North Carolina, 2016

Damaging Winds and Heavy Rain in North Carolina, July 27, 2016

July 27, 2016 · NWS GSP · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

Isolated thunderstorms developed across the far western mountain of North Carolina during the evening. One storm produced brief damaging winds in Madison County.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.

Isolated thunderstorms developed across the far western mountain of North Carolina during the evening. One storm produced brief damaging winds in Madison County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 6:10 PM EST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 6:10 PM EST, 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
710 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Broad surface high pressure will linger over the Southeast, before
sliding offshore as a surface low develops and moves northeast
across the Midwest and Great Lakes regions. A surface front will
remain off to our north and linger within a region between the Ohio
Valley, lower Great Lakes, and Mid-Atlantic regions. This front may
finally move into our area over the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
2315 UTC Update: Winds were updated with a blend of the lastest NAM
and ADJMAV, preserving gusts at hihg elevations overnight, and
limiting gusts at lower elevations on Thursday. Sky cover was
updated from visible satellite imagery. Pops were adjusted based on
radar trends, maintaing greater coverage in the NC mountains.

Previous Discussion: Convection is taking it's time developing
across the CWFA...mainly confined across the nrn zones near a sfc
bndry and some periodic pop ups across the ridgetops. The lower
atmos has mixed out a little more than expected across the nrn
Upstate and srn NC Piedmont. Td/s are in the m60s leading to a
SBCAPE minima and shallow Cu development. The best activity area
this afternoon/evening will be across the nrn zones and perhaps
across the nrn SRV where higher end CAPE is developing.

The overnight will see gradual moist adv from the SW due to a
subtrop disturbance being lifted north toward the TN valley. Most of
the heavy precip will be aligned south and west of the FA...but the
NC mtn spine counties shud see enhanced -shra/tstm activity
lingering through daybreak. Some isol activity is also possible
across the nrn fthills and nc piedmont with the llvl bndry remaining
fairly stationary.

The fcst for Thu is a bit tricky compared to the previous few days
as mid and upper level forcing will increase somewhat as a broad h5
trof moves across the lower Midwest and an h85 low associated with
the aforementioned ST disturbance continues to advance closer to the
wrn zones. This will increase llvl shear values to arnd 25kts or so
during the afternoon...and along with modest SBCAPE values...some
storms could become loosely organized and produce relatively long
lived cold pools...esp across the wrn zones. This would produce
more of a straight line wind threat as opposed to the localized
microburst activity seen lately. Max temps will be a couple degrees
cooler tomorrow and shud preclude another heat adv issuance based on
similar Td/s across the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday: At the start of the period, subtropical
ridging will remain in place over the Southeast and portions of the
Western Atlantic, with upper trough extending down the Mississippi
Valley. The initial shortwave will lift northeast on Friday as mean
troughiness continues across the east, with a secondary shortwave
pushes out of the Plains for the latter half of the period. With the
general southwest flow aloft over the Southern Appalachians, plume
of tropical moisture that moved onshore over the Lower Mississippi
yesterday will stretch northeast up the Ohio Valley, over the upper
ridge. Attendant surface front will slowly work its way toward the
Appalachians but with a continued lee trough across the NC
foothills/Piedmont serving as a focusing mechanism for afternoon
convective development. The secondary wave and slug of moisture
pushes across the Tennessee Valley Saturday as the mean trough
slowly pushes east. Fairly good agreement in synoptic fields on the
operational models, but as usual some differences in details and
sensible weather impacts, with the GFS remaining slightly wetter
than the ECMWF.

Overall, best deep-layer moisture will remain to our west with the
front but with the addition of synoptic lift from the broadening
wave, should see a slightly higher than climo trend to pops through
the short term. Instability looks fairly typical of summer, with
mixing across the Piedmont contributing to slightly lower CAPE
values than those across the mountains. Low-level lapse rates will
continue to support an isolated wet microburst or two, with daytime
high temperatures hovering just slightly above normal, and overnight
lows about a category above.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 230 PM EDT Wednesday: Aforementioned slug of moisture
associated with secondary shortwave will push across the Southern
Appalachians at the start of the extended period, with the longwave
trough axis continuing to slowly move east and centered over our
area around the start of the work week. Upper ridge strengthening
across the Plains will ridge northeast as the the trough becomes
increasingly positively-tilted, remaining stalled over the area
generally through the period. Corresponding surface trough will
enhance (or possibly itself be enhanced by...chicken-or-egg thing
here) the lee trough that has been in place the past couple of days.
This will keep a higher-than-climo diurnal trend in convection
across the region, with continued support of isolated to widely
scattered strong to severe storms in the form of wet microbursts.
Temperatures trend more toward climo with expected increases in
cloud cover and convection, but will continue to see some variation
each day.

