Montana, 2016

Extreme Cold in Montana, December 16 to 17, 2016

December 16 to 17, 2016 · NWS GGW · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

An arctic air mass from the Canadian prairie descended over northeast Montana, bringing the coldest temperatures of the season, and combined with some breezy to gusty winds to create dangerously cold wind chills for some locations.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

An arctic air mass from the Canadian prairie descended over northeast Montana, bringing the coldest temperatures of the season, and combined with some breezy to gusty winds to create dangerously cold wind chills for some locations.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 16, 2:39 PM MST, 4 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 16, 2:39 PM MST, 4 hours 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service GLASGOW MT
239 PM MST Fri Dec 16 2016

.SHORT TERM...for northeast Montana...tonight through Sun...

Storm system pulling out of the area and Winter Weather Advisory
Advisory will be allowed to expire/cancelled early.

Now our attention turns to the cold. Arctic high pressure is
pushing south into Montana. Back edge of the clearing has made it
to the international border and this will continue south, allowing
for ideal radiational cooling tonight. Have lowered temps tonight
below SuperBlend and neighboring offices are in agreement in our
western zones.

Arctic high pressure drops into the central Plains Saturday with a
lee-side trough developing along the Front Range of Alberta and
Montana. This trough or warm front will push east as a surface low
drops southeast into north-central Alberta Sunday. This will help
to warm things up for northeast Montana that lasts into mid-week.
Some warm air advection combined with decent vorticity advection
will lead to thick cloudiness and a slight possibility of snow
across some northern locations Saturday Night. TFJ

.LONG TERM...Sun night through Fri...
The long term forecast period remains in excellent shape as
described below. Expecting a moderating trend in temperatures
with high temperatures returning to the 20s and 30s above...yes
above...zero. Some places may even exceed the freezing mark.
Question marks exist in that snow cover could hinder the effects
of chinook warming, nevertheless, for many it will be a welcome
break from the Arctic air mass. Precipitation chances will depend
on periodic clippers, with one such system expected Monday and
Monday night with a little light snow. Another system Tuesday
afternoon could bring a mix of rain and snow to the area. Maliawco

Previous Long Term Discussion...

Weather change expected for the extended period as the long wave
pattern shifts to a lower amplitude zonal pattern. With warmer
flow off the Pacific streaming across the northern Rockies and a
series of clippers, temperatures across northeast Montana will
shift closer to normal.

Moderating conditions expected through the early part of the week
as a chinook develops with the flow backing to the west. Snow
cover could hinder the chinook mixing out the lingering cold air
over the valleys of NE Montana on Monday. Monday night a weak
front swings through the state which could produce some light snow
and should help mix out the cold air. Recent new snow and
increasing winds could lead to some blowing snow issues until
temperatures warm on Tuesday.

Another clipper system will zip across the state on Wednesday
with a slightly better chance of snow, and possibly rain in the
southwest with the warmer Pacific airmass. One more clipper tracks
along the Canadian border on Thursday. Ebert

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CIGS and VSBYS will end with lingering snow showers this
afternoon with a return to VFR overnight as skies clear. North to
northwest winds will persist at around 10 kts. Maliawco

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Warning from 11 PM this evening to noon MST Saturday
for Central and Southeast Phillips...Garfield...Petroleum...
Southwest Phillips.

Wind Chill Advisory until noon MST Saturday for Central and
Southern Valley...Dawson...McCone...Prairie...Wibaux.

Wind Chill Advisory until noon MST Saturday for Daniels...
Eastern Roosevelt...Northern Phillips...Northern Valley...
Richland...Sheridan...Western Roosevelt.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 16, 2:50 PM MST, 4 hours 17 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 16, 1:31 PM MST, 5 hours 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
131 PM MST FRI DEC 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     SNOW             9 SE EDWARDS            47.04N 107.22W
12/16/2016  E3.0 INCH        GARFIELD           MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIGHT SNOW CONTINUING.

&&

RICHM
Local storm report, Dec 16, 1:32 PM MST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
132 PM MST FRI DEC 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1238 PM     SNOW             14 SSW FLOWING WELLS RE 47.15N 106.32W
12/16/2016  E2.0 INCH        GARFIELD           MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STILL SNOWING LIGHTLY.

&&

RICHM
Local storm report, Dec 16, 1:33 PM MST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
133 PM MST FRI DEC 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1249 PM     SNOW             8 S TERRY               46.68N 105.30W
12/16/2016  E4.0 INCH        PRAIRIE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A LITTLE BLOWING SNOW AS WELL.

&&

RICHM
Local storm report, Dec 16, 1:45 PM MST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
145 PM MST FRI DEC 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     SNOW             5 W CARLYLE             46.66N 104.19W
12/16/2016  E2.0 INCH        WIBAUX             MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RICHM

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 extreme cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Western Roosevelt

When
December 16, 7:07 PM MST to December 17, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Western Roosevelt forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

With some variation in timing and location, wind chill values of -40 to -49 spread across western Roosevelt County from the evening of the 16th through the morning of the 17th.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Daniels

When
December 16, 8:55 PM MST to December 17, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Daniels forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
48.784, -105.549 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Navajo MT-5 DOT site recorded wind chill values between -40 and -48 through the evening hours of the 16th and the morning hours of the 17th.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Sheridan

When
December 16, 8:55 PM MST to December 17, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Sheridan forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
48.721, -104.505 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Navajo MT-5 DOT site recorded wind chill values between -40 and -48 through the evening hours of the 16th and the morning hours of the 17th.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Dawson

When
December 16, 9:00 PM MST to December 17, 5:55 AM MST
Where
Dawson forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
47.266, -104.899 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

With some variation in timing and location, wind chill values of -40 to -43 spread across Dawson County from the night of the 16th into the early morning of the 17th. Times are estimated due to intermittent observation data.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Richland

When
December 16, 11:08 PM MST to December 17, 9:23 AM MST
Where
Richland forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
47.788, -104.561 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

With some variation in timing and location, wind chill values of -40 to -48 spread across Richland County from the night of the 16th through the early morning of the 17th.

What these are

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
Temperatures or wind chills at or below the local warning criteria, or cold that caused deaths.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, December 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 667564, 667561, 667562, 667568, 667566.