A warm and muggy air mass was situated over eastern New York on Tuesday, June 28th. Ahead of a cold front, lines of slow-moving thunderstorms developed during the early to mid afternooon hours.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ALY wrote it up.
A warm and muggy air mass was situated over eastern New York on Tuesday, June 28th. Ahead of a cold front, lines of slow-moving thunderstorms developed during the early to mid afternooon hours. These thunderstorms moved eastward across the Mohawk Valley of southern Herkimer County, producing damaging winds and hail, as well as very heavy rainfall. Some power outages were reported as a result of the downed trees and power lines.
Thunderstorms moved east of the area by the evening hours, and the cold front eventually crossed the area during the overnight hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 28, 12:21 PM EST, 44 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albany NY 121 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will slowly move across our region this afternoon and tonight, resulting in widespread showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may be severe with damaging winds and heavy rainfall. A disturbance will move through on Wednesday with a few more showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will then build into the region Wednesday night into Thursday, bringing dry weather. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... As of 115 PM EDT, scattered showers/thunderstorms were developing along and ahead of a weak prefrontal trough/dewpoint boundary, which extended from the western Adirondacks into extreme E/SE Oneida Co, and southwest to east of BGM. Further west, a cold front and strong upper level impulse was located across the eastern Great Lakes region and western NYS. Recent SPC analysis suggests SBCAPES in the 1500-2000 J/KG range across central NYS extending into portions of the Mohawk Valley and Schoharie CO region, with generally 500-1500 J/KG further south and east, lowest across the mid Hudson Valley/Berkshires and NW CT, where a low cloud deck remains most persistent. We expect showers/thunderstorms to increase in areal coverage along and just ahead of the aforementioned prefrontal trough/boundary, initially across the Mohawk Valley/western Adirondacks, then slowly advancing east/southeast closer to the Capital Region/Saratoga Region and Lake George region later this afternoon and closer to sunset. Any thunderstorms will be capable of producing locally gusty winds and very heavy rainfall. As mid level winds increase with the approach of the shortwave across the eastern Great Lakes, isolated strong/damaging wind gusts could occur within any merging cells and associated cold pools which are generated, with this threat appearing mainly from Albany and points N and W through sunset. Perhaps the bigger threat will be localized intense downpours, with some rainfall rates possibly reaching up to 2 inches/hour. This could certainly lead to rapid ponding of water in poor drainage/urban areas. If any cells train over one location for any length of time, isolated flash flooding will be possible in such areas, despite such recent dry conditions. Temperatures will likely reach the lower/mid 80s in valley areas from Albany north and west, with mainly 75-80 across higher terrain, and in valley areas south and east of Albany. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/... The cold front will continue to move eastward across the Hudson valley eastward into western New England this evening and overnight. Will continue to mention likely showers and thunderstorms for these areas, gradually tapering off from west to east. The cold front should clear eastern portions of the area by sunrise Wednesday. There will still be a threat of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday, as the upper level trough axis is forecast to be positioned just to our west. Some of the storms could be strong during the afternoon mainly for areas north and east of the Hudson Valley depending on how much instability develops ahead of the trough. The highest dewpoints will likely be displaced to our east across central/eastern New England, but lapse rates will be steepening due to the trough moving through. Chances for leftover showers/storms should end Wednesday evening as the trough shifts eastward into eastern New England. High pressure will then build eastward from the Midwest and Great Lakes, providing dry conditions and comfortably low humidity levels with seasonable temperatures Wednesday night into Thursday. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Chances for convection as we head into the long holiday weekend then fair weather is expected. A vigorous short-wave is expected to be rotating about the base of an upper level low near southern Hudson Bay Canada Thursday night through Friday night. This feature will be accompanied by a cold front at the surface. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop and move across the region in response. Have limited pops to chance for Friday and Friday night at this time due to timing concerns. The upper low is modeled to move slowly eastward across eastern Canada over the holiday weekend eventually filling in and opening up. Our region will remain on the southern periphery of the low through Sunday with heights rising Sunday night and Monday as ridging builds in. Temperatures are expected to be seasonably warm Friday with cooler readings by 5 to 10 degrees in the wake of the cold front for Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures are anticipated to moderate back to normal levels for Monday Independence Day. && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... We continue to watch convection developing upstream at this time as a few thunderstorms are just to the west of the Capital District with a sct-bkn line of convection along the cold front in the vicinity of I81. Expectations are for this line of convection to develop and mature as it approaches the Hudson Valley TAF locations with a period of MVFR to possibly IFR conditions. The best window of opportunity would be from approximately 20Z Tuesday til 02Z Wednesday. Tonight depending on how much rain impacts the TAF sites, widespread MVFR conditions are expected to develop for the overnight in the wake of the convection with IFR conditions expected at KPOU and KPSF. Southerly winds this afternoon with gusts into the teens and lower 20s at KALB during the afternoon. Winds will become light and variable tonight. Outlook... Wed Night-Thu Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Fri-Fri Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA. Sat: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. && .FIRE WEATHER... A cold front will slowly move across our region this afternoon and tonight, resulting in widespread showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may be severe with damaging winds and heavy rainfall. A disturbance will move through on Wednesday with a few more showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will then build into the region Wednesday night into Thursday, bringing dry weather. Minimum relative humidity values this afternoon are expected to be around 55 to 65 percent. RH values