUG
UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORMS APPROACH.
&&
LAT...LON 3407 8300 3427 8233 3416 8224 3413 8225
3406 8246 3408 8248 3407 8253 3402 8259
3398 8270 3398 8275
TIME...MOT...LOC 1729Z 262DEG 39KT 3413 8249 3400 8281
NEDSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
145 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016
SCZ004-005-010-061815-
GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-ANDERSON SC-
145 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE...
SOUTHEASTERN PICKENS AND NORTHERN ANDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM
EDT...
AT 145 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTH OF CLEMSON...OR NEAR LAKE HARTWELL...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.
LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ANDERSON...CLEMSON...POWDERSVILLE...PIEDMONT...WILLIAMSTON...NORTHLAK
E... PENDLETON...WEST PELZER...ANDERSON AIRPORT AND LAKE HARTWELL.
PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAKE HARTWELL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.
&&
LAT...LON 3459 8303 3482 8248 3481 8248 3472 8247
3471 8246 3471 8247 3468 8246 3466 8247
3466 8246 3464 8245 3462 8245 3461 8244
3457 8243 3444 8282
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 253DEG 16KT 3455 8282
NEDThe Greer radar (KGSP), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:20 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Utility company reported a few trees and tree limbs blown down on power lines in the Belton area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in South Carolina in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in South Carolina, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 649051.