Because the GFS is showing it approaching the NC coast very late in
the period, will note that invest of a disturbance off the coast of
Africa has been given a 40% chance of tropical cyclone formation
through 5 days. Model solutions vary *widely* as this pushes WNW
toward the Leeward/Windward Islands - this is way too far out to
make any prognostications at this time!

&&

.AVIATION /23Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
At KCLT and Elsewhere: Convective chances will be best in NC this
evening, diminishing overnight. Convective chances ramp up again
on Thursday, mainly in the afternoon over KAVL and KHKY. Model
guidance supports MVFR vsby at KAVL around dawn, with low VFR vsby
at KHKY. Other than some brief high VFR cigs overnight at KAVL,
ceiling restrictions were generally not supported. Winds will
favor the SW, except at KAVL overnight where NW is favored.
Surface winds gusts return on Thursday.

Outlook: Falling heights aloft and the arrival of gulf moisture will
support increasing chances of precipitation and perhaps associated
restrictions going into the weekend.

Confidence Table...

            23-05Z        05-11Z        11-17Z        17-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     Med   78%     High 100%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High  95%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ037-057-071-
     072-082.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TDP
NEAR TERM...JAT/SBK
SHORT TERM...TDP
LONG TERM...TDP
AVIATION...JAT
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 5:35 AM EST, 12 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
635 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>503-505-507-509-
SCZ001>003-281045-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-ALEXANDER-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-
HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
635 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AS WELL AS THE FAR NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH
CAROLINA. WHILE THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE FROM CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD
BECOME BRIEFLY SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ036-037-056-068>070-504-506-508-510-SCZ004>014-
019-281045-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
635 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND MODERATE LEVELS OF
HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES OF
100 TO 105 BETWEEN 2 AND 5 PM TODAY ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND
FOOTHILLS.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE THE
PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE FROM CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL...ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD BECOME BRIEFLY
SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ057-071-072-082-281045-
ROWAN-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
635 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. WHILE THE PRIMARY THREATS
WILL BE FROM CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD BECOME BRIEFLY SEVERE...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

LANE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 4:58 PM EST, 1 hour 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
558 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCZ052-059-272230-
HAYWOOD NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
558 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND SOUTHEASTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
EDT...

AT 557 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH
INTENSE LIGHTNING 7 MILES EAST OF SYLVA...OR 4 MILES SOUTH OF
BALSAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SYLVA...WAYNESVILLE...LAKE JUNALUSKA...MAGGIE VALLEY...BALSAM...B.R.
PARKWAY-BALSAM GAP TO BLACK BALSAM AREA...WEBSTER...BLACK BALSAM AREA...
B.R. PARKWAY-SMOKY MOUNTAINS TO BALSAM GAP AND SUNBURST.

IN ADDITION TO INTENSE LIGHTNING...HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. DO NOT TAKE A SHOWER OR BATH. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM APPROACHES.

&&

LAT...LON 3559 8303 3540 8280 3527 8302 3526 8309
      3537 8323
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 224DEG 13KT 3536 8309

HG
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 5:04 PM EST, 1 hour 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
604 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCZ051-058-272230-
SWAIN NC-GRAHAM NC-
604 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT
SOUTHEASTERN SWAIN AND NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
EDT...

AT 603 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING 10 MILES EAST OF ROBBINSVILLE...OR 7 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FONTANA LAKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... BRYSON CITY...SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
DEEP CREEK...CHEROKEE...SMOKY MOUNTAINS-CLINGMANS DOME...SMOKY
MOUNTAINS-FONTANA AREA...FONTANA LAKE... WESSER...LUADA...ALMOND AND
NANTAHALA.

