Complexes of thunderstorms formed south of a stationary front that was located over the Lower Ohio Valley. One complex of storms produced widespread flash flooding of roads in Todd County in the morning.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Complexes of thunderstorms formed south of a stationary front that was located over the Lower Ohio Valley. One complex of storms produced widespread flash flooding of roads in Todd County in the morning. Another storm complex flooded roads in Calloway County in the evening.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 29, 1:24 AM CST, 6 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 224 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night) Issued at 210 AM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016 As a surface trof of lower pressure works across the lower Ohio valley today, it will help focus updrafts in high CAPE, diurnally charged/souped environ, for scattered showers/thunderstorms with locally heavy rains possible, and a marginal risk of svr storms. By the weekend, H5 heights start to ease back up, with surface high pressure over the Great Lakes. However, overall height falls further up the Ohio Valley, and height rises in the High Plains, means the teleconnected flow pattern will be nwlys aloft across the mid Mississippi valley, which will be an enabling flow for initiating mainly diurnal shower/storm activity. Highest pops will be around the rim of the high pressure, ie across our south and west, tapering to lowest pops north and east, closer to the surface High. Seasonal late July temps will finish out the weekend/month. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 210 AM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016 A warmup to more extreme heat/humidity is anticipated next work week as the Height falls over the mid and upper Ohio valley shift eastward, with ridging High Plains heights working their way across the middle and upper Mississippi valley. The net result for us will thus be a building of heat/humidity with apparent temps reaching or exceeding triple digits on the daily. Accompanying the extreme heat/humidity, will be daily storm chances, esp during the charged diurnal hours of the pm-evening. Monday will be particularly wet, with good coverage of showers/storms along a warm sector developing/lifting across the area in response to surface Low pressure taking shape in the Plains states. Daily storm chances continue unabated for the remainder of the week, with high PW's offering locally heavy rain potential with any time storms. && .AVIATION... Issued at 210 AM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016 After the pre dawn patchy fog/low cigs (developing) restrictions, anticipate daylight improvement with return to VFR conditions eventually. However, daily storm chances will enhance during the peak heating hours, with vicinity storms carrying associated potential restrictions thru the evening hours. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 336 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-301000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 336 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. ISOLATED STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND OR HAIL...WITH A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE DAILY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THE PRIMARY HAZARD. THE HEAT INDEX WILL AGAIN REACH OR EXCEED TRIPLE DIGITS DAILY, BEGINNING MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER REPORTS OF RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE APPRECIATED.
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 22 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 13:30 UTC.
2 flood, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The county 911 dispatch center reported 70 percent of county and state roads were flooded in northern Todd County. Nearly half of those roads were impassable. Debris was strewn on some roads. Four feet of water got inside a garage near Sharon Grove.
Several streets were flooded, including Route 102.
Numerous roads were flooded, especially in areas west of Murray. Four miles west of Hazel, a car was stranded in high water. A trained spotter in Murray reported 2.6 inches of rain in three hours.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 646931, 646935, 646942.