High Wind in New York, January 10 to 11, 2016

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...STRONG WINDS WILL
USHER MUCH COLDER AIR BACK INTO OUR REGION WITH ANY LINGERING RAIN
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW AND DIMINISHING THIS EVENING...AND HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPING EAST OF THE LAKES AND CONTINUING
THROUGH TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A PASSING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL THEN
BRING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW THEN REDEVELOPING EAST OF THE LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT
LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD INTO QUEBEC BY THIS EVENING...THEN FURTHER
NORTH ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. IN THE
PROCESS...IT WILL SWEEP ITS TRAILING STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... WITH MUCH COLDER AIR THEN
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE PERIOD.
CONSEQUENTLY...OUR REGION WILL FEEL A NUMBER OF STRONG IMPACTS
THAT ARE OUTLINED BELOW.

1. STRONG WINDS...IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT A STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW OF MUCH COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD
THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WITH A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE... WINDS OF 45-55 KNOTS IN PLACE IN THE
925-80 MB LAYER...AND INCREASINGLY EFFICIENT DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
TRANSPORT DEVELOPING OWING TO THE STRENGTHENING COLD AIR ADVECTION
REGIME...THE BULK OF THE REGION CAN EXPECT TO SEE ADVISORY-LEVEL
GUSTS TO 40-45 KNOTS THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS
POTENTIALLY APPROACHING 50 KNOTS DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO.
ACCORDINGLY... WIND ADVISORIES AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS REMAIN IN
EFFECT AS OUTLINED BELOW.

2. RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES/CHANGEOVER OF PRECIP TO
SNOW/FLASH FREEZE... BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TEMPERATURES WILL
RAPIDLY PLUMMET TO BELOW FREEZING FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE TRAILING WRAPAROUND RAIN
SHOWERS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT QUICKLY CHANGING OVER TO SNOW AND
PRODUCING SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATER ON
THIS EVENING...THOUGH THE SNOWFALL WILL BE EXACERBATED BY THE
AFOREMENTIONED STRONG WINDS WHICH WILL ALSO LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING SNOW AND ATTENDANT REDUCTIONS IN VSBY. OF POTENTIALLY
GREATER CONCERN TO TRAVELERS IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FLASH FREEZE
AND RESULTANT BLACK ICE FORMATION WHERE AREA ROADWAYS REMAIN
WET...PARTICULARLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES. A BROADBRUSH SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT WAS ISSUED
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO COVER THIS LATTER POTENTIAL.

3. LAKE EFFECT...THE INCOMING COLDER AIRMASS WILL ALSO LEAD TO
THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF BOTH
LAKES THIS EVENING...WITH THIS ACTIVITY THEN CONTINUING THROUGH
MONDAY.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE GENERAL WESTERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE SNOWS ACROSS THE SKI COUNTRY OF SOUTHERN ERIE
AND WYOMING COUNTIES AND THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THIS
EVENING...WITH THIS ACTIVITY THEN REMAINING IN THIS SAME GENERAL
AREA AND PICKING UP SOME IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING
AS LAKE EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISE TO 10-11 KFT...AND THE AIRMASS
COOLS/MOISTURE DEEPENS BELOW THIS LEVEL. GIVEN THE INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE SETUP...WARNING-WORTHY SNOW AMOUNTS OF AROUND OR A
LITTLE OVER A FOOT STILL APPEAR TO BE A GOOD BET WITHIN THE MOST
PERSISTENT SNOWS IN THIS AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY... WITH ADVISORY-
TYPE ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES LIKELY MAKING IT AS FAR EAST
AS NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF ALLEGANY COUNTY...WHERE A NEW LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN HOISTED. COMPLICATING ALL THIS WILL
BE THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG WINDS...WHICH WILL LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

