Florida, 2016

Storm Surge and Flash Flooding in Florida, June 6 to 7, 2016

June 6 to 7, 2016 · NWS TAE · 14 events in 7 counties and zones

Tropical Storm Colin made landfall across the southeast big bend during the overnight hours of June 6-7. Damage was relatively minor across the region.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
3
Injuries
1
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
14

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

Tropical Storm Colin made landfall across the southeast big bend during the overnight hours of June 6-7. Damage was relatively minor across the region.

In Leon county, seven roads were closed on Monday afternoon due to flooding. Three were main roads, including Weems Road, North Meridian, and near Lake Ella. Localized rainfall amounts around 10 inches occurred in eastern Leon county.

In Franklin county, a voluntary evacuation was in place along the coast. Coastal flooding affected areas from Apalachicola to Alligator Point. Homes had water in backyards on the Gulf side of US-98 from Carrabelle Beach to St Teresa Beach. The St Teresa Beach and boat ramp flooded. Alligator Point Road was flooded with debris washed inland. Gulfshore Drive was flooded and closed on the east end of Alligator Point.

In Wakulla county, coastal flooding was reported in Mashes Sands Beach, Panacea, and Saint Marks. Flooding was greatest in St Marks. Several roads in the area were closed around high tide with two businesses getting water inside. Riverside Cafe had 1 foot of water enter the structure, and Cooter Stew had 3 to 6 inches of water enter the structure.

In Taylor county, the beaches reported 1 to 2 feet of inundation with locally higher values on Monday afternoon. This included Dark Island, Cedar Island, Keaton Beach, Dekle Beach, and Ezell Beach. The town of Steinhatchee had numerous roads flooded due to storm surge that started at 1:30 pm and ended around 6 pm. Homes were surrounded by flood waters, but no water made it inside.

In Dixie county, 1.5 to 2 feet of inundation occurred in Horseshoe Beach and Suwannee, mainly right along the waterfront. Storm surge was observed moving up the Suwannee River as far north as the US-19 gauge at Wilcox, FL.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 6, 4:48 AM EST, 7 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 4:48 AM EST, 7 hours 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
548 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

...Tropical Storm Colin to Bring Impacts to the Area Today and
This Evening...

.DISCUSSION...

[UPDATED ON 5 AM ADVISORY CYCLE] Tropical Storm Colin formed
yesterday over the southern Gulf of Mexico, and per NHC became
the earliest 3rd tropical storm of the season in the Atlantic
basin records. We have updated the discussion below based on the
latest information, and it will be focused on the main impacts and
key messages associated with Colin in our local area. For more
detailed information, please see the HLSTAE or TCVTAE products.

***** KEY MESSAGES *****

  1. The primary impacts in our area are expected to be related
     to flooding, both due to localized heavy rainfall and storm
     surge along the Apalachee Bay coastline. Any tropical storm
     force winds should be largely confined to the Gulf of Mexico
     and immediate coastal land locations.

  2. Isolated very high rainfall totals - over 6 inches in a
     relatively short period of time - may lead to localized
     flash flooding, particularly in urban areas. It is difficult
     to pinpoint the exact areas this would occur, but the best
     chances will be in our Florida and Georgia zones.

  3. Several feet of storm surge inundation is expected along
     parts of the Apalachee Bay coastline on Monday afternoon
     during the high tide cycle. Interests along Apalachee Bay,
     especially on Wakulla, Jefferson, Taylor, and Dixie County
     coasts, should prepare for inundation on the higher end of
     current forecasts (3-4 feet).

***** FORECAST ANALYSIS *****

Colin remains a sheared and highly asymmetric system, with the
vast majority of the wind and rainfall situated in the eastern
semicircle. These situations can lead to greater forecast track
uncertainty (even if the model guidance is tightly clustered), as
low-level centers can reform underneath larger convective bursts.
The 5 AM NHC discussion noted that two different low-level centers
had recently been sampled by Hurricane Hunters aircraft.

The main change with this advisory cycle was to expand the Flood
Watch to the north and west of the existing area. Latest radar
loops show a band of enhanced rainfall rates already developing
from Panama City, to Bainbridge, to Tifton. Some model guidance
shows a band of heavy rain in this same corridor today, and out of
deference to those solutions (and the current radar trends), the
Flood Watch was expanded. High resolution models continue to
depict hourly rainfall rates peaking at 2-4"/hr in areas of slow-
moving or training convection later today. Several observation
sites this morning have already picked up around 0.4" rain in only
10-15 minutes with some of the first rain bands. The 06Z
Tallahassee sounding had a PWAT of 2.25" and a very high freezing
level of 16kft, suggesting very efficient warm rain processes will
be common today (and have already been observed). Given all of
this, locally very heavy rainfall and flash flooding continues to
be our primary concern related to TS Colin.

The storm surge flooding and tornado threats could be augmented by
the eventual track of the center of Colin. A track further to the
north and west of the NHC official forecast could yield a greater
tornado threat over the Florida Big Bend, as well as storm surge
inundation closer to the higher end of forecasts (around 4 feet).
Given the uncertainty in just how the low-level wind fields will
evolve, interests along the Apalachee Bay coastline should
prepare for the possibility of 3-4 feet of inundation due to storm
surge around the afternoon high tide cycle.

&&

.MARINE...

[NO CHANGES] Hazardous marine conditions should quickly develop
within a few hours of sunrise, and gradually worsen until the
center of Colin approaches later in the afternoon. The strongest
sustained winds in our marine areas are in the 40-45 knot range
with higher gusts, and seas peak around 10-15 feet.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 06Z Tuesday]...

