Puerto Rico, 2016

Rip Current in Puerto Rico, July 30, 2016

July 30, 2016 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Hazardous marine conditions affected the north coast of Puerto Rico producing dangerous rip current along the north facing beaches of Puerto Rico.

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Hazardous marine conditions affected the north coast of Puerto Rico producing dangerous rip current along the north facing beaches of Puerto Rico.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 30, 3:05 PM AST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 3:05 PM AST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
305 PM AST SAT JUL 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Vigorous tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles
will bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the forecast area
tonight into Sunday. This moist and unstable pattern will prevail
through at least Monday afternoon. Drier and more stable air mass
is expected Tuesday through early Thursday. Then...another
tropical wave will reach the local region producing another round
of showers and thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery shows a strong tropical wave
approaching the Leewards Islands this afternoon. A large area of
showers and thunderstorms accompanied this wave. Due to the rapid
movement of this feature...the leading edge of the wave will
likely reach the Anegada Passage and the U.S. Virgin islands later
this afternoon and tonight. Shower and thunderstorm activity will
spread over Puerto Rico late tonight into Sunday. At this time...
the best moisture convergence and vorticity advection will move
over the local islands during the day on Sunday. Therefore...A
Flash Flood Watch has been issued for all Puerto Rico and the
U.S. Virgin islands due to the high risk of flooding rains. The
watch is in effect from Sunday morning to Sunday night.

Although the tropical wave will move away from region on Monday
morning...residual moisture in the wake of the wave will keep the
atmosphere relatively unstable through at least Monday afternoon.
Conditions will improve on Tuesday as drier air will filter in
from the east. Weather pattern will remain generally tranquil
through Thursday. Then...Another tropical wave will bring showers
and thunderstorms over the local islands late Thursday into Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...An approaching tropical wave will increase SHRA and TSRA
activity across the waters and local islands thru Sunday. MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS likely across the Leeward, USVI and E PR overnight and
Sunday morning, spreading to the W PR terminals by Sunday morning
and afternoon. Mtn obscurations likely. Windy cond expected at 10-20
kts with periods of gusts of 25-35 kts.

&&

.MARINE...Marine conditions will deteriorate rapidly later this
afternoon into the evening hours as the tropical wave moves over
the regional waters. Seas will build to 6-8 feet and winds will
increase to around 20 knots with wind gust in excess of 30 knots
possible with the showers and thunderstorms. The most intense
thunderstorms are capable of producing strong gusty winds...
lightning strikes and locally higher waves.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  80  86  76  88 /  80  80  80  50
STT  80  86  77  89 /  80  80  50  50

&&

.SJU Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PR...Flash Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
     Central Interior-Culebra-Eastern Interior-Mayaguez and
     Vicinity-North Central-Northeast-Northwest-Ponce and
     Vicinity-San Juan and Vicinity-Southeast-Southwest-Vieques-
     Western Interior.

VI...Flash Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
     St Croix-St.Thomas...St. John.. and Adjacent Islands.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM AST Sunday
     for St.Thomas...St. John.. and Adjacent Islands.

AM...Flash Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
     Coastal Waters OF Southwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-
     Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM-
     Coastal Waters of Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal
     Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto Rico out
     10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM AST Sunday
     for Caribbean Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-
     Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM-
     Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto
     Rico out 10 NM-Mona Passage Southward to 17N.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 8 PM AST Sunday for Coastal
     Waters of Northern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM AST Sunday for Anegada Passage
     Southward to 17N-Atlantic Waters of Puerto Rico and USVI
     from 10 NM to 19.5N.

&&

05/11
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 2:21 PM AST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
PERSPECTIVAS SOBRE CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS DEL TIEMPO
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
201 PM AST SABADO 30 DE JULIO DE 2016

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-311815-
SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-SURESTE-INTERIOR ESTE-
CENTRAL NORTE-INTERIOR CENTRAL-PONCE Y VECINDAD-NOROESTE-
INTERIOR OESTE-MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD-SUROESTE-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
AGUAS COSTERAS Y MAR AFUERA DEL ATLANTICO Y DEL CARIBE-
201 PM AST SABADO 30 DE JULIO DE 2016

ESTA PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS DEL TIEMPO ES
PARA PUERTO RICO Y LAS AGUAS COSTERAS ADYACENTES DEL ATLANTICO.

.DIA UNO...HOY Y ESTA NOCHE

.VIENTOS...VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE SOBRE 20 MPH (17 NUDOS) SE ESPERAN
A TRAVES DE LA MAYORIA DE LAS AGUAS LOCALES, A TRAVES DE LAS AREAS
COSTERAS DEL NORTE Y SUR DE PUERTO RICO, AL IGUAL QUE A TRAVES DE
CULEBRA Y VIEQUES.

.OLAS...OLEAJE PICADO/PELIGROSO DE SOBRE 7 PIES SE ESPERA A TRAVES
DE LAS AGUAS MAR AFUERA DEL ATLANTICO Y CARIBE ESTA TARDE Y NOCHE.

.CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS...EXISTE UN RIESGO MODERADO DE CORRIENTES
SUBMARINAS PARA LAS PLAYAS DEL NORTE Y SUR DE PUERTO RICO Y ALGUNAS
PLAYAS DE VIEQUES Y CULEBRAS.

.CALOR...INDICE DE CALOR DE 102 GRADOS O MAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES
DE LA MAYORIA DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE PUERTO RICO.

.DIAS DOS HASTA SIETE...DOMINGO A VIERNES

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL FUERTE AFECTE LA REGION DESDE EL
DOMINGO HASTA TEMPRANO EL LUNES. ESTE SISTEMA TRAERA CONDICIONES
ATMOSFERICAS INESTABLES Y REALZARA SIGNIFICANTEMENTE EL DESAROLLO DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE LA REGION. PERIODOS DE LLUVIAS
FUERTES, VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS, Y ACTIVIDAD DE RAYOS SE PODRIAN ESPERAR
A MEDIDA QUE LA ONDA TROPICAL SE MUEVA SOBRE EL AREA. INUNDACIONES Y
DESLIZAMIENTOS DE TIERRA, AL IGUAL QUE CONDICIONES MARITIMAS
PELIGROSAS, TAMBIEN SE PODRIAN ESPERAR. LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS
MEJORARAN EL LUNES EN LA TARDE. OTRA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA QUE
ALCANCE LA REGION EL JUEVES.

.COMUNICADO SOBRE INFORMACION REPORTADA POR OBSERVADORES...

NO SE ANTICIPA ACTIVACION AMPLIA DE OBSERVADORES...SIN EMBARGO...SE
LES EXHORTA A LOS OBSERVADORES INDIVIDUALES A REPORTAR INUNDACIONES
Y CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS AL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN
JUAN.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-311815-
SAN TOMAS SAN JOHN E ISLAS ADYACENTES-
SANTA CRUZ-AGUAS CERCA DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y AGUAS COSTERAS
ADYACENTES DEL CARIBE-
201 PM AST SABADO 30 DE JULIO DE 2016

ESTA PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS DEL TIEMPO ES
PARA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y LAS AGUAS COSTERAS ADYACENTES.

.DIA UNO...HOY Y ESTA NOCHE

.TRONADAS...EXISTE PROBABILIDAD DE TRONADAS CON LLUVIA FUERTE Y
RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS ESTA TARDE A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
AMERICANAS.

.VIENTOS...VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE SOBRE 20 MPH (17 NUDOS) SE ESPERAN A
TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS COSTERAS CIRCUNDANTES, AL IGUAL QUE A TRAVES DE
LAS ISLAS LOCALES.

.OLEAJE...OLEAJE PICADO/PELIGROSO DE SOBRE 7 PIES SE ESPERA A
TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS MAR AFUERA DEL ATLANTICO Y CARIBE ESTA TARDE Y
NOCHE.

.CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS...EXISTE UN RIESGO MODERADO DE CORRIENTES
SUBMARINAS PARA LA MAYORIA DE LAS PLAYAS DE SANTA CRUZ.

.CALOR...INDICE DE CALOR DE 102 GRADOS O MAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE
LA MAYORIA DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE LAS ISLAS LOCALES.

.DIAS DOS A SIETE...DOMINGO A VIERNES

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL FUERTE AFECTE LA REGION DESDE EL
DOMINGO HASTA TEMPRANO EL LUNES. ESTE SISTEMA TRAERA CONDICIONES
ATMOSFERICAS INESTABLES Y REALZARA SIGNIFICANTEMENTE EL DESAROLLO DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE LA REGION. PERIODOS DE LLUVIAS
FUERTES, VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS, Y ACTIVIDAD DE RAYOS SE PODRIAN ESPERAR
A MEDIDA QUE LA ONDA TROPICAL SE MUEVA SOBRE EL AREA. INUNDACIONES Y
DESLIZAMIENTOS DE TIERRA, AL IGUAL QUE CONDICIONES MARITIMAS
PELIGROSAS, TAMBIEN SE PODRIAN ESPERAR. LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS
MEJORARAN EL LUNES EN LA TARDE. OTRA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA QUE
ALCANCE LA REGION EL JUEVES.

.COMUNICADO SOBRE INFORMACION REPORTADA POR OBSERVADORES...

NO SE ANTICIPA ACTIVACION AMPLIA DE OBSERVADORES...SIN EMBARGO...SE
LES EXHORTA A LOS OBSERVADORES INDIVIDUALES A REPORTAR INUNDACIONES
Y CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS AL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN
JUAN.

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, San Juan and Vicinity

When
July 30, 5:30 PM AST
Where
San Juan and Vicinity forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper

A 33 year old man drowned due to rip currents at Balneario de Carolina beach.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, San Juan and Vicinity2016-07-3033MaleUnknownDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, July 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 654379.