A thunderstorm produced wind damage in Sterling Heights.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS DTX wrote it up.
A thunderstorm produced wind damage in Sterling Heights.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 28, 2:02 PM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 302 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016 .DISCUSSION... Dewpoints are well in the 60s, which will make for another relatively muggy evening across the fcst area. This afternoon, se Mi resides along the eastern edge of a plume of deep layer moisture associated with the upper low over the upper Midwest. This has left a blanket of mid/high level clouds across the ern portions of the forecast area. Meanwhile...the western portion of the area experienced more early day sunshine which allowed for some modest destabilization. This has supported some convection, enhanced along a convergent boundary associated with the flow off Lakes St Clair and Erie. The persistence of weak instability through the afternoon, 0-1 km ML CAPE on the order of 800 to 1200 j/kg and remnant outflow boundaries will support some additional convection into the evening. The deep layer moisture plume will traverse the forecast area during the night as the upper low rotates across the upper Mississippi Valley. Weak short wave impulses embedded within the deep moist ssw flow will support isold to sct showers, perhaps an isold thunderstorm through the night. Mins will only drop down into the mid/upper 60s given the degree of moisture in the boundary layer and extent of cloud cover. The upper low is still forecast to deamplify as it tracks across the northern Great Lakes on Sunday, but will still lead to some modest mid level height falls across srn Lower Mi. An associated cold front is forecast to traverse Se Mi late Sun afternoon. Modest large scale ascent as a result of these height falls with some upper divergence within the entrance region of an upper jet max will support a chance of convection along the cold front or prefrontal trough axis. Moisture quality looks to be a limiting factor for potential energy available for convection, which will affect storm intensity and coverage. The axis of deep layer moisture will exit east of the forecast area early Sun morning. There is indications in the 12Z model suite that some influx of higher low level moisture will precede the sfc cold front or prefrontal trough axis, with sfc dewpoints in the low to possibly mid 60s. This would support a narrow ribbon of ML CAPE on the order to 1-2k j/kg with fropa late Sun afternoon. The degree of mid level dry air does raise some concerns that daytime mixing will reduce boundary layer moisture to a greater degree than suggested by model solutions and is one reason why the forecast area remains in just a marginal risk for severe wx on Sunday. If boundary layer moisture is sufficient to produce higher CAPE, the degree of mid level dry air would be supportive of strong convective downdrafts. Marginal deep layer shear of 20 to 30 knots would also sustain some degree of organization to potential convection and would be supportive of at least isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. Drier and slightly cooler air will filter into the region in the wake of the sfc cold front. This will lead to rather pleasant conditions for Memorial Day. The potential for overachievement on mixing depths will support fcst highs on Memorial day into the low to mid 80s. Humidity levels will however be much lower. Tuesday should be a relatively nice day to finish off the month of May as high pressure overhead keeps skies mostly sunny and dry. Although temperatures will remain in the 80s over much of SE Michigan...humidity on Tuesday/Wednesday will drop to more comfortable levels in north to northeast wind flow around the high. These conditions look to be short lived though...as broad/moist southerly wind flow resumes Wednesday night ahead of developing low over the plains. Low is progged to move into the Great Lakes region by early Thursday morning. Rain chances bump up Thursday into early Friday morning as the system pushes through area. Cooler temperatures behind the front on Friday will return us to a more seasonally normal range by the weekend...with highs in the lower 70s. && .MARINE... Some areas of fog remain over Lake Huron this afternoon although elevated winds have likely minimized the coverage this afternoon. Winds will subside again tonight allowing fog to increase in coverage with some areas of dense fog possible. The other concern will be thunderstorm activity which has begun this afternoon. Scattered storms will be possible through the evening hours today before likely tapering off overnight. The best chance will come on Sunday as a cold front sweeps across the region. Some of these storms may become strong to severe. In the wake of the cold front, winds will turn more westerly which will usher drier air into the region and end the threat of thunderstorms. && .PREV DISCUSSION... Issued at 128 PM EDT Sat May 28 2016 AVIATION... Plenty of late morning sun combined with enhanced moisture plume that lifted into the region this morning has lead to convection firing before the noon hour. This early round has initiated along a lake breeze that is being accelerated west by outflow from current convection. This is really the only focusing