[NO CHANGES] Bands of scattered heavy showers will fill in
through the AM hours with more widespread heavy rain expected
through the day. In heavier showers, IFR to LIFR visibilities
should be expected under MVFR ceilings. Gusty winds associated
with TS Colin will be most likely over our southeastern most
terminals (TLH and VLD) and should be in the 20 to 25 knot range
later this afternoon. Rain will taper off gradually from west to
east starting late this afternoon, possibly clearing all of our
terminals to the east just before the end of the TAF.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   79  72  92  70  94 / 100  70  20   0   0
Panama City   84  75  87  75  85 /  80  40  10   0   0
Dothan        82  70  90  68  89 /  80  30  10   0   0
Albany        79  71  91  68  89 /  80  60  10   0   0
Valdosta      79  72  89  68  91 / 100  90  20   0   0
Cross City    80  74  89  72  92 / 100  90  30  10  10
Apalachicola  81  74  88  74  88 / 100  60  20   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...Flood Watch through late tonight for Calhoun-Central Walton-
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-
     Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-
     Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland
     Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Lafayette-
     Leon-Liberty-Madison-South Walton-Washington.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-
     Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Inland
     Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-
     Lafayette.

     High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday morning for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Tuesday for Coastal
     Bay-South Walton.

GA...Flood Watch through late tonight for Baker-Ben Hill-Berrien-
     Brooks-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-Grady-Irwin-Lanier-
     Lowndes-Miller-Mitchell-Seminole-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL...None.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for All Zones.

&&

LAMERS/HARRIGAN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 6, 11:31 AM EST, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1231 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1228 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 E TALLAHASSEE         30.44N 84.20W
06/06/2016  M0.00 INCH       LEON               FL   PUBLIC

            FORMER NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 6.35 INCHES STORM TOTAL AND
            5.2 INCHES SINCE 7AM.

&&

CAMP

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 12 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:50 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 flash flood, 4 storm surge/tide, 3 flood, 2 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 11:50 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
Where
Leon County, 1.57 mi WNW of Fallschase to 1.25 mi WNW of Fallschase
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
30.462, -84.223

Weems Road was closed due to flash flooding. A video posted on social media showed rapidly flowing water across the road.

Flash Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 12:00 PM EST to 3:00 PM EST
Where
Leon County, 2.39 mi NNW of Pisgah Church to 2.26 mi NNW of Pisgah Church
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
30.580, -84.170

Proctor Road at Grenville Road was flooded and closed. Approximately 10 inches of rain fell near this location during the day.

Storm Surge/Tide, Coastal Franklin

When
June 6, 12:00 PM EST to 6:00 PM EST
Where
Coastal Franklin forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
29.812, -84.800 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Flash Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 12:12 PM EST to 3:00 PM EST
Where
Leon County, 3.45 mi S of Apalachee Regional Park to 3.8 mi S of Apalachee Regional Park
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
30.370, -84.150

Tram Road near St Joe Road was impassible due to flooding.

Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 12:44 PM EST
Where
Leon County, 1.91 mi ESE of Bradfordville to 2.19 mi ESE of Bradfordville
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
30.560, -84.190

The public reported a local creek overflowing in the area via mping.

Storm Surge/Tide, Coastal Wakulla

When
June 6, 1:00 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST
Where
Coastal Wakulla forecast zone
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
30.148, -84.376 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Storm Surge/Tide, Coastal Taylor

When
June 6, 1:00 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST
Where
Coastal Taylor forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
30.020, -83.619 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Storm Surge/Tide, Coastal Dixie

When
June 6, 1:00 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST
Where
Coastal Dixie forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
29.581, -83.187 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 1:30 PM EST
Where
Leon County, 0.58 mi E of Levy Park to 0.44 mi ENE of Levy Park
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
30.459, -84.280

Roads around Lake Ella were down to one lane due to flooding.

Flash Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 1:30 PM EST to 3:00 PM EST
Where
Leon County, 1.23 mi NW of Macon Community Park to 0.66 mi NW of Macon Community Park
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
30.502, -84.286

John Hancock road at North Meridian Road was flooded and closed.

Flash Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 1:30 PM EST to 3:00 PM EST
Where
Leon County, Springsax Park to 0.35 mi NE of Springsax Park
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
30.400, -84.300

Creek Road was flooded and closed.

Flood, Leon

When
June 6, 5:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Leon County, 1 mi N of Tom Brown Park to 1 mi NE of Tom Brown Park
Cause
Heavy Rain / Tropical System
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
30.454, -84.210

A picture was posted on social media showing minor street flooding at Tom Brown Park.

Rip Current, Coastal Bay

When
June 7, 12:30 PM EST
Where
Coastal Bay forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
30.238, -85.633 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Rip Current, South Walton

When
June 7, 7:00 PM EST
Where
South Walton forecast zone
Deaths
2 direct, 0 indirect
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
30.619, -86.171 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Coastal Bay2016-06-0752FemaleIn WaterDirect
Rip Current, South Walton2016-06-0736MaleIn WaterDirect
Rip Current, South Walton2016-06-0735MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Storm Surge/Tide
Water pushed ashore above the normal tide by a storm’s winds and low pressure.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, June 2016The 2016 hurricane season

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 630636, 630637, 633479, 630638, 630639, 633480, 633481, 633482, 630640, 630641, 630642, 630643, 628352, 628353.