AS WE GET INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BEGIN
TO BACK MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY AS SURFACE-BASED RIDGING AND DRIER
AIR NOSES NORTHWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...AND AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM
DIVES INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. IN CONJUNCTION WITH INVERSION
HEIGHTS AND LAKE EQLS BEGINNING TO DROP OFF A BIT...THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN THE LAKE SNOWS LIFTING NORTHWARD INTO THE BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND WEAKENING SOME...BEFORE
DRIFTING FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER MONDAY EVENING
/AS DISCUSSED BELOW/. THE ABOVE SAID...AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS LIKE
NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF GENESEE COUNTY COULD SEE AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION OUT OF THIS BETWEEN MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING...SO HAVE HOISTED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING ON
AN INITIALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...BEFORE INTENSIFYING AND
SHIFTING A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE TUG HILL REGION OVERNIGHT
AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS MORE WESTERLY...AND THE AIRMASS GROWS
COLDER...LAKE EQLS RISE...AND MOISTURE DEEPENS. THEREAFTER...THE
LAKE SNOWS SHOULD LARGELY CONTINUE ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION
RIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... WITH JUST SOME SUBTLE WOBBLES IN BAND
POSITION FROM TIME TO TIME.

WITH LAKE EQLS INCREASING TO AROUND 13 KFT IN THE PRESENCE OF AN
INCREASINGLY WELL-ALIGNED FLOW ACROSS THE LONG AXIS OF THE LAKE
AND A POSSIBLE UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO THE UPPER LAKES
DEVELOPING... CONDITIONS APPEAR PRIMED FOR A SOLID PERIOD OF HEAVY
SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH AN IMPRESSIVE OMEGA-DENDRITIC
SNOW GROWTH CROSSHAIR SIGNATURE ON BUFKIT SUPPORTING THIS THINKING
AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME THUNDERSNOW AT TIMES. AT THIS
POINT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO THREE FEET APPEAR LIKELY
WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...FOR WHICH LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS
WILL OBVIOUSLY REMAIN IN PLACE. AS WITH THE LAKE ERIE
ACTIVITY...THE HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL BE FURTHER EXACERBATED BY THE
STRONG WINDS...WHICH WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS...EXPECT JUST SOME
LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING THEN
TAPERING OFF...WITH JUST SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. AFTER
THAT... CONDITIONS SHOULD BE LARGELY DRY ASIDE FROM SOME SCATTERED
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE MAIN LAKE BANDS.

TEMPERATURE-WISE...IT WILL TURN MUCH COLDER WITH READINGS
PLUNGING INTO THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S TONIGHT...THEN ONLY
RECOVERING SOME 3 TO 5 DEGREES DURING MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

WINTER IS CERTAINLY RETURNING TO WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK
THIS PERIOD AS PATTERN AMPLIFICATION GOES FULL BORE...WITH EXTENDED
WESTERN RIDGE AMPLIFICATION AND SUBSEQUENT DOWNSTREAM DEEPENING
TROUGH. THIS CONFIGURATION WILL ALLOW A DIRECT TAP TO SOME TRUE
ARCTIC AIR FOR THE FIRST TIME THIS WINTER SEASON. COMBINE THIS WITH
LAKE SURFACE TEMPERATURES SOME 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...AND THE
STAGE IS SET FOR A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE SNOWS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR -18C. THIS WILL YIELD
EXTREME OVER-WATER DELTA T/S IN THE LOWER 20S CELSIUS AND LAKE
INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS OF UP TO AROUND 11K FEET. SOUNDINGS SHOW
EXCELLENT LAKE MOISTURE CONTRIBUTION WITH CLOUD LAYERS SAFELY WITHIN
THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE. FOCUS MONDAY MORNING WILL BE ACROSS
SKI COUNTY SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. WINDS
WILL BACK MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING IN RESPONSE TO THE
APPROACHING CLIPPER WHICH WILL LIFT THE LAKE BAND NORTH ACROSS
BUFFALO TO NEAR NIAGARA FALLS. AS THE BAND LIFTS NORTH IT WILL
LIKELY CROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA NEAR THE EVENING COMMUTE.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS THE HIGHEST FOR UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW ACROSS
CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES WHERE
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN PLACE AND WHERE THE LAKE SNOWS WILL
PERSIST THE LONGEST BEFORE SWINGING NORTH ACROSS THE NIAGARA
FRONTIER LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS LOWER ACROSS
THE NIAGARA FRONTIER DUE TO THE TRANSIENT NATURE OF THE BAND AS IT
LIFTS NORTH...BUT COULD CERTAINLY SEE UPWARDS OF A HALF FOOT OR
POSSIBLY MORE.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...VERY FAVORABLE LAKE PARAMETERS EXIST HERE WITH
EVEN MORE OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY SHOWN THAN OVER LAKE ERIE. LAKE
INDUCED EQULIBRIUM LEVEL TOPPING OUT NEAR 13K FEET. SOUNDING
SHOWING A VERY FAVORABLE CROSSHAIR SIGNATURE OF MOISTURE AND LIFT
WITHIN THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE FOR NEARLY A 24 HOUR PERIOD. A
NEARLY WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP THE LAKE BAND FOCUSED ACROSS THE TUG
HILL MONDAY BEFORE WINDS BACK TO SOUTHERLY MONDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING CLIPPER. HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES DUE TO THE MORE FAVORABLE
PARAMETERS WILL BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS...POSSIBLY
EXCEEDING TWO FEET ON THE TUG HILL WHERE THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS
ARE EXPECTED FOR THIS EVENT. THE BAND WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS
WATERTOWN AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER MONDAY EVENING THEN WEAKEN
NORTH OF THE LAKE AS LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES
INCREASE.