IN ADDITION TO INTENSE LIGHTNING...HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. DO NOT TAKE A SHOWER OR BATH. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM APPROACHES.

&&

LAT...LON 3558 8360 3556 8358 3556 8350 3557 8348
      3547 8331 3547 8334 3546 8335 3543 8336
      3530 8352 3528 8366 3535 8376
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 217DEG 18KT 3536 8363

HG
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 5:07 PM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCZ033-272230-
AVERY NC-
607 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT CENTRAL
AVERY COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 607 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH
INTENSE LIGHTNING NEAR BEECH MOUNTAIN...OR OVER BANNER ELK...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... NEWLAND...BANNER ELK...BEECH
MOUNTAIN IN AVERY COUNTY...SUGAR MOUNTAIN... SEVEN
DEVILS...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN STATE PARK...
B.R. PARKWAY-LINVILLE FALLS TO GRANDFATHER...ELK PARK AND LINVILLE.

IN ADDITION TO INTENSE LIGHTNING...DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. DO NOT TAKE A SHOWER OR BATH. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM APPROACHES.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 8190 3623 8191 3621 8190 3619 8188
      3619 8186 3616 8183 3611 8181 3609 8176
      3608 8176 3604 8190 3618 8199 3623 8196
      3627 8190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 241DEG 8KT 3616 8187

HG
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 5:33 PM EST, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
633 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCZ501-272300-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS NC-
633 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 632 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING NEAR BLOWING ROCK...OR NEAR BLOWING ROCK IN
CALDWELL COUNTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH...BUT REDEVELOPING TO
THE WEST.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BLOWING ROCK IN CALDWELL COUNTY...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN STATE PARK...
B.R. PARKWAY-LINVILLE FALLS TO GRANDFATHER...UPTON AND GLOBE.

IN ADDITION TO INTENSE LIGHTNING...HALF INCH HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO
40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. DO NOT TAKE A SHOWER OR BATH. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM APPROACHES.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 8155 3610 8152 3610 8150 3609 8147
      3609 8145 3607 8144 3608 8142 3607 8141
      3600 8175 3603 8176 3607 8174 3607 8176
      3609 8176 3611 8181 3612 8169
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 246DEG 17KT 3611 8171

HG
Local storm report, Jul 27, 5:39 PM EST, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
639 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BANNER ELK              36.16N 81.87W
07/27/2016  M3.25 INCH       AVERY              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER MEASURED 3.25 INCHES OF RAIN IN A 2 HOUR PERIOD.

&&

JPT
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 6:15 PM EST, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
715 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

NCZ033-050-272345-
AVERY NC-MITCHELL NC-
715 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MITCHELL AND AVERY
COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

AT 714 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES WEST OF NEWLAND...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF BAKERSVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... NEWLAND...BANNER ELK...ELK
PARK...BEECH MOUNTAIN IN AVERY COUNTY... CROSSNORE...SUGAR
MOUNTAIN...SEVEN DEVILS...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN STATE
PARK...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN AND B.R. PARKWAY-LINVILLE FALLS TO
GRANDFATHER.

HALF INCH HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS.

&&

LAT...LON 3621 8191 3619 8188 3619 8186 3616 8183
      3611 8181 3611 8180 3603 8176 3596 8212
      3613 8220 3615 8215 3611 8213 3610 8208
      3613 8205 3612 8203 3625 8194 3627 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 248DEG 15KT 3608 8208

HG

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 138 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 thunderstorm wind, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Avery

When
July 27, 6:30 PM EST to 7:30 PM EST
Where
Avery County, 0.69 mi S of Banner Elk
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
36.160, -81.870

County comms and EM reported water from backed up storm drains entering several businesses, including the fire department along Highway 184 on the south side of downtown Banner Elk after more than 3 inches of rain fell in a couple of hours.

Thunderstorm Wind, Madison

When
July 27, 7:04 PM EST
Where
Madison County, 0.45 mi E of Grapevine
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
35.869, -82.622

County comms reported multiple trees blown down on Grapevine Rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Madison

When
July 27, 7:20 PM EST
Where
Madison County, 0.69 mi S of Petersburg
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
35.810, -82.620

County comms reported trees blown down on Silvers Mill Rd and on Wind Swept Bridge Rd.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 654256, 654254, 654253.