Showers and thunderstorms developed in a warm and very moist air mass. Some of this activity produced some flash flooding and damaging lightning.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
Showers and thunderstorms developed in a warm and very moist air mass. Some of this activity produced some flash flooding and damaging lightning.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 2:46 AM CST, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 346 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 .DISCUSSION... Short Term (Today through Friday Night)...Continued higher rain chances is once again the headline of today's forecast, particularly over the northern half of the area. The shortwave/mesolow that instigated much of Wednesday's activity is now lifting into the Ohio Valley, but mid-level troughing will linger over the Lower MS Valley today. There also remains a plume of notably high atmospheric moisture extending from east TX through the TN Valley, encompassing all of the CWA except for the Pine Belt. In fact, our 00z sounding from last night sampled a 2.1" PW. A low level jet streak will also be present through this corridor today. Given this setup, showers are expected to develop early in the day, likely across the Delta, spreading across other portions of the area and becoming more numerous through midday. A limited threat for flash flooding continues over mainly the north/west portion of the area into today, given the plethoric deep layer moisture. Forecast daytime highs were cut down toward raw model guidance due to the anticipation of clouds/precip interrupting insolation. The exception to all of this is across the Pine Belt, where convection is expected to be more isolated, thus allowing temps to remain closer to normal. A decrease in coverage is expected this evening due to both to atmospheric overturning and the loss of daytime heating. Weak mid/upper troughing will persist into Friday, but guidance suggests the deep layer moisture plume will become a bit less fearsome. Still, rain chances will remain above normal across the area, with global models hinting at activity beginning early in the day again. With somewhat less coverage anticipated, daytime temps aren't expected to be impacted quite as significantly as today over most of the area. /DL/ Long Term (Saturday through Thursday)...Unsettled weather will continue through the long term. An upper trough/sfc front will remain north of the area through the first half of the period. This, combined with plentiful moisture(as characterized by 2-2.2 inch PW values), will bring chance to likely PoPs through much of the period. By Monday, the upper trough will lift off to the northeast and upper ridging will build in a little from the west. The ArkLaMiss will remain on the eastern side of this ridge, which will allow for continued higher chances for rain in our soupy airmass. Temperatures will be roughly around or a few degrees above normal through the period, with the temperatures getting warmer toward the end of the week. With dewpoints in the lower to mid 70s, heat indices will be in the 100 to 105 range through much of the period, resulting in some elevated heat stress issues. /28/ && .AVIATION...IFR/MVFR ceilings from low stratus cover much of the northern half of the area this morning, and may linger well into the day as scattered SHRA/TSRA are expected to develop across this region through the morning hours. Precip is expected to be more isolated to scattered farther south in the area. Outside of the rain, VFR conditions should prevail across the area by afternoon, continuing into this evening. /DL/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 88 73 92 74 / 68 30 41 24 Meridian 92 74 94 74 / 48 29 44 26 Vicksburg 87 73 92 75 / 85 31 39 18 Hattiesburg 92 74 93 75 / 26 25 40 21 Natchez 88 72 92 73 / 59 27 31 17 Greenville 84 72 91 74 / 72 32 40 20 Greenwood 82 70 89 73 / 67 33 42 23 && .JAN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && DL/28
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 803 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>051-053>055- 059>062-291315- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON- JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- 803 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FLOODING THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE SHORT TERM RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A FEW INCHES OR GREATER. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. MSZ052-056>058-063>066-072>074-291315- LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 803 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. 26 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *FLOODING* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING. LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE... WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 169 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:03 UTC.
4 flash flood, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
There was flooding in Rayville and Delhi.
Roads and yards were flooded.
A three story house on South Ridge Road was on fire due to lightning.
Some street flooding occurred in Oak Ridge.
Numerous minor roads had some flood waters and three minor roads were closed in the northern part pf the parish. Some roads that were closed had two feet of water in some locations. There was flooding of fields in the northern part of the parish.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Louisiana in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Louisiana, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 643124, 643125, 643126, 643129, 643132.