will then increase to between 85 and 100 percent tonight. Minimum RH values on Wednesday will be around 40 to 55 percent. Winds today will be southerly around 5 to 10 mph, becoming westerly tonight around 5 mph. Winds on Wednesday will be northwest at 5 to 10 mph. && .HYDROLOGY... No widespread hydro problems are expected over the next 5 days. Showers and thunderstorms are likely across the region this afternoon and tonight, ahead of and along a slow moving cold front. Basin average rainfall will be around a half inch to an inch, however locally heavy rainfall could result in isolated amounts near or exceeding two inches. Ponding of water will occur within thunderstorms, and even isolated flash flooding is possible within persistent slow moving downpours. Antecedent conditions are very dry though, so widespread hydro issues are not expected. A few lingering showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday with light qpf amounts. Dry weather will return by Thursday, with high pressure moving back in across the region. The latest drought monitor now has most of our region labeled 'Abnormally Dry' (D0). In fact, over the past 30 days, most of our region is approximately 1-3 inches below normal in terms of rainfall. For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && SYNOPSIS...JPV NEAR TERM...KL/BGM/JPV SHORT TERM...JPV LONG TERM...IAA AVIATION...IAA/BGM FIRE WEATHER...JPV HYDROLOGY...NAS/JPV
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 425 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016 MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>065-082>084-VTZ013- 291100- NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- 425 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...EASTERN CATSKILLS...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...MID HUDSON VALLEY...AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TACONICS OF EASTERN NEW YORK...AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...AND BENNINGTON COUNTY OF SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE PRIMARY THREAT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED...AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN ANY SLOW MOVING AND PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY FOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF ALBANY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON. CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ066-VTZ014-015-291100- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE- EASTERN DUTCHESS-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 425 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN TACONICS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND WINDHAM COUNTY OF SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE PRIMARY THREAT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED...AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN ANY SLOW MOVING AND PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY FOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL...ESPECIALLY FOR THE BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1202 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016
NYZ032-033-038-281645-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
1202 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL HERKIMER AND
SOUTHWESTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES...
AT 1202 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER TRENTON
FALLS...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF UTICA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OHIO...POLAND...COLD BROOK...NORTHWOOD...RUSSIA...WILMURT...
BULL HILL...MOUNTAIN HOME...GRAY...CLOCKMILL CORNERS...
CASWELL LAKE...POWLEY PLACE...BLACK CREEK RESERVOIR...GRANT...
WILMURT CORNERS...NOBLEBORO...HERKIMER LANDING...HURRICANE...
PARDEEVILLE CORNERS AND MOREHOUSEVILLE.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
LAT...LON 4330 7515 4330 7512 4333 7508 4338 7508
4357 7472 4333 7454 4328 7469 4329 7471
4327 7471 4319 7510 4322 7507 4324 7507
4323 7510 4325 7513 4325 7515 4326 7516
TIME...MOT...LOC 1602Z 239DEG 41KT 4324 7514
KSLSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1247 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016
NYZ032-033-038-281745-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
1247 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL HERKIMER AND
SOUTHWESTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES...
AT 1247 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OHIO...OR 16
MILES NORTH OF LITTLE FALLS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OHIO...NORTHWOOD...NORWAY...WILMURT...BULL HILL...MOUNTAIN HOME...
GRAY...CLOCKMILL CORNERS...POWLEY PLACE...BLACK CREEK RESERVOIR...
GRANT...WILMURT CORNERS...NOBLEBORO...OLD CITY...HURRICANE...
PARDEEVILLE CORNERS...MOREHOUSEVILLE...
HOFFMEISTER AND WOODIN CORNERS.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 4352 7468 4324 7455 4329 7471 4320 7470
4315 7498 4334 7508 4336 7508
TIME...MOT...LOC 1647Z 248DEG 18KT 4327 7494
BGMSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
150 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016
NYZ038-281830-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
150 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...
AT 149 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER UTICA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OHIO...NEWPORT...MIDDLEVILLE...POLAND...COLD BROOK...RUSSIA...
FAIRFIELD...NORWAY...WINDFALL...MARTIN CORNERS...BULL HILL...
WEST SCHUYLER...WEST FRANKFORT...HARBOR...STEWART CORNERS...
BLACK CREEK RESERVOIR...GRANT...CAREY CORNERS...
IRISH SETTLEMENT AND OLD CITY.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
LAT...LON 4322 7507 4324 7507 4323 7510 4325 7513
4325 7515 4326 7516 4329 7515 4333 7506
4334 7491 4317 7479 4300 7521 4305 7522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1749Z 237DEG 26KT 4312 7522
ROKThe Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 84 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:06 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind, 2 lightning, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Quarter size hail was reported during a thunderstorm in the town of Schuyler.
Power line wires were reported down on North Columbia Road in the town of Columbia due to thunderstorm winds. Power was out on Elizabethtown Road in Ilion as a result of the downed wires.
One tree was downed and blocking Burtonville Road due to thunderstorm winds in the town of Charleston.
A home in Glenmont was struck by lightning during a thunderstorm. Fire departments responded to the home due to a reported fire caused by the lightning strike.
A 29 year old man repairing a water main break was struck by lightning during a thunderstorm. According to local print media, the man was standing about three inches from a metal stake garden pot when a bolt of lightning struck the plant stand behind him. The lightning strike ricocheted to his left shoulder blade and exited him through his leg. The man went to the emergency room and was discharged later that night with only minor injuries. He was able to return to work in a few days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 632696, 632697, 632698, 632699, 635108.