A weak complex of thunderstorms moved south and east from central Ohio into southeastern Ohio. Large precipitatable water values were in place leading to extremely heavy rainfall rates in some of the thunderstorms.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RLX wrote it up.
A weak complex of thunderstorms moved south and east from central Ohio into southeastern Ohio. Large precipitatable water values were in place leading to extremely heavy rainfall rates in some of the thunderstorms. Light steering winds lead to slow storm motion. A few instances of minor flash flooding occurred in Jackson County as a result during the evening hours of the 29th and into the early morning hours of the 30th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 29, 7:01 PM EST, 1 hour 43 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 801 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 .SYNOPSIS... An upper level trof will keep the weather unsettled into early next week. Upper level ridging may bring a warmer, quieter interlude during the middle of next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... 745 PM UPDATE... Widely scattered shra/tsra will wane over the area as the evening progresses. Cant fully take pops out overnight with the subtle ripples in the flow traversing thru the region. In fact...an uptick in coverage may present itself after midnight across portions of SE OH and N WV. Otherwise...low stratus and fog will develop with areas that received rain taking the dive first. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW... Latest radar mosaic shows scattered showers and thunderstorms were developing across the region at this time. With continued heating...expect the areal coverage to continue to increase. Models indicate a trough axis will approach the forecast area from the west tonight and then remain in the area on Saturday. Several disturbances will move through the upper level flow, one this evening and another on Saturday. The disturbance this evening should result in some showers and storms overnight. However, expect the areal coverage to decrease with the loss of sunshine. with abundant low-level moisture in place, expect a repeat of last night with some stratus and valley fog developing. Expect conditions will slowly improve after sunrise with some sunshine possible by late morning. Another disturbance will combine with daytime heating and low- level moisture to result in the development of showers and storms by late morning on Saturday. The storms should become more numerous across northern and western portions of our forecast area and because of this, I have gone with likely pops in those areas. PW values still expected to be around two inches with each of these features. This moisture and light deep layer flow will continue to support locally heavy downpours. Because temperatures looked good, I did not make any significant changes. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Continued hot and humid Sunday and Monday...with frontal boundary continuing to hang out across northern zones. Weak disturbances in the flow...as well as daytime heating...will trigger rounds of showers and thunderstorms at times...but overall...coverage should be less than in recent days. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Overall...drier to start next week...with high pressure...surface and aloft in control. Upper ridge strengthens across the area mid week...with increasing temperatures. Looking at generally diurnal showers and thunderstorms...mostly in the mountains...although a slight chance cannot be completely ruled out elsewhere. Frontal boundary approaches late in the extended...but at this point...lots of uncertainty in timing. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Widely scattered shra/tsra will gradually wane this evening over the area. However...models indicate a potential uptick over portions of SE OH and N WV after 06z. Otherwise IFR conditions in stratus/fog will develop this evening...first for any terminals that received rain...ie KHTS/KBKW. Confidence in where fog and thus lower vsby prevails or stratus is not particularly high attm. Conditions gradually improve after sunrise...but VFR conditions may not be realized until 15z given the abundant low level moisture in place. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should once again develop after 16Z with resulting IFR or worse vsby restriction possible in any convection...however confidence not high on any terminal getting hit to include in TAF at this distance. Light southwest winds should become light and variable tonight and then become light southeast again by late morning. CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS... FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: The fog and low cloud forecast for overnight tonight depends upon higher clouds and precipitation. A thunderstorm may directly impact an airport with IFR conditions anytime through 18z Saturday. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE SAT 07/30/16 UTC 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 EDT 1HRLY 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H M M L L L L L L L HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H M L L L L L L BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H M M L L L L L L L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H M L L L L L L CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H M M M L L L L AFTER 00Z SUNDAY... IFR conditions in low clouds and/or fog during the overnight into the morning hours each day, and briefly in showers and thunderstorms mainly Monday afternoon and evening. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && SYNOPSIS...JSH/SL NEAR TERM...JSH/30 SHORT TERM...SL LONG TERM...SL AVIATION...30
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 322 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011- 013>020-024>040-046-047-300730- GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE- CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA- ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON- GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE- NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- 322 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 111 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:43 UTC.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Sections of pavement were washed off of Lesmil Road near the Jackson County and Vinton County line. A car was also stranded in high water along Lesmil Road.
High water from heavy rain blocked State Route 160.
High water from heavy rain washed out several culverts on Jisco West Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 641328, 641329, 641330.