Mississippi, 2016

Hail and Damaging Wind in Mississippi, May 28, 2016

May 28, 2016 · NWS MEG · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

On the afternoon of May 28th a weak inverted surface trough triggered a couple of pulse severe storms across Northeast Mississippi. Storms were capable of marginal severe hail and damaging winds.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.

On the afternoon of May 28th a weak inverted surface trough triggered a couple of pulse severe storms across Northeast Mississippi. Storms were capable of marginal severe hail and damaging winds.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 28, 11:25 AM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 11:25 AM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1225 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.UPDATE...Aviation Discussion.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1038 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...Water Vapor satellite trends this morning place an
upper level low near Omaha and a subtle but weak 700 mb shortwave
trough located near Jackson, MS. Skies are partly sunny this
morning with temperatures as of 10 am CDT in the 70s at most
locations.

Latest short term model trends suggest best chances for
isolated/scattered showers and thunderstorms will be predominantly
east of the Mississippi River this afternoon. Will make some
adjustments to pops and temperatures to account for short term
trends. Otherwise, forecast overall is in great shape.

CJC

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 629 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Updated for 12z Aviation Discussion.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 331 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Currently...500 mb low is centered over Nebraska with upper ridge
over the Southeast U.S. A weak shortwave is moving through the
Mid-South but the airmass has stabilized and just a few showers
are occurring. Skies are mostly cloudy and temps range from the
upper 60s to lower 70s.

Today through Monday...The upper low will track northeast toward
the Upper Mississippi Valley. Upper level heights will rise and
moisture advection into the region will weaken. Precipitable water
values will start to drop today. Expect the coverage of showers
and thunderstorms will be less than previous days along and west
of the Mississippi River. Areas toward the TN River and Northeast
Mississippi which have been relatively dry for the past few days
will stand a slightly better chance of seeing rain today as the
axis of deeper moisture shifts southeast. Some sunshine will mean
more instability this afternoon...especially along and west of the
Mississippi River...so a few strong storms with gusty winds are
possible. Any convection will dissipate with loss of heating this
evening followed by clearing skies and lows in the 60s. Sunday and
Monday look like a diurnal convection days with no disturbances to
key off of. Expect mainly isolated afternoon storms and temps in
the upper 80s. Sunday night should be quiet and mild with lows in
the mid and upper 60s.

Tuesday through Friday...Toward the middle of the week medium
range models have a mid level trough moving through the plains
with disturbances starting to move through the Mid-South. As a
result shower and thunderstorm coverage will start to increase. A
few strong storms are possible. Expect warm and humid conditions
to continue with highs in the 80s and lows in the mid and upper
60s. Trough axis and cold front will push through the Mid-South
Thursday/Friday time frame with chances for showers and
thunderstorms and cooler temps.

SJM

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAFs
Fairly light southerly flow will continue this
afternoon...weakening tonight and shifting more from the
southwest tomorrow. Speeds will remain less than 10 kt.

Convection has been slow to develop today...although short term
guidance still had it developing this afternoon...mostly in North
Mississippi...but also near the Tennessee River in West
Tennessee. Will include VCSH at MKL and VCTS at TUP for a few
hours this evening. No rain is expected at MEM or JBR. Some low to
midlevel stratus is possible along with patchy fog.

30

&&

.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 1:40 PM CST, 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
240 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-291045-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
240 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS IS THE MAIN THREAT FOR ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT REACH SEVERE LIMITS. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ISOLATED STRONG TO PERHAPS THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND
INTO NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 104 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:43 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Union

When
May 28, 1:44 PM CST to 1:50 PM CST
Where
Union County, Myrtle
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.570, -89.120

Local convenient store reports dime to penny size hail.

Thunderstorm Wind, Union

When
May 28, 1:50 PM CST to 1:55 PM CST
Where
Union County, Myrtle
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.570, -89.120

A barn was damaged and a tree was reported down.

Hail, Pontotoc

When
May 28, 2:05 PM CST to 2:10 PM CST
Where
Pontotoc County, Randolph
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.180, -89.170

Local grocery store reports nickel size hail.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, May 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 633762, 633763, 633764.