Georgia, 2016

Drought in Georgia, October 18 to 31, 2016

October 18 to 31, 2016 · NWS TAE · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

D2 drought conditions expanded into portions of Terrell, Randolph, Quitman, Clay, and Early counties on October 18, 2016 and continued through the end of the month and into November.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

D2 drought conditions expanded into portions of Terrell, Randolph, Quitman, Clay, and Early counties on October 18, 2016 and continued through the end of the month and into November.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 17, 8:11 PM EST, 3 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 8:11 PM EST, 3 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
911 PM EDT Mon Oct 17 2016

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

The evening analysis showed a surface ridge centered off the NC
coast, and there was a broad region of high heights in the upper
levels over the Southeast. With no large scale forcing or mid-
upper level moisture, we expect fair weather tonight. However,
there may be enough PBL moisture for fog, especially across
portions of south central GA and the FL Panhandle. Temperatures
will be above average, generally in the mid 60s.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [817 PM EDT]...

.SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...

Deep layer ridging will prevail through Wednesday with dry weather
expected. Temperatures will be above normal with afternoon highs
expected to range from mid 80s to near 90 and overnight lows
expected to be in the low to mid 60s.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

Ridging is expected to weaken on Thursday as a northern stream
trough moves through the eastern CONUS through Monday. At the
surface, a cold front will move through the Tri-State region
sometime between late Thursday and Friday evening. Moisture return
does not look particularly impressive with this progressive
system, and the coverage of rain looks relatively low with this
system with only light amounts expected at this time for those
areas that do see any showers.

Behind this front, a cooler airmass is expected for the weekend
with afternoon highs dropping back to the 75-80 degree range and
overnight lows dropping into the upper 40s to lower 50s.

.AVIATION [Through 00Z Wednesday]...

Some low clouds and patchy fog expected again overnight starting
around 9-10z, leading to a few hours of possible IFR/LIFR conditions
in the early morning, especially at ABY and VLD. The cloud deck is
expected to lift by late morning with a return to VFR conditions
around 14-15z. Winds will be light from the east.

.MARINE...

Through mid-week, easterly flow will prevail and result in
nocturnal wind surges to around 15 knots. Late in the week, a
cold front is forecast to move across the northeast Gulf, with
winds increasing to at least cautionary levels in its wake.

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH values will remain above critical thresholds and aside from
possible high dispersion values Wednesday, no hazardous fire
weather conditions are expected over the next few days.

.HYDROLOGY...

Flooding is not expected for the next several days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   64  89  64  88  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   70  83  68  84  68 /  10   0   0   0   0
Dothan        63  90  63  90  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        63  90  63  90  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      63  87  62  87  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    63  87  62  86  63 /  10   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  69  82  68  82  67 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Fournier
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD/FDC
AVIATION...Barry
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...Barry
HYDROLOGY...DVD

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Terrell

When
October 18, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Terrell forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.777, -84.437 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Randolph

When
October 18, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Randolph forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.763, -84.754 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Quitman

When
October 18, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Quitman forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.867, -85.019 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Clay

When
October 18, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Clay forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.626, -84.980 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Early

When
October 18, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Early forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.323, -84.904 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Georgia in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, October 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 658983, 658984, 658985, 658986, 658987.