Heavy rains across southern portions of central Indiana led to a report of flash flooding in southern Jennings County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS IND wrote it up.
Heavy rains across southern portions of central Indiana led to a report of flash flooding in southern Jennings County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 5:03 AM EST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 603 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016 .UPDATE... The AVIATION Section has been updated below. && .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 337 AM EDT Thu Jul 28 2016 An active pattern continues with a frontal boundary stuck in the area and upper troughing bringing a series of upper waves to interact with it. This will continue until early next week when upper ridging starts to build back in over the area and the trough kicks east. && .NEAR TERM /Early this morning and today/... Issued at 337 AM EDT Thu Jul 28 2016 Radar loop at 330 am is showing showers and thunderstorms across much of south central Indiana. Given the available moisture these are very efficient rainfall producers with rainfall rates over 2-3 inches an hour at times. Included categorical rain over this area and mention of heavy rainfall potential into later this morning. Expect this to continue during the next few hours and then shift east during the mid morning hours as the upper wave enhancing convergence along the 850 mb front moves off to the east. Later during the afternoon could see another wave enhance convergence along the front which should shift a little north as the wave approaches. Thus bring the chances for storms north during the afternoon. With low confidence on where the front will set up though kept PoPs for today after this first wave moves out in the chance category. That plays into uncertainty on an axis of heavier rainfall as well, and thus no headline for flood potential at this time as northern counties are drier. If convective development sets up across southern counties again this afternoon expect flash flooding to develop rather quickly. For temperatures think much of the day will spent with cloud cover but still have warm advection aloft. Went with consensus in the mid 80s. && .SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday night/... Issued at 337 AM EDT Thu Jul 28 2016 A diffuse surface front with an upper trough bringing waves through the area will keep thunderstorm chances in the forecast through the short term. Low confidence on timing of any particular wave so kept to consensus of mid range chances for thunderstorms throughout, with slightly lower PoPs Saturday night as forcing then looks a little less evident. For temperatures did not deviate from a model blend, where more sunshine and less precip on any of the days could increase highs several degrees or an all day washout (not anticipated but not to be ruled out either) could do the same in the opposite direction. Humid atmosphere will remain in place though, with no model indications of dewpoints dropping below 60s and most of the time hanging in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Due to the ample moisture and slow storm motion, heavy rainfall leading to flooding will be a threat but too low confidence on location or timing to go with headline. && .LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/... Issued at 223 AM EDT Thu Jul 28 2016 ECMWF suggests high pressure building acrs the Great lakes and Nrn Indiana in the wake of the departing low pressure system...and have trended toward a dry forecast. However the ECMWF also suggests ridging along with embedded ridge riding short waves moving across the middle mississippi river valley and slowly edging toward Indiana as this long term progresses. Confidence for precip on Monday will remain low as subsidence remains in place...but as we progress into Tuesday and Wednesday...warmer and humid air begins to arrive on southerly flow. Meanwhile...the ridge riding short waves begin to advect east in to the Ohio valley. Thus will keep some pops in the forecast during this time as suggested by superblend. && .AVIATION /Discussion for the 281200z tafs/... Issued at 557 AM EDT Thu Jul 28 2016 VFR CIGS are expected for much of the day. MVFR/IFR FOG will be possible overnight tonight. Tropical plume of moisture combines with a weak surface low pushing across Indiana today will result in sct TSRA and SHRA today. Confidence for precise timing remains too low...thus have painted a large window of VCTS mention for now. Time heights and Forecast soundings both show a saturated column through the day with marginal lift. Daytime heating may provide a trigger through the afternoon...thus again...will use the VCTS window. Light winds and moist ground expected tonight along with dew point depressions less than 1-2F. Thus have trended toward MVFR/IFR fog at BMG/LAF/ and HUF. && .IND Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NONE. && SYNOPSIS...CP NEAR TERM...CP SHORT TERM...CP LONG TERM....PUMA AVIATION...JP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 444 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016 INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-290845- CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-BOONE- TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-PUTNAM- HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY- RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS- MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO... CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE... SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR 444 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. OUTLOOK: THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH CHANCES SPREADING SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE DAY. HAZARDS: HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING AS WELL AS LIGHTNING. TIMING: THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND NIGHT. DISCUSSION: A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTERACTING WITH UPPER WAVES WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. OUTLOOK: THERE ARE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR MOST AREAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME THERE IS NOT A THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS. HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING...ALONG WITH LIGHTNING...WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. DISCUSSION: A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL LOWERCASE) CP
The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 105 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:31 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The sheriff's office reported numerous issues with flash flooding in the southern half of Jennings County due to thunderstorm heavy rainfall. The flood waters had receded by 930 AM EDT.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, July 2016
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