mechanism that we will see today, outside of potential outflow boundaries from future convection. Guidance has been little help in defining a window of convection for the taf sites, struggling with plenty of instability but nothing to focus it on. Should stay VFR through the forecast except when convection affects the site. With the loss of daytime heating we should see skies respond favorably this evening with CIGS rising to 10kft or more. Winds will be around 10 knots with some gusts nearing 20 knots this afternoon. For DTW...Lake breeze is the primary focus for thunderstorm activity currently and is now moving westward further into the state. Convection has started initiating over Wayne County and will be near the terminal on and off for the next few hours. Best opportunity for convection will be from 18Z-21Z. Once convection wanes this evening with the loss of heating and prior storms using up the instability, conditions will quickly improve through the rest of the taf cycle. //DTW Threshold Probabilities... * Medium for ceiling at or below 5000 FT during the afternoon and early evening. * Medium for thunderstorms affecting DTW/D21 airspace through this evening && .DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...NONE. Lake Huron...NONE. Lake St Clair...NONE. Michigan waters of Lake Erie...NONE. && DISCUSSION...SC/DE MARINE.......DRK AVIATION.....DRK You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online at www.weather.gov/detroit.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 348 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-290830- MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER- ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- 348 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. STORM MOTION WILL BE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST AT AROUND 30 MPH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-290830- LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 348 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. STORM MOTION WILL BE NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS POSSIBLE. STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST AT NEAR 30 KNOTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE). DG
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
121 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016
MIZ055-281815-
SANILAC-
121 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SANILAC COUNTY...
AT 120 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BROWN CITY...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BROWN CITY AROUND 130 PM EDT.
MELVIN AROUND 135 PM EDT.
PECK AROUND 155 PM EDT.
SANDUSKY...CARSONVILLE AND APPLEGATE AROUND 215 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE ROSEBURG...ELMER...
VALLEY CENTER...RICHMONDVILLE...TYRE...JUHL...PALMS...AMADOR...BIRCH BEACH
AND MCGREGOR.
LAT...LON 4316 8300 4328 8300 4329 8312 4333 8312
4333 8310 4367 8312 4369 8261 4359 8260
4343 8254 4339 8254 4337 8250 4334 8254
4317 8250
TIME...MOT...LOC 1720Z 217DEG 18KT 4316 8297
DTSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
325 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016
MIZ049-055-282045-
SANILAC-HURON-
325 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HURON AND
NORTHWESTERN SANILAC COUNTIES...
AT 325 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ARGYLE TO NEAR MARLETTE. MOVEMENT
WAS NORTH AT 25 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.
THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
ARGYLE AROUND 335 PM EDT.
HARBOR BEACH AROUND 435 PM EDT.
UBLY AND PORT HOPE AROUND 445 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE ELMER...PARISVILLE...
RICHMONDVILLE...TYRE...JUHL...PALMS...HELENA...MCGREGOR...MINDEN AND
DECKER.
LAT...LON 4375 8256 4361 8253 4326 8300 4328 8300
4328 8312 4333 8312 4333 8310 4352 8311
4401 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 200DEG 20KT 4353 8297 4329 8311
DRKSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
358 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016
MIZ069-070-282130-
MACOMB-OAKLAND-
358 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MACOMB AND SOUTHEASTERN OAKLAND
COUNTIES...
AT 357 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ROYAL
OAK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
WARREN AROUND 405 PM EDT.
ROCHESTER AROUND 420 PM EDT.
STERLING HEIGHTS AROUND 425 PM EDT.
CLINTON AROUND 430 PM EDT.
MOUNT CLEMENS AROUND 435 PM EDT.
MACOMB TOWNSHIP AROUND 440 PM EDT.
NEW BALTIMORE AROUND 505 PM EDT.
RICHMOND AROUND 510 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE OAK PARK...WASHINGTON...
CHESTERFIELD TOWNSHIP...CENTER LINE...CLINTON TOWNSHIP...MADISON
HEIGHTS...HAZEL PARK...RAY CENTER...LATHRUP VILLAGE AND SHELBY TOWNSHIP.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
LAT...LON 4245 8310 4245 8319 4257 8331 4290 8275
4271 8273 4260 8270
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 234DEG 20KT 4254 8316
SCThe Detroit radar (KDTX), 39 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:09 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees were reported snapped and uprooted, along with large tree limbs blown down.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Michigan in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, May 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 634856.