WHILE LAKE EFFECT THUNDERSNOW IS NOT NORMALLY VERY COMMON OFF LAKE
ONTARIO BY MID JANUARY...WE HAVE TO KEEP IN MIND THAT THE LAKE TEMP
IS SEVERAL DEGREES HIGHER THAN WHERE IT SHOULD BE. AT CURRENT LEVELS
IN THE UPPER 30S...THE LAKE IS ROUGHLY AT MID TO LATE DECEMBER NORMS.
THE SOMEWHAT 'WARMER' LAKE WILL HAVE A GREATER CHANCE OF SUPPORTING
ELECTRIFICATION...AND SINCE THE HGT OF THE -10C ISOTHERM WILL ONLY
BE AROUND 1-2K FT...THIS WILL BE NEEDED IF ANY LIGHTNING IS TO BE
EXPECTED. WILL HOLD OFF ON ADDING THUNDER FOR NOW...BUT IT SHOULD BE
KEPT IN MIND FOR LATER FORECAST PACKAGES.

THE CLIPPER WILL QUICKLY PASS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
TUESDAY AND EXIT TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT BRINGING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL FOR ALL. A 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL ALSO BRING
SOME GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW. MEAN MODEL QPF AND SNOW-TO-LIQUID
RATIOS OF 15-20:1 YIELDS ABOUT AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW FOR MOST
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FAST MOVING CLIPPER. A SECOND SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR
WILL SURGE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE CLIPPER ON TUESDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL AGAIN RAMP UP LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WITH DETAILS ON A
SECOND EVENT BELOW.

TEMPERATUREWISE...A RETURN TO WINTER TEMPERATURES WILL BE FELT
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY REACHING INTO THE 20S TO LOW 30S EACH DAY AND DIPPING INTO THE
TEENS EACH NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A SECOND MORE SIGNIFICANT...LONGER DURATION AND HIGH IMPACT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED FROM MIDWEEK THROUGH FRIDAY ON THE
HEELS THE ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM. ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT
HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AS THIS SECOND EVENT APPROACHES.

IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER A BROAD AND DEEP -2 TO -3 SD 500MB
TROUGH WILL DIP OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK WHILE THE CLIPPER KICKS OFF THE MAINE COAST AND SHIFTS
NORTH ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS FITS THE PATTERN OF
CLASSIC SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT EVENTS WHEN COMPARING TO LOCAL
RESEARCH COMPOSITES. 850MB TEMPS WILL AGAIN LOWER TOWARD -18C OR
COOLER AGAIN TRIGGERING VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND TALL LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS. 24 TO 36 HOURS OF PERSISTENT COLD 270 DEGREE
FLOW ACROSS THE LAKES WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH A FAVORABLE
BACKGROUND SYNOPTIC MOISTURE PATTERN WILL LIKELY BRING SNOW TOTALS
MEASURING IN FEET OF SNOW FOR AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES THAT SEE THE
BANDS LOCK IN PLACE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME. THIS IS
SUPPORTED BY MEAN SNOWFALL FROM THE THE TOP 15 CIPS ANALOGS WHICH
SHOW SIMILAR PATTERNS HAVE PRODUCED SNOWFALL TOTALS MEASURED IN FEET
EAST OF BOTH LAKES. THUNDERSNOW WITH SNOW RATES OF SEVERAL INCHES AN
HOUR MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THE EVENT LOOKS TO CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY WHERE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
VEER TO NORTHWEST AS A BROAD ARCTIC HIGH BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ACT TO LOWER LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM
LEVELS AS 850MB TEMPS WARM SOME AND SHIFT THE LAKE BANDS SOUTH TO
THE SOUTHERN LAKE SHORES POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. IN THIS STATE THE
BANDS WILL TAKE ON A MUCH LESS ORGANIZED MULTI-BAND ORIENTATION. A
LOWERING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION FROM THE SOUTHWARD BUILDING HIGH WILL
EVENTUALLY SQUASH THE LAKE BANDS BRINGING THE EVENT TO AN END NEAR
OR OVER NEXT WEEKEND. IT IS FAR TOO SOON TO PRODUCE CONFIDENT SNOW
TOTALS FOR SPECIFIC AREAS FOR THIS SECOND EVENT. AN UPDATED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAS BEEN ISSUED PROVIDE MORE DETAIL TO
COVER THIS MORE SIGNIFICANT SECOND EVENT. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEK WILL AVERAGE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS ONLY INTO THE 20S
AND LOWS OVERNIGHT IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT
LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD INTO QUEBEC BY THIS EVENING...THEN FURTHER
NORTH ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. IN THE
PROCESS...IT WILL SWEEP ITS TRAILING STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... WITH MUCH COLDER AIR THEN
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE PERIOD.

OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY MIX
WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE SNOW THEN TAPERING OFF THROUGH THE
MID TO LATE EVENING HOURS. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE EAST OF
THE LAKES...WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING ON A
GENERAL WESTERLY FLOW AND INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...BEFORE SLOWLY
LIFTING NORTHWARD MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY MONDAY EVENING AS THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY.

IN TERMS OF FLIGHT CONDITIONS...EXPECT A GENERAL MIX OF MVFR/LOW
VFR OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT TO DETERIORATE TO IFR/MVFR FOR A
PERIOD FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE
IMPROVING BACK TO VFR OUTSIDE OF ANY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
TONIGHT...AND THEN REMAINING VFR OUTSIDE OF ANY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ON MONDAY. WITHIN THE LAKE SNOWS...GENERAL LIFR/IFR WILL PREVAIL
TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

FINALLY...STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY AND WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN
THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SURFACE
GUSTS TO 40-45 KTS LIKELY AREAWIDE...BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...IFR/MVFR IN WEAKENING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS NORTHEAST OF
THE LAKES...WITH GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE.
TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW...WITH IFR
PREVAILING WITHIN ANY SNOW.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW/IFR EAST OF THE
LAKES...WITH MVFR/VFR AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.
FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
...GALE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
INTO MONDAY...

RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC BY THIS EVENING...WHILE SWEEPING A STRONG
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION. IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT...A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS WILL QUICKLY ENSUE AND LAST
INTO MONDAY.

LOOKING A BIT FURTHER AHEAD...ANOTHER PERIOD OF NEAR GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A CLIPPER
SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ001>003-010>012-019-
     085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     MONDAY FOR NYZ012-019-020-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ004>006-013-014-020-
     021.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
     MONDAY FOR NYZ021.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM NOON MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY
     FOR NYZ010-011.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ030.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ043>045-063>065.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ042-062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NYZ001-002-010-011-111030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE ENHANCED SNOW MAY DEVELOP
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER WITH
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-111030-
ALLEGANY-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-085-111030-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND
LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-111030-
WYOMING-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
POSSIBLY THURSDAY.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ020-111030-
CATTARAUGUS-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
POSSIBLY THURSDAY.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-111030-
MONROE-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-014-111030-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-111030-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY BEHIND THIS SYSTEM. SOME OF THIS
MAY IMPACT AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AT TIMES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-111030-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. MORE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-111030-
OSWEGO-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. MORE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-111030-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-111030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-111030-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-111030-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
521 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
216 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-110100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
216 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...RAPID FORMATION OF BLACK ICE IS POSSIBLE ON AREA ROADWAYS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY
PLUNGE TO BELOW FREEZING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING. WHERE AREA ROADWAYS REMAIN WET...THIS
COULD RAPIDLY LEAD TO THE FORMATION OF BLACK ICE...PARTICULARLY
ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD CONDITIONS...
AND BE SURE TO SLOW DOWN AND LEAVE PLENTY OF EXTRA ROOM BETWEEN
BETWEEN YOUR VEHICLE AND OTHERS.

JJR